60: The Life & Times of a Boomer Doomer 2
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Published on The Doomstead Diner May 24, 2017
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Stage 4 – The High School Years
In the middle of my 9th Grade year in JHS, they gave us another standardized test to see if we qualified for any of the Magnet schools that the NY Shity public schools were running at the time, Sutyvesant, Bronx High School of Science, Brooklyn Technical High School, the High School for Art & Design and the Highs School of the Performing Arts (The FAME School). As usual I aced this test and had my choice of schools and picked Stuyvesant, because it was a Science & Math skule and I was a nerd.I picked it over Bronx HS of Science and Brooklyn Tech because from where I lived it was much easier to get there by Subway, although still a pretty long trip of around 1.5 hours every day. For the other two schools, the only way to get there was by buses which weren't all that dependable or EXTREMELY long subway commutes.
Stuyvesant turned out to be a great choice on the academic level. The best teachers […] Continue Reading…
Technological Obsolescence & Copyright Law
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Published on The Doomstead Diner May 21, 2017
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As regular readers of the Frostbite Falls Daily Rant inside the Diner know, I recently went on a major BINGE of buying new computer equipment to enhance my overall computing experience, which is one of the few pleasures and hobbies I have left to enjoy as we spin down to the close of the Age of Oil and the Age of Technological Gimmickry.
I haven't done any upgrades in around 3 years since I bought my last laptop, which was a relatively inexpensive model around $600 at the time as I recall. So that amortizes out to around $200/year, far less than my other main pursuits of drinking beer and smoking cancerettes. lol. Because of constant changes in hardware and in software, older computers tend to become obsolete no matter what, plus of course you have the issue they tend to get clogged with malware and bloat from programs you upload over the time period you own them. At a certain point, it's jst more efficient to replace the unit then to try […] Continue Reading…
Sexual Appeal 2
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Published on The Doomstead Diner May 14, 2017
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A few weeks ago I wrote an article on Sexual Appeal, taking a look at what Homo Saps find appealing, colored of course by my own personal lens and experience. A generally male-centric and heterosexual centric view of this overall, I'm sure LGBTQ people have a completely different take on it. As a former Satyr, one time serial monogamist and current celibate monk I have a reasonably large swath of experience to draw on for making such analysis. Not everyone agrees with all of it, there was particularly some dispute over sexual appeal for older married people. That's not in my experience bag to draw from, so there I am just speculating.
This week, an off topic thread, the Trumpty-Dumpty POTUS thread accidentally brought the sex appeal issue back into the forefront of my consciousness. I likened El Trumpo's behavior as POTUS to some lyrics from an REO Speedwagon Pop Tune, "Take it on the Run".
But I know the neighborhood
And talk is cheap when the story is good
And the tales grow taller on down […] Continue Reading…
The Endless Salad
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Published on The Doomstead Diner May 14, 2017
Tortellini-Kalamata Olive-Hearts of Palm SaladDiscuss this article at the Pantry inside the Diner
Today we had our first Community Potlatch (Potluck) Dinner here in the RE Community. 🙂
Our new Property Managers, a Husband & Wife team organized this meal as a way to introduce themselves and to discuss some important issues we have here, including our water quality ( we have our own micro water treatment plant now), maintenance and safety not to mention of course the Dog Poop, the Cigarette butts, and the Domestic Arguments and other yelling which penetrates the walls. I personally have a schizophrenic upstairs from me who is decompensating all the time. She's not dangerous, but she is very loud and very vulgar, usually in the wee hours of the morning. She can go super fast, like Tourette's on Steroids, and pitch out 100 Fucks and 100 Shits and 100 Cocksuckers & Mother Fuckers in no more than 5 minutes of one of these episodes, which sometimes go up to an hour in length before I suppose her vocal chords are exhausted or maybe the voices […] Continue Reading…
How I Survived Collapse: Chapter 23
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Published on The Doomstead Diner May 10, 2017
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Kenny and Kirsten finished the meal off with the Molten Chocolate Cake, a warm chocolate fudge cake with coconut sorbet, chocolate sauce and toasted coconut, along with Coffee spiked up with Bailey's Irish Cream and Kalua. As they walked back out to the van, Kenny asked the inevitable question of the night.
"So, ummm, do you want to sleep in the van tonight or go back to your dorm?"
Kirsten already had this planned out.
"Let's sleep in the van!" she said enthusiastically. "It would be really cool to do it in a van!" she remarked with a giggle. "Let's park in the dorm parking lot though. Then if we need to use the bathroom in the middle of the night we can go in the dorm for that. I'm not really up for pooping in a bucket unless I have to. I'll try to put that off until after TSHTF."
Kenny got a laugh out of the doomer reference. "Eh, you get used to it.", he remarked. "Athough, I do generally try to avoid using the […] Continue Reading…
Bye, Bye Miss R/COLLAPSE Pie
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Published on The Doomstead Diner May 7, 2017
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Another one bites the dust.
Last week, after 2 years participating on the Reddit sub r/collapse, I threw in the towel and called it quits. Before I go into the reasons for that, let me review my medium-length history of participation there and the reasons I subscribed in the first place.
Despite the fact I have been floating around the Collapse Blogosphere for a full decade, I was never aware of the r/collapse sub. In fact, I wasn't even aware of the whole Reddit platform. I only found out about it after discovering the work of Allen Stromfeldt Christensen on the blog From Filmers to Farmers, and he mentioned to me that he occasionally made links there. So I went to check it out, and there were indeed quite a few good links to Collapse articles around the net to be found there, and they changed pretty regularly. There is a complete turnover of links on the Homepage about every 24-48 hours, depending on how many net "upvotes" a given article receives from the subscribers. The […] Continue Reading…
60: Life and Times of a Boomer Doomer Chapter 1
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Published on The Doomstead Diner May 3, 2017
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Unbelievably, I made it to the Big 6-OH, my 60th year walking the Earth as a Homo Sap Meat Package in this iteration of incarnations of my immortal soul. My last Big Birthday Party on the Diner was 5 years ago when I turned 55. That was when we first launched the Diner, and now it is getting close to 6 years old itself, 10% of my total lifespan. That's a pretty significant chunk of my life!
Actually, my focus on Doom predates the Diner by quite a bit, I got started down this Rabbit Hole after the collapse of the investment bank Bear Stearns in early 2008. Actually a bit before that since I was observing the lead up to this in 2007. So call it a solid Decade now as a "Kollapsnik". Given I am now 60 years old, that is 1/6th of my life or 16.66%, even more significant.
I can break up my life into defined segments, each of which almost is a life unto itself. When I look back on […] Continue Reading…
Sexual Appeal
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Published on The Doomstead Diner March 23, 2017
Johnette Napolitano Janis Joplin
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A few weeks ago I ran across a You Tube Video of an acoustic performance of "Joey" by the band Concrete Blond. They were a 90s Alternative Rock Band that never got super popular, and this was their biggest hit, but they did last pretty long into the early 2000s. I wasn't a big fan of this band, but I remember the song Joey very well and in my trucking years it played fairly often on the radio on the alt-rock and college stations I tuned into in those years as I cruised the interstate across the country.
Inside the Diner, we run a continuing thread with favorite Music Videos called the Diner Juke Box, and a while back I put up the Vevo Official Music Video of Joey. But then in doing my general nightly music scan of old music I like to listen to periodically, I ran into another video with Joey as the tune behind it, put together by a fan with still […] Continue Reading…
How I Survived Collapse: Chapter 22
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Published on The Doomstead Diner on April 27, 2017
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Kenny pulled the van into the parking lot of the Red Bird Restaurant & Wine Bar, finding to his delight that it had electrical outlets for block heaters in the parking spaces. Even though his two Deep Cycle Marine Batteries were usually fully charged just from driving around to do his landscaping, if he found an available outlet with free juice he would always plug in to top off the big batts as well as charge up all his smaller electronic devices with Li-I batts. A full charge to the whole setup gave him a week at full normal usage for everything, and with reduced usage he could go 2 weeks to a month without any recharge at all, although he did have his solar PV panels and RV Wind Generators that could keep the system charged up most of the time if he was frugal in usage.
Kenny and Kirsten held hands as they walked across the parking lot to the entrance, past numerous Mercedes, Jaguars, Hummers and even a couple […] Continue Reading…
Collapse Cafe TV
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The Grim Reaper Comes Knocking
It's looking more and more likely that my metabolic functions will Collapse before we get "The Big One" of Civilization Collapse, like the ATMs going dark or a Nuclear weapon detonation or Martial Law being declared in the FSoA. My generally bad health has taken a turn for the worse with many new problems cropping up, although no diagnosis yet. I definitely am suffering some kind of biochemical imbalance which may be an across the board systems failure. I am supposed to get a full round of blood tests but so far have not been called by the laboratory to schedule an appointment.
Tomorrow I will call the clinic to get an appointment with the Primary Care NP who replaced my old MD who retired last New Year's to have a look at the latest in symptoms and also to get a referral to a neurologist & an internist. I've developed a severe itching problem which I think is related to the peripheral nervous system rather than some skin irritation. The skin irritation I do have I think results from the constant rubbing and scratching I do to relieve the itch. In the cause and effect sequence here, it's the […] Continue Reading…
50 Minutes, Slobs & Frackers
Off the keyboard of Thomas Lewis
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Published on The Daily Impact March 31 & April 1 & 5, 2017
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Let’s Watch 50 Minutes
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In a whole year of covering climate change, the TV networks, all of them combined, didn’t even get to 60 minutes.
On their evening and Sunday news programs during 2016, the four major American television networks devoted 50 minutes of their airtime to covering climate change. No, that’s not 50 minutes a week, or each, it’s all of them combined for the whole year. 50 minutes (according to a study by Media Matters). CBS, NBC, ABC and Fox (which is cable, and does not have an evening newscast but is prominent among Sunday news shows), all of them, all year, produced enough content about climate change to fill a single edition of 60 Minutes.
This was in a year that was, worldwide, the hottest year on record and the third year in a row to set that record; a year that set records in the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, sea level, shrinkage […] Continue Reading…
Ants
Off the keyboard of Ugo Bardi
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Published on Cassandra's Legacy on May 15, 2017
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Make the Anthill Great Again! The Ant Colony and the Human One
Image above: the 1998 movie "AntZ". This post was inspired by a post by Antonio Turiel titled "Of Ants and Men" where he used the example of an ant to discuss the difficulties that humans have to perceive the real problems facing humankind today. Here, I examine again, a little more in depth, the same issue.
Make the Anthill Great Again! The Ant Colony and the Human One
Imagine yourself as an ant. What would be your perception of the world? Mainly, it is other ants from the same colony. As an ant, you are nearly blind but you have an excellent sense of smell and most of your sensorial inputs are the pheromones you receive from your sister ants that then you transmit to other ants. This kind of feedback-based pheromone exchange may lead to remarkably complex behaviors. Yet, the colony has no structure that we could see as a brain. If we define "self-consciousness" as the capability of a creature to model itself, […] Continue Reading…
Confounding Collapse
Off the keyboard of Albert Bates
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Published on Peak Surfer on April 16, 2017
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"As brilliant as your conceptual breakthrough may be, there is no escaping your cultural milieu."
The Paris Agreement calls for deep decarbonization by 2050 (net neutrality) and drawdown of all the legacy carbon thereafter, returning humans to the comfortable Holocene from which we evolved.
A recent study by Energy Innovation Reform Project (a pro-nuclear, pro-coal think tank), reviewing the now extensive literature on the renewable energy transition, concluded that a 100% renewables goal, while technically feasible, still faces many challenges:
To achieve Paris policy goals — by no means an assurance that climate catastrophe will be averted — power sector CO2 emissions must fall to zero by 2050. The pressure of this timeline is itself disruptive. Decarbonization is significantly — exponentially — more difficult than mere emissions reductions, even if it loses the baggage of that Dogberry neologism ("decarbonization").
Renewables are primarily delivered by electricity, and to a lesser extent by liquid or pelletized biofuels. To abate carbon, there needs to be a shift to electricity for transportation, heating, and industrial energy.
Power generation systems involving renewables such as […] Continue Reading…
Evaluating Existential Threats, Part 4: Conclusions
Off the keyboard of Irv Mills
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Originally Published on The Easiest Person to Fool May 6, 2017
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Sunset Over Lake Huron, May 3, 2017
In the first 3 posts in this series ( 1, 2, 3) I talked about global catastrophic risks (the kind of things that threaten human well being on a global scale), and existential risks (which threaten us with extinction). Of course, the distinction between the two is only a matter of degree. We looked at how to evaluate such threats in general and then evaluated a number of specific threats, looking at:
Risk: what is the likelihood of this happening?
Severity: what are the consequences if this does happen?
Difficulty: how hard will it be to do something about this?
Timescale: how soon will this happen?
Just to get us quickly up to speed, here is the list of threats that I classified as worth worrying about:
collision with an asteroid (or comet)
massive solar flare (coronal mass ejection)
economic singularity
human sourced pandemic
biotechnology
ecological disaster
climate change
resource depletion
population and agricultural crises
warfare
The first two are not manmade (non-anthropogenic), although our vulnerability to the effects of a massive solar flare is mostly a result of our […] Continue Reading…
American Cities, Repeal Obamacar & Dee-fense!
Off the keyboard of Thomas Lewis
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Published on The Daily Impact March 15, 19 & 23 2017
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American Cities Fight for Their Lives — Alone
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The city of Homer, Alaska, achingly beautiful, is fighting for its life against a relentless enemy. Like several other American cities, it is losing its war. The government in Washington insists it’s not happening.
This American city of 5,000 people is under siege by an implacable enemy. Its food supply has been poisoned, its water supply affected, its main industry crippled, it loses big chunks of its territory every month or so, and several times the enemy has almost severed its only road out. The city has committed all its resources to the fight and regularly pleads with the state government for help, but the state is so besieged by other towns and cities, also under attack, that there is not enough to go around. Appeals to the national government are pointless because in the view of the national government, the enemy does not exist.
The city is Homer, Alaska, and the enemy is of course climate change. […] Continue Reading…
Evaluating Existential Threats, Part 3: Anthropogenic Threats
Off the keyboard of Irv Mills
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Originally Published on The Easiest Person to Fool April 12, 2017
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Lake Huron Sunset, at the entrance to Kincardine Harbour, April 12, 2017
In my last post in this series I referred to an article on Wikipedia about "Global catastrophic risk" which I had stumbled upon while researching existential risks for this series of posts. A good article, which gave me the idea of dividing those risks into non-manmade and manmade varieties to spread them over two posts. It has a pretty thorough list of non-anthropogenic threats (which I covered in that post). And it lists most of the major anthropogenic threats that I want to discuss in this post. But it fails to to tie those risks together in the way that I think is necessary if one is going to arrive at any sort of deep understanding of what is going on in the world today. I'll be addressing this in my next post —"Evaluating Existential Threats, Conclusions."
Artificial intelligence
There are two different threats in this area.
1) A Technological Singularity
The idea here is that we will develop general artificial intelligence that […] Continue Reading…
Evaluating Existential Threats, Part 2: Non-anthropogenic Threats
Off the keyboard of Irv Mills
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Originally Published on The Easiest Person to Fool March12, 2017
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Last time, I talked about worry as a driver to action, and how to evaluate problems as to whether they are worth worrying about or not. I think that my approach does work for smaller scale, day-to-day problems, but I was mainly focusing on existential threats—things that promise, at the very least, to wipe out a large chunk of our human population and, at the worst, to bring an end to life on earth. And I promised to go into detail about some such threats.
Today we'll look at a number of "non-anthropogenic" (non-manmade) threats. This list is not meant to be exhaustive, but I think it is a good introduction to the subject.
Non-anthropogenic threats tend to be large scale—forces of nature. In many cases there is little we can do but run away and/or try to be well prepared to cope with their effects. Fortunately, when it comes to coping, similar preparations work for many different types of threats.
For those who like the precise use of terminology I admit to being […] Continue Reading…
Limits to Economic Growth
Off the keyboard of Brian Davey
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Published on FEASTA on April 16, 2017
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This lecture was presented at the University of Nottingham on April 4, 2017. Please click on the slides to enlarge them.
On April 3 in the Guardian there was an article about Christine Lagarde of the IMF concerned that the growth of productivity in many “developed countries” has been falling. There is a problem for the finance sector if growth falls away since additional income is needed for people to be able to service and repay their debts. Without growth the finance sector is destabilised and, indeed, it has been necessary to bring down interest rates to manage the situation.
But the problem is not only a practical one. Growth of production is central to the core ideology of the current economic system, to the idea of “development” and “progress”. It is central to the legitimacy of the people who run the global economy. Without it there is a legitimacy crisis.
Slide One
Source: https://www.businessinsider.com.au/alan-greenspan-productivity-brexit-trump-2017-2
The idea of “progress” primarily emerged in what was called the European enlightenment of the 18th century and involved the idea that science and […] Continue Reading…
Evaluating Existential Threats
Off the keyboard of Irv Mills
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Originally Published on The Easiest Person to Fool March 5, 2017
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In a recent post, I talked about how most people are loath to discuss collapse, some even believing that talking about it makes it more likely to happen. After all, Business As Usual is working just fine and everything is going to be alright. Right?
In contrast to this sort of head-in-the-sand optimism there are people (admittedly a much smaller number of us) who like to focus on existential threats—things that promise, at the very least, to wipe out a large chunk of our human population and, at the worst, to bring an end to life on earth. When you start looking into this you'll find that there are quite a variety of such threats. In my next two posts, I'll take a look at a selection of them. I'll explain why I think that the kind of collapse that I've been talking about is the threat most worthy of most of our attention. And in the process we'll get a clearer picture of what kind of collapse that is.
This post, […] Continue Reading…
The Flies of Summer
Off the keyboard of Albert Bates
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Published on Peak Surfer on April 9, 2017
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"Any faith that China will be standing at the base of the burning building with a fireman’s net is misplaced. "
A portion of the Silk Road passing through Northern Fujian Province, October 2016 image by Albert Bates
As national Republican political strategist Rick Wilson said on The Last Word, what we witnessed this past Thursday at the clown show in the White House was impulse, not policy. "Whoosh, whoosh, bang, bang, he got to turn the key and watch the pretty rockets go … this is a guy with the attention span of a gnat on meth."
The cost of the whoosh whoosh bang bang, just in spent ordnance, not delivery, was somewhere north of $80 million. Damage on the ground has been estimated at $700,000. Raytheon, who makes Tomahawks for the Navy, saw its stock value jump $500 million.
The more important meeting took place in Rick Wilson's home state of Florida, where POTUS continued to rack up Secret Service bills (some $30 million so far this year) at his Mar-A-Lago Resort where […] Continue Reading…
What I Believe
Off the keyboard of Irv Mills
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Originally Published on The Easiest Person to Fool April, 2012 (now updated)
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With this article, the Diner welcomes Irv Mills to the pantheon of Diner cross posting bloggers. Irv began his blog almost precisely when the Diner was launched. I'll periodically go back into his archives for some old stuff, as well as publih his latest entries, if they fit the Diner blog spin. This article is a page on his blog introducing himself, so you know where he is coming from. In the next 2 weeks, we will feature articles from his recent series Evaluating Existential Threats. -RE
I posted the original version of this page in April of 2012 and added to it in a post on Feb. 26, 2013. Based on statistics, it looks like a lot of people who visit this blog have a look at this page, so it's probably worth keeping it up to date. I have a few new ideas that need to be put down on "paper", so I guess it is time for just such an update. Here we go.
In one of the […] Continue Reading…
The Cool Lab
Off the keyboard of Albert Bates
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Published on Peak Surfer on April 2, 2017
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"Is it possible that technology no more complicated than an Easy Bake Oven — one that pays for itself — can reverse climate change?"
Permaculturally, the first stage of any design is protracted observation. What does a biological system have in over-abundance? What is scarce? How will it restore balance? What are the obstacles?
Let us say that an impoverished village in Haiti risks being carried away by mudslides that follow brush fires where the forest has been cut down to supply wood for shelter and cooking. What things are scarce? In no particular order:
food
water
cooking fuel
secure shelter
energy
productive employment
biodiversity
soil
birth control
health care
What things are over-abundant?
mud
deforestation
rain
hurricanes
earthquakes
unemployed people
superstition
resentment
mosquitoes
climate change
Lets see which of these things we can match up and cancel out. What we are about to describe is a carbon cascade.
The hillside needs to be planted with vegetation. It is especially important that the hilltops be forested. A keyline analysis will show us where water wants to go when it rains, and how best it can be held high in the landscape and directed both to subsurface flows and […] Continue Reading…
Decline & Fall of the Western Empire
Off the keyboard of Ugo Bardi
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Published on Cassandra's Legacy on May 3, 2017
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The auditorium of Fiesole, near Florence, Italy. A monster of glass and concrete, it was announced almost 15 years ago but it was never completed and probably never will be. It can be seen as a metaphor of the decline of the West: if there are no more resources to produce or to distribute goods, the whole economy grinds to a halt.
The Decline of the West: Left or Right, It Doesn't Matter
In a previous post, Miguel Martinez examined the retreat from Moscow of Napoleon's army as a metaphor for the decline of the Left in the West. Martinez notes how the Left has normally emphasized the redistribution of the goods produced by the economy but that, nowadays, the resource crisis makes it impossible to produce enough goods to distribute. It is just like when the soldiers of Napoleon's army found little to plunder in Moscow after that they had conquered the city.
In practice, the plight of the Right is not different from that of the Left. Traditionally, the Right emphasized production rather than redistribution. […] Continue Reading…
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