Supply Chains, Population & Community: Conversation with Dmitry Orlov Part II

Off the microphones of Dmitry Orlov, Monsta & RE
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Aired on the Doomstead Diner on August 21, 2014

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In case you missed it, here is the first part of the Interview with Dmitry

Dmitry Orlov Part I
Latest Frostbite Falls Daily Rant Series: Riots in #Ferguson

SNAP to RIOT IN #ferguson,
SNAP to RIOT 2 in #ferguson,
SNAP to RIOT 3: Bring on the National Guard

In this part of the podcast, we discuss with Dmitry the issues of Supply Chains necessary to maintain our current Industrial Civilization, the possible effects of Supply Chain breakdowns, resiliency versus efficiency and how the various nations under the Soviet Union umbrella coped with the collapse of that mega-state.  Other topics include the possibilities for Near Term Human Extinction and principles underlying Sustainable Communities.
Coming soon to Diner Podcasts, a new Frostbite Falls Daily Rant on the 8th Crusade looking at the escalating assymetric warfare being pursued by the ISIS Caliphate in MENA.

RE

Analysing Ukraine and MENA: A Conversation with Dmitry Orlov

Off the microphones of Dmitry Orlov, Monsta & RE
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Aired on the Doomstead Diner on August 21, 2014

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Technical Production Note:  In  the first 10 minutes or so of the Interview, I was working on my Cell Phone rather than over Skype, and my Audio is not very good there. Dmitry’s Audio is clear and so is Monsta’s.  I switched to Skype and my Audio for the rest of the Podcast is quite clear.

 

Dmitry Orlov has been studying the dynamics of the Collapse of Industrial Society for many years, he runs the Blog Club Orlov and is author of The 5 Stages of Collapse, as well as succeeding texts on the subject.  In my first years investigating Collapse issues, Dmitry’s name was often bandied about on the Peak Oil forum.

In this first part of our interview with Dmitry we look at the ongoing conflict inside Ukraine,  conflicts in the Middle East,the underlying conflicts of Energy and Credit systems behind these problems, Bilateral trade agreements between Russia and the other BRICS nations and many other related topics.

In Part II we look at more general aspects of collapse, possibilities [...] Continue Reading…

This Week In Doom August 19, 2014

Off the keyboard of Surly1
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Originally published on the Doomstead Diner on August 19, 2014

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It was a week in which several horsemen of the apocalypse decamped, suitable booted and spurred, for a ride through the end stages of post-industrial “civilization.” Certainly War, Pestilence and Death each hoisted themselves atop their respective steeds and heralded their news in different quarters, all against a continuing backdrop of climate change and the accompanying chorus of denials from monied interests. And then there is Ferguson, the doom gift that keeps on giving, in the words of RE. Such was the week that it took two weeks to write this column. I began last week with a handful of stories and a surly attitude, and found that I couldn’t complete the column, such did events outstrip the narrative. Weirdnesses began to peek around corners, demanding revisions.  Given that a creative project is not so much completed  as abandoned, I’m abandoning this overwritten son of a bitch right here.

“Bring it. You fucking animals, bring it…”
For those who studiously the posture of a head in the sand regarding our national security state and the militarization of local police, events in Ferguson, Missouri this week should have roused even you from your torpor. Or would [...] Continue Reading…

SNAP to RIOT 3: Bring on the National Guard

Off the microphone of RE
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Aired on the Doomstead Diner on August 19, 2014

Visit Diner Soundcloud for the full archive of Podcasts and Frostbite Falls Daily Rants.  Visit the Collapse Cafe for Diner Vidcast Interviews and Debates
Coming Soon: An Interview with Dmitry Orlov on the Ukraine Conflict and Resource Depletion

SNAP to RIOT 2 in #ferguson             SNAP to RIOT IN #ferguson

Discuss this Rant at the Podcast Table inside the Diner

Filed Under: Ferguson, Food Stamps, Militarization, Missouri, National Guard, Nixon, Obama, Police State, Poverty, Race War, Riots, St. Louis, Unemployment, Welfare, Death Penalty, Cop Killers

Snippet:
…I was intending on moving on tonight to more International Doom, but #ferguson is the Doom Gift that Keeps on Giving.

For the 3rd night in a row with no sign of slowing down, the looting and rioting continue. The livestreams and pics from tonight’s action look like a War Zone, gas and smoke bombs being fired all over the place, and numerous shots fired, though no reports yet of anyone getting hit.

The Obamanista still hasn’t made an appearance there, you would think after a solid week of this shit escalating it might be worthwhile to fly Air Force [...] Continue Reading…

Diner TV

The Outrageous Beauty of MEDIEVAL CASTLES

Off the keyboard of Stuck in New Jersey
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Published on The Burning Platform on August 22, 2014

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Note:  This is a very long article. You can just skip to the Parts that interest you. Or, if you just want to see the pictures, each one has a title in brown font, and a description in purple. Or, you can read the whole thing, and wind up smarter than a fifth grader.

PART I ——- A Brief History of Castle Architecture

PART II —— General Overview

PART III —– Castle Life (it often sucked)

PART IV —– Defending The Castle

PART V —— Castle Pictures

=======================================

PART I —— A Brief History of Castle Architecture

You may read something here and say to yourself, “That’s not correct!”.  Just keep two things in mind. First, as often is the case, much of what folks know about castles will come from television and movies …. and those TV castles will always show the late-period castles, even anachronistically, if necessary. (TV/movies are a terrible source of accurate information.) Secondly,  you must keep in mind that very many changes were made to castles during the roughly 500 year Middle Ages [...] Continue Reading…

Growing Mayhem & Staged Provocations

Off the keyboard of Anthony Cartalucci
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Published on Land Destroyer on August 20 & 21, 2014

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Growing Mayhem – US Operating on Both Sides of Syrian-Iraqi Border

US may attempt to arm and provide air cover for terrorists in Syria after claiming success in fighting ISIS in Iraq using Kurds. 
 
August 21, 2014 (Tony Cartalucci – LD) - As predicted, the “sudden” appearance of the Islamic State in Syria and Iraq (ISIS) in northern Iraq weeks ago, has created the rhetorical framework within which the United States and its regional partners will attempt to militarily intervene in both Iraq and Syria. Token US airstrikes have already been underway in Iraq, and it is now revealed that US special operation forces have been operating in Syria, under the guise of attempting to rescue abducted and now slain American journalist, James Wright Foley.

The New York Times in an article titled, “U.S. Tried to Take Foley and Other Hostages From ISIS,” claimed:
A secret nighttime military mission authorized by President Obama to rescue Americans held captive in Syria failed early this summer when a team of two dozen Delta Force commandos raided an [...] Continue Reading…

Energy and the Economy – Twelve Basic Principles

Off the keyboard of Gail Tverberg
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Published on Our Finite World on August 14, 2014

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There is a standard view of energy and the economy that can briefly be summarized as follows: Economic growth can continue forever; we will learn to use less energy supplies; energy prices will rise; and the world will adapt. My view of how energy and the economy fit together is very different. It is based on the principle of reaching limits in a finite world. Let me explain the issues as I see them.

Twelve Basic Principles of Energy and the Economy

1. Economic models are no longer valid, as we start getting close to limits.

We live in a finite world. Because of this, the extraction of energy resources and of resources in general operates in a way that is not at all intuitive as we approach limits. Economists have put together models of how the economy can be expected to act based on how the economy acts when it is distant from limits. Unfortunately, these economic models are worse than useless as limits approach because modeled relationships no longer hold. For example:

(a) [...] Continue Reading…

The killer on the (Saudi) king’s highway

Off the keyboard of Pepe Escobar
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THE ROVING EYE

Originally published in Asia Times on August 21, 2014
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There’s danger on the edge of town
Ride the king’s highway, baby
Weird scenes inside the gold mine
Ride the highway west, baby
The Doors, The End
The killer awoke before dawn. He put his American desert boots on. He took a knife from the ancient gallery. And he walked on down the hall – bathed in desert sunlight. The killer spoke with a British accent (London’s East End?) Father (Saud), I want to kill you. Mother (Langley?) I want to… 

yeeeaaahh, c’mon!
Then the sartorially composed Man in Black beheaded American photojournalist James Foley. This is not the end, beautiful friend. It’s just a new beginning in the never-ending Global War on Terror. Now starring Papa Saud’s brand new bag – The Caliph and his goons. This is the way Shock and Awe morphs into “Assad must go” morphs into Islamic State of Iraq and Syria, morphs into The Caliph’s Black Britannia goon responding to “humanitarian” bombing. I’m my own baby now. Watch me work. Bring it on.Choice scenery. Good sound and vision production values. Careful editing. No unnecessary gore. No blood splattering. No Allahu Akbar shrieks. [...] Continue Reading…

Ebolas of Our Own

From the keyboard of Thomas Lewis
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Health care workers in Guinea suit up before approaching patients infected with Ebola in the early days of an outbreak that has become a world health emergency. But it’s not the only one. (Photo European Commission.)

First published at The Daily Impact  August 8, 2014
 

The world is transfixed right now by the awful spectacle of the Ebola outbreak in West Africa. It’s like a horror movie — it has inspired several — this monster that lurks for years in some remote African cave, then lashes out to condemn with its touch hundreds of people to a quick and ghastly death. Like a horror movie, the revulsion it inspires in us Americans is short-lived, a quick thrill of faux fear (it is, after all, in West Africa) somewhat like a child’s anxiety about a monster under the bed. But in our real-life movie, the Americans who hyperventilate briefly about the Ebola under the bed are ignorant of the fact that there are chain-saw mass murderers at the door and window.

Infectious diseases fully as horrible as Ebola are spreading across America like wildfires, ignited in many cases by industrial agriculture (whose overuse [...] Continue Reading…

Your Recovery Without Drugs

Off the keyboard of Jim Quinn
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Published on The Burning Platform on August 18, 2014

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“If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their currency, first by inflation, then by deflation, the banks…will deprive the people of all property until their children wake-up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered…. The issuing power should be taken from the banks and restored to the people, to whom it properly belongs.”
– Thomas Jefferson

Does this chart portray an economic recovery in any way? Wages have been stagnant since the START of the supposed recovery in 2010. Real median household income, even using the highly understated CPI, is on a glide path to oblivion. You just need to observe with your own two eyes the number of Space Available signs in front of office buildings, strip centers and malls across America to realize we have further to fall. Low paying, part-time burger flipping jobs aren’t going to revive this debt saturated economic system. But at least the .1% are enjoying their Federal Reserve created high. Fiat is a powerful drug when administered in large doses [...] Continue Reading…

Why so much anger in Ferguson?

Off the keyboard of Michael Snyder
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Published on the Economic Collapse on August 18, 2014

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When people feel like they don’t have anything else to lose, they are likely to do just about anything.  Many in the mainstream media seem absolutely mystified as to why there is so much anger in Ferguson, but as I pointed out yesterday, all of this anger did not erupt out of a vacuum.  Economic conditions in Ferguson, and for African-Americans as a whole, have been deteriorating for years.  Sadly, many white Americans are totally oblivious to any of this.  Many of them have absolutely no idea that the unemployment rate for black Americans is more than twice as high as it is for white Americans or that the average white household has 22 times as much wealth as the average black household.  But these are things that black communities are acutely aware of.  Many African-Americans that live in poor neighborhoods deeply resent the fact that most of the people that live in the “good neighborhoods” are white while most of the people that live in “bad neighborhoods” are people of color.  [...] Continue Reading…

Mr. Bad Example

From the keyboard of James Howard Kunstler
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Originally Published on Clusterfuck Nation  August 18, 2014

Of all the awful tensions roiling and coiling in American society, it’s only a little bit surprising that the racial module is blowing off now rather than, say, the stock market. Perhaps it’s a seasonal thing: race riots in the summer; stock market crashes in the fall, revolutions in the spring.
Michael Brown, the 18-year-old shooting victim of a cop-stop in Ferguson, Missouri, was not the best candidate for martyrdom. But it was only after the violent protests to his killing got underway that his convenience store robbery videotape went public — despite attempts by the US Department of Justice to suppress it — and by then it was too late to stop the juggernaut of grievance. Meanwhile, the white condescension machine (The New York Times, The Huffington Post, et. al.) revved into top gear to validate the fears and resentments of the rioters.
The casual observer from Mars might have trouble finding the reality in this welter of bad feeling. A toxicology report should have accompanied the second autopsy report, and shed a little light, but apparently no one has asked for it yet — [...] Continue Reading…

Permission to Steal Everything

Off the keyboard of Dmitry Orlov
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Published on Club Orlov on August 13, 2014

The Svoboda Right Wing Party adds to the mayhem in Ukraine
Coming Soon: A Collapse Cafe Podcast discussion with Dmitry Orlov on the causes and consequences of the Ukrainian Civil War
Discuss this article at the Geopolitics Table inside the Diner
There is a convoy of 280 gleaming white trucks moving through Russia toward Ukraine loaded with humanitarian aid for the populations of Donetsk and Lugansk. This isn’t much, considering that well over a million people have been cut off from food, water, electricity and (soon) heat because of indiscriminate artillery bombardment by the Ukrainian military. But it’s a start. But it seems like a rocky start; first, NATO’s mouthpiece Rasmussen tries to characterize this humanitarian mission as a clandestine invasion. Then the Ukrainians start imposing various conditions. Let’s consider these separately.

When was the last time Russia, or, for that matter, USSR, mount a clandestine invasion? If you said “Crimea,” then you need to understand that

1. Russian troops have been in Crimea continuously for the past 231 years;
2. they were there under an international treaty; and
3. their troop levels never exceeded [...] Continue Reading…

SNAP to RIOT 2 in #ferguson

Off the microphone of RE
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Aired on the Doomstead Diner on August 17, 2014

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Snippet:
…Looks like I spoke a little too soon about the Ferguson Riots calming down. Practically minutes after I published, Ferguson erupted AGAIN.

This time, instead of rolling out the tanks and rpg smoke bombs and tear gas, the Gestapo backed off and let the looters ransack at will.

Now, riots themselves are not amusing, but what is really amusing is reading the commentary on Libertarian type blogs like The Burning Platform.

When the first reports and pics came out with the Gestapo in full riot gear rolling into Ferguson in Tanks wearing enough Body Armour to stop a Depleted Uranium Full Metal Jacket Armor Piercing .50 Cal BMG slug, the commentariat (and bloggers of many stripes) all went ballistic themselves about our expanding Police State and Loss of Freedoms, Militarization of the Police, etc.

In round two of the Libertarian Kabuki Theater, as the Gestapo withdraws and lets the Looters Gone Wild show roll into high gear, the SAME folks are back [...] Continue Reading…

Russian Tanks in Ukraine?

Off the keyboard of Anthony Cartalucci
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Published on Land Destroyer on August 15, 2014

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Consider the source…

August 15, 2014 (Tony Cartalucci – NEO) – Denying civilians admittedly needed aid constitutes, in the West’s own terms, a crime against humanity. While in Syria attempts by the West to openly arm and equip known terrorist organizations within Syrian territory included a mandate from the UN that allowed supplies to flow without the approval of the Syrian government. Those “aided,” are now clearly the Islamic State in Syria and Iraq (ISIS) running rampant on both sides of the Syrian-Iraqi border.In Ukraine, precisely the opposite is happening. The regime in Kiev is openly raising armies of Nazi militants to go east and mass murder Ukrainians. Referring to Russian-speaking Ukrainians as “subhumans,” the NATO-backed regime is clearly attempting region-wide genocide. Humanitarian aid from Russia, opened for inspection and coordinated with the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC), has been blatantly denied  entry into eastern Ukraine after baseless accusations have been made by both Kiev and their NATO backers that it constituted a “Trojan horse.”

To further poison attempts to relieve desperate civilian [...] Continue Reading…

SNAP to RIOT IN #ferguson

Off the microphone of RE
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Aired on the Doomstead Diner on August 16, 2014

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Snippet:
…Today I am going to move away from the international geopolitical clusterfuck going on in Ukraine, MENA et al to return home to the FSoA, where the latest local Clusterfuck is ongoing in Ferguson, MO, which actually is part of the St Louis metro area. Ongoing as I write the script for this rant is some amount of undetermined rioting, but a very determined amount of large scale Gestapo crackdown.

The ostensible reason for the excitement there was the shooting of a young black male by a cop, for unknown reasons in any detail. This followed by numerous other young black males taking to the streets in protest, then taking the opportunity to do some Looting, again of how big a part of this looting is or was is open to conjecture.

All you need far as Newz Propaganda is concerned are one or two good shots of a black male exiting through the broken window with a Big Screen TV on his shoulder, and you get the immediate knee jerk reaction that the whole [...] Continue Reading…

Lies, Damn Lies & STOCHASTICS

Off the keyboard of John Ward
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Published on The Slog on August 15, 2014

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Taking stock of market stochastics
So here I sit, in my kitchen, at 8.30 pm CET, noting that the sunsets are getting earlier. But the temperature is that normally associated with May – whereas in May, we had the sort of temperatures one expects in July. In late March/early April it was like August. January this year was similar to September. The pool temperature is a chilly 19 degrees. God, isn’t life a bitch?

It could well be that someone on the commodity markets – in league with the Pentagon – is shuffling the weather deck with a view to making vast virtual profits from the physical death of millions. Or, on the other hand, it could just be that weather glitches do not a climate change make, and that weather is a stochastic sort of thing.

There’s a word you’ve heard from time to time, and then forgotten – or looked up, and then forgotten what it means. ‘Stochastic’ is one of those words that comes into vogue now and then among the commentariat: [...] Continue Reading…

Vanishing point …

Off the keyboard of Pepe Escobar
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THE ROVING EYE

Originally published in Asia Times on August 15, 2014
Discuss this article here in the Diner Forum.
First, passenger airliner MH370 vanished from Planet Earth. Then MH370 vanished from the news cycle. First, MH17 was shot down by “Putin’s missile” – as Planet Earth was told. Then MH17 vanished from the news cycle. Where’s Baudrillard when we need him? Had he been alive, the dervish of simulacra would have already deconstructed these two Malaysian planes as mirror images; from absolute vanishing to maximum exposure, then vanished again. They might as well have been abducted – and shot – by aliens. Now you seem them, now you don’t.

Black boxes, data recorders – everything MH17 is now floating in a black void. The British are taking forever to analyze the data – and if they have already done so, they are not talking. It’s as if they were singing, I see a black box / and I want it painted black … void. The Pentagon, with 20-20 vision over Ukraine, knows what happened. Russian intelligence not only knows what happened but offered a tantalizing glimpse of it in an official presentation, dismissed by the “West”. The best technical [...] Continue Reading…

Collective Insanity II

Off the microphone of RE
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Aired on the Doomstead Diner on August 15, 2014

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Snippet:

…In the last rant, I covered a small subset of the Collective Insanity ongoing around the world, but in the two days since I recorded it, Insanity has upped by an Order of Magnitude. It’s impossible to keep pace with doom these days, at least if you do all the writing, recording and audio editing yourself and hold down a regular job. To be a comprehensive Doomer these days, you gotta go Full Time at it and you need a support staff of at least 4 people.
I’ll start tonight with ongoing bullshit in Ukraine, where apparently the 300 vehicle strong Ruskie Relief Convoy supposedly partnered with the International Red Cross was held up at the Ukrainian Border by the Ukies. THEY want to administer all this aid down in the conflict region, which generally would mean anybody that supports them gets some food, anybody in favor of lining up with Vlad the Impaler does not. Also, supposedly there are anti-aircraft missiles being transported along with the food supplies, which actually makes sense these [...] Continue Reading…

Peak mileage and the diminishing returns of technology

Off the keyboard of Ugo Bardi
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Published on Resource Crisis on August 13, 2014

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This graph, from “economonitor,” is very interesting because it contains so much relevant information. (However, note one detail: the title of the graph, “Miles Driven” is somewhat misleading; it should be “mileage”, as the text of the post clearly says.) The relation of mileage to hourly wages is a parameter worth examining because it tells us a lot about the “systemic” efficiency of road transportation. What kind of efficiency can we actually afford?

Now, the graph shows a clear “peak mileage” which occurred around the year 2000, when Americas could afford the highest mileage from their cars in history. It was an efficiency peak of the road transportation system. But then, this efficiency diminished. How can we explain that?

The data of the graph depend on three factors 1) the cost of gasoline, 2) the average hourly wage, and 3) the average mileage of cars. Let see first the behavior of oil prices, which determine gasoline prices.

You see how oil prices spiked twice during the past 50 years, with the first and the second (ongoing) [...] Continue Reading…

Daily Rant 8/16/2014

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