Old King Coal Stricken; Prognosis Grave

From the keyboard of Thomas Lewis
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A coal train once supplied the city of Holland, Michigan with fuel for its electric generating plant. They converted the plant to natural gas. Their costs are down, their emissions are down, and coal is down for the count. (Photo by wsilver/Flickr)

A coal train once supplied the city of Holland, Michigan with fuel for its electric generating plant. They converted the plant to natural gas. Their costs are down, their emissions are down, and coal is down for the count. (Photo by wsilver/Flickr)

First published at The Daily Impact  March 27, 2015

After bestriding the mountains of Appalachia, among many other places, like the proverbial Colossus for a century and more, the U.S. coal industry has been taken to hospice, a pathetic wasted shadow of its former self, its physical condition terminal, its thought processes derailed by dementia. It’s not a pretty sight (except perhaps to the survivors of the ruin, destruction and death it has brought to thousands upon thousands of helpless people) and there are those who say its fate foreshadows that of the oil fracking  industry, which is now in the ICU, and the legacy oil bidness, which has started to have dizzy spells and occasional sudden hemorrhaging.

A report out this week from the think tank Carbon Tracker, titled “The U.S. Coal Crash,” itemizes the problems listed on the patient’s chart:

  • 26 coal companies bankrupt in the last three years;
  • Peabody Energy Corp., the world’s largest private coal company, has lost 80% of its share value, and that is representative of the industry as a whole (or as a hole);
  • 264 mines were closed in just two years — 2011-2013.
  • The last best hope for coal, China, which burns more than the rest of the world combined, has rendered much of its territory including its capital virtually uninhabitable because of the resulting air pollution, and is cutting back. A little. Down 3% last year.

Oh, and the dementia part? Peabody Energy issued a “forecast” this year “foreseeing” increased coal demand of 10-30 million tons, and global demand increasing by 500 million tons. Not only that, but the industry professes to believe in “clean” coal, and that its woes are caused entirely by President Obama’s “war on coal.” It’s sad, really, next we’ll find them wandering in the WalMart parking lot, unable to remember where they put their car.

What the industry calls the “war on coal” — the U.S. government’s limp-wristed efforts to reduce air pollution before it a) boils the planet and b) makes all the monuments in Washington invisible, like the skyline of Beijing — is not the primary cause of the industry’s demise. That mortal wound was delivered by the natural gas frackers, who in 2008 began to flood the market with cheap, fracked gas and inspired every electric generating plant that could do it to convert to burning gas instead of coal.

There went coal’s last reliable market, and that is why the doctors expect to see a flat line on the monitor any day now. Incidentally, the gas frackers did so well at driving down the price of their product that many of them went under, too, and the rest are hanging on with teeth and fingernails. You can’t get poetic justice to rhyme any better than that.

You’ve heard of those people who get diagnosed as terminal, check into hospice, and five years later get kicked out because they refuse to die? Coal will probably be like that for the remainder of the Industrial Age. It will remain the cheapest option for some, and cheap trumps everything else in our values-deprived world. Same with oil. It will endure long past its prime, in palliative care.

Yes, the mighty are falling, and it’s hard not to gloat, until we remember their ultimate justification: they were only giving us what we wanted.

 


 

Thomas Lewis is a nationally recognized and reviewed author of six books, a broadcaster, public speaker and advocate of sustainable living. He also is Editor of The Daily Impact website, and former artist-in-residence at Frostburg State University. He has written several books about collapse issues, including Brace for Impact and Tribulation. Learn more about them here.

 

 

3 Responses to Old King Coal Stricken; Prognosis Grave

  • Ken Barrows says:

    Don’t count coal out yet. NG is cheap to the consumer but maybe not to the producer. Gas rigs are falling as well as oil, so we’ll find out within a couple of years if Jeffrey Brown is right when he says 24% of US NG production has to be replaced every year.

  • luke werner says:

    Peak everything……funny, the view is not as good as Walt Disney promised it would be.

    The view isn’t even as good as Del Webb promised it would be.

    It looks like Camden NJ….not Tomorrowland, or even Sun City.

    The view from the top of peak everything is heartbreaking and tragic, dizzying and sometimes amazing.

    Somewhere we forgot that coal is what bad kids get in their stocking……and the Kochs must have been very naughty indeed!

  • Louise says:

    I would not be having coal’s wake yet…..

    As the EROEI of oil and gas reserves declines coal reserves with decent EROEI will come into production…. that a a nice little oil war in the middle east and a decline in available oil to import…

    Bring back the steam locomotives I say…..

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HR5dEc5VeNw

    How is that for “clean burning coal”…… lol Brought to you by Goebbel Production.

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