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Published on The Doomstead Diner on August 22, 2019

Discuss this article at the Refugees & Migration Table inside the Diner

 

She sipped coffee, her voice made little ripples in her cup

' How long are we going to wait here

He looked up from his phone

' Don't worry, it is just going to be a bit longer today. The kitchen is short-staffed

' Why's that, how do you know?

' The Guatemalans did not show up for work today and they only have one Mexican

' Oh, that's right. Trump's immigration raids are today. But how do you know they only have one Mexican?

' All the others Mexicans have cleaning services and do yardwork now. Being here a while they know what pays. More lucrative I imagine and ICE does not work nights so much. People are going to leave a floor waxer alone. Guatemalans are still in the kitchen. They are more recent in getting here

' Why did Trump tell everyone about what he was going to do. Has that happened before?

' Separating children in families of refugees has a really long history. The Romans did it to the Visigoths when the Visigoths were driven into the empire by Huns. There were two and a half million Visigoth youth spread across the empire and held hostage, something like that. When the Visigoth uprising started they were all killed

' Stop that. You always do that. I was talking about Trump. Pay attention

' I figure Trump puts the news out to wave his law enforcement finger. They are all criminals don't you know. 'Drug dealers, criminals, rapists' that is what Trump says. Convincing people the raids are going after criminals instead of brown people trying to eat; that is Trump being Trump. Trump with PR smarter than he himself, his trademark

Trump gets pre-approval for his raids by saying he goes after criminals and those who are here illegally, who become criminals by definition. I had a hard time finding any news about how many people are coming across the border a month. All we get is propaganda. Details they do not want us to know. Bloomberg was the worst, total spin and inhumanity.

' Some of them are criminal, they need to go

' About 100,000 a month now. Gangs are rampant in El Salvador and many people from there flee from violence. It is easy to twist all Salvadorians as being violent instead of most being actual victims of violence. Mainstream media does not even need a Trump to do that

' Any group of 100,000 people are going to have some bad eggs. I'd like to have mine. You said Guatemalans

' Yes, most are from Honduras and Guatemala. The area is called the Northern Triangle of Central America. Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador. The area is experiencing a horrible drought which has been going on for several years now. It is climate change doing its thing. Most of the refugees from Honduras and Guatemala say they come north because they have nothing to eat. Malnourished with starving kids. Under American law coming here that way is an illegal act. So is talking about climate change

' That is horrible

' Yes it is

This Week in Doom August 18, 2019

That-Was-The-Week-That-W-That-Was-The-Week-473964gc2smFrom the keyboard of Surly1
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                                                                                                                                                                             Anthony Freda

Originally published on the Doomstead Diner on August 18, 2019

“We're facing mass starvation in the next 10 years,  social collapse and the possible extinction of the human race. It couldn't be worse. So that situation has come about over 30 years of failure– failure by the elites, failure by the governments, and failure by campaigners….The public Is now aware that the elites are taking them to their death!”  

–Roger Hallam


Long before there was a Doomstead Diner, long before 9-11, there was Milton William Cooper. Cooper was the greatest conspiracist of this generation and a man you may not have heard of. His book Behold A Pale Horse  was an underground sensation and the ur-source for many later conspiracy theorists. Cooper's "Hour of the Time" radio program was also broadcast on short wave, circulated and downloaded long before podcasts existed. Cooper was right about many things, wrong about others, Yet he predicted future events and trends accurately, and knew that by telling the truth, TPTB would come for him. Which they did.

Behold A Pale Horse is what's called a "prison book" because it's one of the most read books in prison, passed from hand to hand until the spines break. This book is kept behind shelves in bookstores because it is also one of the most stolen books in history. More than any other single influence, encountering this book led me to distrust the so-called "official story," and which eventually put me on a path to the Diner.

I'm currently reading Cooper's biography, Pale Horse Rider: William Cooper, the Rise of Conspiracy, and the Fall of Trust in America,  by Mark Jacobson. Cooper was a complicated man with a mercurial temper; he was also a black-helicopter paranoid who provided some of the ideology for the right-wing militia movement and mother's milk for Oklahoma City bomber Timothy McVeigh and many others like him. From thre flyleaf:

"We are living in a time of unprecedented distrust in America: Faith in the government is at an all-time low, and political groups on both sides of the aisle are able to tout preposterous conspiracy theories as gospel, without much opposition. "Fake news" is the order of the day…  A former U.S. naval intelligence worker, Milton William Cooper published his manifesto Behold a Pale Horse in 1991. Since then it has gone on to sell hundreds of thousands of copies, becoming the number-one bestseller in the American prison system.

Decades before QAnon, false flags, “crisis actors” and Alex Jones, there was William Cooper. Some call Cooper the father of the so-called Patriot movement and the spiritual godfather to the Alex Joneses and QAnons of the world. My politics could not be farther frm those people, but Cooper had some deep insight into the sickness of our times. Every story we treat on this week has running through it the pervasive and overwhelming lack of trust that afflicts our times, which Cooper, however great his flaws, pointed out early and repeatedly.

An unpleasant alcoholic and perhaps bi-polar to boot, Cooper died in a shootout with Apache County, AZ police in 2001, one month after September 11, the same year in which he had predicted the coming catastrophe. He leaves a complicated legacy, but the distrust of "official stories" he advanced permeates the following stories. Here's this week in doom.


Autopsy finds broken bones in Jeffrey Epstein’s neck, deepening questions around his death

On August 15, an autopsy found that financier Jeffrey Epstein suffered multiple breaks in his neck bones, according to two people familiar with the findings. This raised questions regarding the mystery about the circumstances around his death. Specifically, his hyoid bone was broken,

"…which in men is near the Adam’s apple. Such breaks can occur in those who hang themselves, particularly if they are older, according to forensics experts and studies on the subject. But they are more common in victims of homicide by strangulation, the experts said.

The office of New York City’s chief medical examiner, Barbara Sampson, completed an autopsy of Epstein’s body Sunday… Asked about the neck injuries, Sampson said in a statement that no single factor in an autopsy can alone provide a conclusive answer about what happened."

Nevertheless, the ME presented findings that Epstein's death was a suicide. Fair enough, except that according to some anecdotal sources, Epstein couldn't empty a bag of garbage without staff help, so one can consider how he was able to "hang himself" from the top bunk on a room with seven foot ceilings, yet somehow sustain injuries consistent with strangulation. His cellmate, a former state trooper, was supposedly excused from his cell. Epstein's brother has supposedly ID'd the body, an identification as relaibler as the location of JFK's brain.

And Jeffrey Epstein’s autopsy concluded with there medical examiner declaring his death was a suicide by hanging. So see, written evidence. Conclusions. Case closed. No need for a messy and troublesome murder investigation, the results of which might outrage the proles before the entire matter disappears down the memory hole.

Medical examiner rules Epstein death a suicide by hanging

Chief Medical Examiner Dr. Barbara Sampson said in a statement that she made the suicide determination “after careful review of all investigative information, including complete autopsy findings.”

Sampson’s announcement came as a Justice Department official told The Associated Press that some prison staffers believed to have relevant information aren’t cooperating with investigators.

Epstein’s lawyers said they were “not satisfied” with Sampson’s conclusions and that they would conduct their own investigation, including seeking to obtain any video of the area around Epstein’s cell from the time leading to his death.

Uh-huh. Nothing to see here citizen: move along.

Cover Up? Epstein Shipped $100K Cement Mixer To 'Pedo Island' Weeks Before Crushing Exposé

Approximately three weeks before a series of damning articles hit in the Miami Herald, Jeffrey Epstein paid up front to have a $100,000 cement mixer express-shipped to his infamous Little St. James 'pedo island' at great expense, according to the Daily Mail

The pedophile, who was found dead by apparent suicide on Saturday while awaiting trial for sex trafficking, got the Carmix 5.5 XL self loading concrete mixer delivered to Little St. James on November 7 last year.

Epstein was in such a hurry that he paid for the machine up front so it would arrive sooner – even though it meant being responsible if it got damaged in transit.

Three weeks later the Miami Herald published a series of articles called 'Perversion of Justice' on November 28, which eventually led to Epstein being arrested in July.

Shipping experts told DailyMailTV that the possibility that it was 'used to literally cover up evidence cannot be discounted'. 

Zero Hedge notes that 

On Monday, the FBI and NYPD raided Little St. James island last week, packing up evidence, although videos reveal some of it had already been moved prior to the raid. Perhaps they should have raided the island the same day he was arrested?

Who Protected Epstein for Decades, and Why?

One might well ask the above question, as did the redoubtable Charles Hugh Smith. Smith notes, " 'Epstein was an intelligence asset' is just a tissue-thin cover for a much more destructive reality: those at the top of the American state have no moral compass at all."

The rot goes much deeper. As Smith poses the question, he gestures at an answer:

There are several explanations floating around for the why: those in power enjoyed their diabolically exploitive visits to Lolita Island and wanted to continue their criminal gratifications.

The second explanation is that Epstein was a spy for a "friendly" foreign intelligence agency and therefore off-limits. ("Friendly" is in quotes because when it comes to intelligence, one's "friends" can do more damage than one's worst enemies.) 

Let's say this turns out to be true. Wouldn't the NSA, CIA and FBI know of Epstein's activities and connections to a foreign intelligence service? Of course they would. So at a minimum, we can infer the NSA, CIA and FBI enabled Epstein's operation to continue for some benefit, perhaps relating to "honeypot" blackmail and control of "assets," unwilling or willing.

Explaining the wrist-slap sentence of a decade ago and the subsequent promotions, praise and honors for the enablers. The entire Epstein affair, roping in as it did royals, presidents and high rollers of every sort, feeds the narrative that you can't believe anything the government says.

…corruption and debauchery undermine the legitimacy of the state, and so doing nothing while Epstein et al. gratified the desires of the rich and powerful for degenerate debauchery was treasonous: the American state will collapse not from military conflict but from moral decay, and every individual who enabled (or made use of) that moral decay is guilty of treason.

The Epstein affair and the "official stories" that will emerge therefrom will arrive pre-disbelieved. No one will trust the word of any official source. We've already seen speculation that Epstein was switched out in the wee small hours and a dead body was left behind. And even if the cadaver is Epstein's, no part of the official story accounts for the shrieking reportedly heard from his cell. Such widespread cynicism fits like a hand in glove the agenda of those with a 50-year plan to make people despise government so that they will no longer see it as the guarantor of last resort for their rights. It serves the agenda of those who wish to shrink the size of government so that they can drown it in a bathtub. And of Tangerine Twitler, who wants to blame Bill Clinton or Obama for his own sins of commission..

If you want to be fully read in on all matters Epstein, I strongly recommend following Mint Press' Whitney Webb. She connects the dots. Which is difficult, because if you read this, the roots of Epstein's touch a Mossad blackmail op reaching back decades…

Mega Group, Maxwells and Mossad: The Spy Story at the Heart of the Jeffrey Epstein Scandal


The picture painted by the evidence is not that of a direct Epstein tie to a single intelligence agency, but a of a web linking key members of the Mega Group, politicians, and officials in both the U.S. and Israel, and an organized-crime network with deep business and intelligence ties in both nations.


Cooking the Arctic

We know everything we need to know about the climate crises and the causes, but, in the face of all the warning signs, are pressing the accelerator to the floor. It's almost as if the one percent who possess bunkers, hired security and all the money siphoned from working people over the last 40 years (ever since Dutch declared "Morning in America") were intent on exterminating the proles while waiting out the maelstrom in air conditioned bunkers. It is abundantly self-evident that we we know what is happening and know what needs to be done, but refuse to do it because to do might cost some oil company profits. Here are some stories that moved this week.

Governments are failing to understand global catastrophic risks and need to take urgent action

A report published this week by Cambridge’s Centre for the Study of Existential Risk (CSER) today release a new report on what governments can do to understand and inform policy around these risks, which could threaten the global population. It is straightforward and decidedly unpretty, unless your take is that "threaten(ing) the global population" is the point of current policy. Nothing else makes sense.

The likelihood that a global catastrophe will occur in the next 20 years is uncertain, say the researchers, but the potential severity means that national governments have a responsibility to their citizens to manage these types of risks.

Des Browne, former UK Secretary of State for Defence, said: “National governments struggle with understanding and developing policy for the elimination or mitigation of extreme risks, including global catastrophic risks. Effective policies may compel fundamental structural reform of political systems, but we do not need, nor do we have the time, to wait for such change.

Governments must sufficiently understand the risks to design mitigation, preparation and response measures. But political systems often do not provide sufficient incentives for policy-makers to think about emerging or long-term issues, especially where vested interests and tough trade-offs are at play.

Hat tip to knarf for this Letter to the Future:

Scientists bid farewell to the first Icelandic glacier lost to climate change…

Scientists say they are bidding farewell to Okjökull, the first Icelandic glacier lost to climate change, in a funeral of sorts.
Researchers will gather Sunday in Borgarfjörður, Iceland, to memorialize Okjökull, known as Ok for short, after it lost its status as a glacier in 2014. The inscription, titled "A letter to the future," on the monument paints a bleak picture.
"Ok is the first Icelandic glacier to lose its status as a glacier. In the next 200 years, all our glaciers are expected to follow the same path. This monument is to acknowledge that we know what is happening and know what needs to be done. Only you know if we did it," the plaque reads in English and Icelandic.

Greenland's ice sheet just lost 11 billion tons of ice — in one day

After months of record temperatures, scientists say Greenland's ice sheet experienced its biggest melt of the summer on Thursday, losing 11 billion tons of surface ice to the ocean — equivalent to 4.4 million Olympic swimming pools. 

Greenland's ice sheet usually melts during the summer, but the melt season typically begins around the end of May; this year it began at the start. It has been melting "persistently" over the past four months, which have recorded all time temperature highs…

Greenland's ice sheet is the second biggest in the world and this season's ice melt has already contributed around half a millimeter to global sea levels. It comes in a summer where the Arctic has experienced "unprecedented" wildfires, which scientists say have been facilitated by high temperatures.

A Weather Station Above the Arctic Circle Hit 94.6 Degrees Fahrenheit

 Amid the hottest month in recorded history, some records still stand out as absolutely jaw dropping. That’s definitely true of a measurement made in the Arctic this July.

According to data released in the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) monthly climate analysis, a weather station in Sweden north of the Arctic Circle hit a stunning 94.6 Fahrenheit (34.8 degrees Celsius) last month. As an isolated data point, it would be shocking. But coupled with a host of other maladies, from no sea ice within 125 miles of Alaska to the unruly fires ravaging Siberia, it’s an exclamation point on the climate crisis.

The North Atlantic ocean current, which warms northern Europe, may be slowing

A stubborn blue spot of cool ocean temperatures stands out like the proverbial sore thumb in a recent NASA image of the warming world – a circle of cool blue on a planet increasingly shaded in hot red.

A region of the North Atlantic south of Greenland has experienced some of its coldest temperatures on record in recent years, a cooling unprecedented in the past thousand years. What explains that anomaly?

Climatologist Michael Mann of Penn State University, in this month’s “This is Not Cool” video, explains that this phenomenon may be an indication that the North Atlantic current, part of a larger global ocean circulation, is slowing down.


After reading the above cluster of related climate change articles, a reasonable person has little option. other than to conclude what one of the founders of Extinction Rebellion ,Roger Hallam, has concluded:

"The Public Is Now Aware That the Elites Are Taking Them To Their Death!" 
Roger Hallam's BBC interview

This interview would have never seen the light of day in the US. They'd have Tucker Carlsoned this segment quicker than you could say Rutger Bregman, and would have had Hallam's children murdered before letting this see the light of day. The interviewer for BBC HardTalk is Stephen Sackur, a choice Asshat Elite prostitute who does his Ken Dilanian best to discredit his guest and marginalize his POV. His guest Roger Hallam, one of the co-founders of Extinction Rebellion, is simply not having any of Sackur's marginalizations, and insists on telling the truth as it is, rather than the way the elites want it massaged.

Excerpt:

Stephen Sackur: So on the science there's no disagreement but are you saying that groups like Greenpeace and many many others have fundamentally failed in their mission to convince the world that things need to change?

Roger Hallam: Yes.  We fundamentally failed. I mean I failed, other activists have failed, campaigners have failed, we've all failed. The fact of
the matter is were facing mass starvation in the next 10 years,  social collapse and the possible extinction of the human race. It couldn't be worse. So that situation has come about over 30 years of failure failure by the elites, failure by the governments, and failure by 
campaigners. 

Stephen Sackur: Your message is entirely about failure, it's about negativity. It is in a way I suppose a howl of rage and despair.

Roger Hallam: That's right it is and you think that is a message that the people of the world and the political leaders of the world are going to respond to ,yes and the reason why is because when people go through depression and rage they come out and decide to do things- Extinction Rebellion is the most successful climate change movement in the UK…

  



5 questions about Donald Trump's interest in buying Greenland, answered

Amid the speculation and disbelief about Trump's trial balloon about buying Greenland, one might wonder why a US President would want to purchase an island that is 80% covered by an ice sheet, and where fewer than 60,000 people live?

The first is because Greenland is widely believed to be hugely rich in natural resources — including iron ore, lead, zinc, diamonds, gold, rare earth elements, uranium and oil. And much of it is currently untapped, due to the fact that, well, 80% of the country is covered by an ice sheet. But due to global warming, that ice sheet is melting rapidly — this summer NASA scientists observed two of the largest melts in the history of Greenland — and that erosion of the ice sheet is expected to make the mining of Greenland's natural resources more doable.

The second is for geopolitical reasons. The United States already has a foothold in the country — Thule Air Base- and, as The Wall Street Journal, which broke the Greenland purchase story, notes:

"Located 750 miles north of the Arctic Circle, it includes a radar station that is part of a U.S. ballistic missile early-warning system. The base is also used by the U.S. Air Force Space Command and the North American Aerospace Defense Command."

In actuality the idea is not as insane as the ravings of an unhinged lunatic might make it seem. In 1946, Truman's Secretary of State broached the idea with the Danish foreign minister at a United Nations meeting in New York to no avail. And almost 100 years before that, Secretary of State William Seward — he of the "Seward's Folly" purchase of Alaska — apparently looked into buying Greenland from the Danes. Likewise, no sale.


China Readies 'Giant Forks' To Subdue Hong Kong Protesters

Hong Kong protesters may be in for an electrifying experience after Chinese riot police were pictured training with 'terrifying giant fork devices' designed to subdue humans and pin them to the ground, according to the Mirror

While unconfirmed, the 8-foot poles with U-shaped prongs are believed to be able to deliver an electric shock.

The protests, now in their 11th week, have been alternating between the streets, subways, and airports of Hong Kong. While largely peaceful, there is a growing contingent of activists using violence and property destruction to protest the government, resulting in police tear gassings and beatings. 

On Thursday, AFP published photos showing more military buildup unfolding in Shenzen. The photos revealed what Reuters reports are hundreds of members of the People's Armed Police, a pro-regime paramilitary organization, carrying out military exercises in a stadium in Shenzen. They could be preparing to carry out demonstrations of its own in Hong Kong.

On Saturday, businesses shuttered their doors and windows in anticipation of more mayhem, however cloudy skies put an early damper on the demonstrations. 

 


 Short Takes

Since we're already over 3000 words, I'll just leave you with the assorted stories and links I collected over the week for you to follow for your amusement.

Trump officials worry warming could hurt the grid

Power Grid Chaos Jolts Texas On Friday, Energy Costs Triple Amid Heat Wave

What could possibly go wrong?

Trump to Endangered Species: Drop Dead

Every now and then in the hellacious 24-hour news cycle that is the Trump presidency, there comes a story that is so absurd and yet utterly predictable it stops me in my tracks. This is one of those stories.

Dangerous Lake Erie Algal Bloom Is Now Eight Times the Size of Cleveland

Arctic sea ice loaded with microplastics

At first glance, it looks like hard candy laced with flecks of fake fruit, or a third grader's art project confected from recycled debris. In reality, it's a sliver of Arctic Ocean sea ice riddled with microplastics, extracted by scientists from deep inside an ice block that likely drifted southward past Greenland into Canada's increasingly navigable Northwest Passage between the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans…

NC Town Rejects Solar Farm Amid Worries It Would "Suck Up All The Energy From The Sun"

You can't make this stuff up.

Exposed: State Department Official Posted in Nazi Charlottesville Chats

‘Fattest president since Taft’: Anthony Scaramucci’s Twitter account suspended after he calls out Trump

A Newsweek journalist discovered that "MAGA" means "sucker" in Nigerian

Study Finds Rise In 'Doomsday Prepping' Due To Mainstream American 'Culture Of Fear'

Climate crisis reducing land’s ability to sustain humanity, says IPCC


banksy 07-flower-thrower-wallpaperSurly1 is an administrator and contributing author to Doomstead Diner. He is the author of numerous rants, screeds and spittle-flecked invective here and elsewhere. He lives a quiet domestic existence in Southeastern Virginia with his wife Contrary. Descended from a long line of people to whom one could never tell anything, all opinions are his and his alone.

Systems Science in Collapse: An interview with George Mobus

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Published on The Doomstead Diner August 18, 2019

 

Audio Only:

 

(audio-only MP3 provided in case you want to multi-task and listen while sitting in traffic on the way to work in your cubicle or digging post holes for your fencing on the Doomstead or kneeling by the throne and Praying to the Porcelain God.  mp3 Audio can be downloaded from Diner Soundcloud.)

 

Discuss this Video at the Collapse Morning Wake-Up Call Table Inside the Diner

 

Related image

 

Image result for system science george mobus A few weeks ago I had a great conversation with George Mobus, the university academic famous for his work in Systems Science.  George is now Professor Emeritus at the University of Washington, spending his time writing still more books on this subject and the topics relating to Collapse in general.  He also still maintains the blog Question Everything, although these days he only puts out 4 blogs a year, on the Summer & Winter Solstices and on the Spring & Fall Equinoxes.

George also appeared on the original Collapse Cafe we produced a few years ago, discussing topics of Sapience, Evolution and Eugenics in July of 2013.

Coincidently directly following this discussion I traveled down to Seattle on other bizness and George, K-Dog of the blog Chasing the Squirrel and myself had a great Kollapsnik Dinner at the Buffet of the Emerald Queen Casino.  I'm not supposed to reveal what anybody ate at this meal since it's probably not Politically Correct for Kollapsniks. lol.  Conspicuous Consumption of food is of course not a Sustainable System.  However, as long as somebody is going to eat it, it might as well be me!  If you are not familiar with K-Dog, here's a recent interview with him done by Sam Mitchell:

Getting the interview with George up on the Diner took so long because so much else has been ongoing with me personally as well as in the world of Collapse in general.  Besides that I had video problems with my cameras, and trying to edit together the good footage was a nightmare I finally quit on.  So the Utoob "video" for this one is just a still picture screenshot from my line feed.  It's really a Podcast, not a Vidcast in this case.

You can read further about George's theories on Sapience in his new book, available in pdf for a FREE download.  I love free. 🙂

A Theory of Sapience: Using Systems Science to Understand the Nature of Wisdom and the Human Mind

 

| May 16, 2019 | 1 Comment

Image by Pixaby

 

 

File: Download

Media Type: Book – Recent

Author(s): George Mobus

Categories: , , ,

 

 

Humanity faces what can only be called existential threats created by its own hands. We have cleverly built advanced cultures that use extreme amounts of energy to make life easy (at least for some) and that energy, for the last several hundred years, has come from carbon-based fossil fuels. Now we sit on the precipice of a calamity for ourselves and many other species as well.

Why?

If human beings are so clever, why have we not learned to moderate our activities, to consume only in proportion to what the Earth system can sustain in terms of resources and waste removal? We have gained the knowledge to understand what is happening and what we need to do. But we don’t do it in a timely way to avert devastation. What is wrong with us?

The answer to this question is surprising. Society is not wise in its choices – the collective decisions of humans – because individuals are not wise in theirs. And that is because wisdom, the tacit knowledge that develops in human minds through experiences, is lacking in the majority of humans. Most humans do not develop wisdom adequate to deal with the complexities of the modern world. As a result they make choices not based on rational long-range thinking about consequences or how those consequences interact systemically. They tend to look only at short-term gains in their own selfish wellbeing.

This book reports on investigations into the underlying causes of the lack of wisdom in average people. Sapience is the set of nascent mental competencies, situated in the human brain, that make us human. Sapience is the basis of higher-order consciousness experienced by humans. It is linked with the emergence of the language facility and our ability to work in symbols. It is the reason that we can think about future states of the world, especially those that may be different from the current and past states we have experienced. It is the product of a remarkable evolutionary process that produced hyper-social animals with sufficient cleverness to invent tools, languages, symbols, even art. We invented agriculture to help bring stability into our living world and reduce uncertainty in our access to resources. But, we had only just crossed the threshold to sapient thinking.

We need to evolve further.

Sapience is the product of brain structures and functions that set the human species, Homo sapiens, apart from the rest of the animal world. It represents a major leap forward in the evolution of the Universe. It contributed to tremendous boosts in our general intelligence and creativity. It provided the basis for morality and concerns for the wellbeing of others. But, even so, it was just a beginning. It does not go far enough in terms of providing individual minds with the ability to grasp the larger and deeper meanings of their choices and actions.

This book explores the nature and evolution of sapience as it is found in human beings today using systems science. It explores the psychological implications of having some capacity for developing wisdom in one’s life but not enough capacity to fully grasp the big picture of the human condition, and thus, make tragic errors in judgements. It attempts to answer the question of why we are in this predicament. 

George as usual has many interesting observations and opinions regarding Collapse and where we are headed.  They are different in many ways than what you read from other pundits discussing the subjects, and we are in good agreement about most of them.  I hope you enjoy listening to the discussion as much as I enjoyed having it with him.

Image result for system science george mobus

Responding to Collapse, Part 10: the future of the power grid

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Published on The Easiest Person to Fool on July 17, 2019

Discuss this article at the Energy Table inside he Diner

 

In this series of posts I've been advising my readers that moving to a small town remote from large population centres, in an area that can supply the basic necessities of water, food and firewood, is a prudent way of coping with the ongoing collapse of BAU (Business as Usual). With the caveat that some advance preparation will be needed to ensure successful use of those resources.

 

 

In the next few posts in this series, we'll look at some of the details of how BAU will collapse and how you can prepare to weather that collapse. In the immediate future infrastructure breakdowns will get more frequent and longer until finally it's no longer practical to rely on BAU for the necessities of life. It seems to me that supplies of electrical power, diesel fuel and money will be at the heart of many of the troubles that lie ahead, so I'll concentrate on those areas.

And while I'll mainly be talking about infrastructure breakdowns we should remember that interruptions of service can occur for a couple of other reasons.

The first has to do with the way our economy is organized and how we choose to provide vital services such as power, water, sewers, housing, food, communications, transportation, education, health care and so forth.

Today most of the world's nations are capitalistic, with a distinct neo-liberal flavour. Under such conditions, companies are operated to make a profit and other goals, such as the public good, are strictly secondary. So when a "for profit" company finds its business becoming less profitable they must find ways to increase their charges or to supply less for the same fees or to quit supplying customers in less profitable areas altogether. And if they don't do those things they will either be bought out by companies that will, or they'll suffer bankruptcy. If there doesn't appear to be much chance that another company could make a good profit in the same business then it will never be reestablished. And if the public was relying on that company to provide vital services, then we are just out of luck.

Of course there are other ways of organizing an economy, and in particular other ways of setting up companies to provide infrastructure services. But the argument is often made that for profit companies operating in a free market are more efficient. I would question if there has ever been any such thing as a free market, and whether it would function as predicted in any case. Efficiency in this case is defined as the amount of return on share holders' investments, and has nothing to do with providing a high quality and reliable service to your customers.

But perhaps we should set all that aside in order to focus on the really critical thing, which is the difference between the way such companies work in growing economies versus contracting economies. In a growing economy it is relatively easy to make a profit and do so while supplying a service for the public good. But when the economy begins to contract that becomes more and more difficult for "for profit" companies.

Governments can set up non-profit organizations whose primary goal is to provide services for the public good and they are likely to last longer in a contracting economy. In my experience, contrary to typical capitalist propaganda, they can also be quite efficient. But as the economy contracts so will tax revenues and eventually governments will have to cut back on the services they provide. With good planning though, they can do this in a controlled manner with lots of advanced warning, and give people time to adapt to the situation.

As the economy gets even weaker, co-operatives organized by the people who need the services hold considerable promise. I'll have more to say about this over the next few posts.

The second thing is that if you rely on BAU to make a living, you will find that your own economic circumstances are declining. When you can no longer afford the services you have come to rely on, you'll have find ways to provide them for yourself, and in the process learn how to get by with less, like it or not.

I can consume along with the best of them, and there are certainly all kinds of things that it would be useful to have as we try to become more self reliant. But don't worry too much if you can't afford some of the shiny toys I'll be mentioning in future posts. As well trained consumers we may feel that buying things must be the solution to the problems that face us, but it isn't. Actually, there is no solution to the fix the world is in at the moment, and the best we can do is adapt to the changing conditions. Part of that is learning to get by while consuming less. This is hard for me and I'll bet it's hard for you too. That's why I talked first about preparing by become part of your new community (in posts 7 and 8 of this series), rather that the less important preparations that involve accumulating "stuff".

Back 2012, when I started this blog, the authorities recommended that you be prepared to weather emergencies lasting for as long as three days (72 hours). They were basically saying, "don't rely on us to be there immediately—it may take as long as 72 hours before help arrives." In the meantime, this has been changed to two weeks in some areas. Is emergency response capability declining, or are they expecting more lengthy and severe emergencies? I suspect both. Of course serious "preppers" are laughing at this—they'd recommend that you have supplies on hand for a year or two. I don't disagree, but you have to start somewhere. And as collapse deepens those longer intervals to prepare for will come to seem more reasonable.


Power Outages

Power outages will probably be the most frequent infrastructure failure you'll have to cope with. Short outages have relatively minor impacts, but because electricity is at the heart of so much that goes on in modern civilization, as outages stretch out they start to effect more and more things.

Eventually, it seems very likely that the power grid in many, if not most, areas will cease to function. I encounter two different responses to this idea. Many people cannot conceive that their 24 hour a day, essentially infinite supply of power could every come to an end. Others are fixated on the idea of a sudden and hard crash which will bring the whole of industrial civilization to an end, including the power grid.

I'm somewhere in between, holding what I think is a more detailed and nuanced opinion. Most of the rest of this post is going to be spent talking about how the slow decline of the power grid will go, leaving the responses I would recommend for the next post.

Power outages can be as simple as a utility pole getting knocked over during a traffic accident, to as complex as the grid failures that happened in northeastern North America in 1965 and 2003. And to take it even further, EMPs (electromagnetic pulses) from nuclear weapons or coronal mass ejections (solar flares) can do huge damage to electrical girds which may be very hard to recover from. But I think some of the most common and serious problems with the grid will come from three specific areas:

  • The first is equipment failure due to age and/or lack of maintenance, aggravated by overloads such as air conditioning load during summer heat waves. As the economy continues to contract power companies are going to find themselves short of capital and less able to invest in their own systems, leaving those systems more susceptible to failure. /li>
  • The second will be damage due to storms that are growing more frequent and more intense due to climate change—things like high winds, tornados and ice storms in particular. Lengthy outages will happen when there are widespread weather related problems combined with shortages of spare parts and limited manpower to install them. Those latter two problems will come mainly from cash strapped utilities trying to save money.
  • The third is sabotage. The grid is very exposed to a saboteur who knows what he is doing, and because of its geographically diffuse nature, very hard to secure. As collapse intensifies, there will be increased civil unrest—more angry people looking for easy targets that symbolize the establishment. The grid is certainly one such target.

Of course, these concerns apply to the grid as it exists today, using conventional generation. It seems there is going to be a serious attempt to switch from fossil fuels to renewable energy, primarily solar and wind. Those who are pushing for a "Green New Deal" are telling people that we can use wind and solar to replace fossil fuels, and that in the process more jobs will be created and we'll actually end up more prosperous. This is a very unrealistic dream and just off the top of my head I can think of four serious problems with it:

  1. What solar and wind produce is electricity. But electricity supplies only 18 to 20% of our current energy use. Most of the rest comes directly from coal, oil and natural gas, and those fuels are used in ways that will be difficult, if not outright impossible, to replace with electricity.

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    The main issue is that a battery is not nearly as effective a way to store energy as a tank of diesel fuel. And there are definite physical limitations on how much better batteries can get— we can probably improve them by a factor of two, but that's about it. Despite what we keep hearing in the news, it simply isn't practical to use batteries to power airplanes or long distance heavy transport by road, rail or sea. The quantity of batteries needed, and the size and weight of those batteries, is the problem.

    There are many industrial processes that use coal or natural gas for heat. Replacing those fuels with electricity may be theoretically possible but we haven't, for the most part, even started to develop ways to do so, much less begun to implement them.

  2. Phasing out fossil fuels would require using renewables to supply much larger quantities of electricity than we are currently using. But there are fundamental problems with using renewables to produce even part of the comparatively small amount of electricity we use now.

    One aspect of running a power grid that the general public is largely unaware of is that generation must be matched exactly to the load. Since load is something the grid operator cannot control to any great extent, generation that is "dispatchable"—that can be turned on and off on demand and ramped up and down as required—is very important. Conventional generation is dispatchable to varying degrees but renewable energy sources such as solar and wind are intermittent and for the most part not under the control of the grid operator—the very opposite of dispatchable. As such, renewables only exacerbate the problems of running a grid, especially given the lack of feasible large scale storage technologies. Yes, I know there are a number of storage technologies available but none of them are economical to use on the scale that would be required for use in a power grid with intermittent renewable energy sources like solar and wind.

    The concept of a "smart grid" which gives greater control of both generation and load offers hope of addressing these problems to some minor degree, but only at the price of adding complexity to the system. And adding complexity never increases reliability.

  3. The immediate reason for switching away from fossil fuels is to reduce the amount of CO2 being released into the atmosphere in order to combat climate change. But no one seems to be thinking of the carbon footprint of switching away from carbon. The switchover to renewables would be a massive undertaking powered mainly by fossil fuels, and the amount of CO2 being released would greatly increase during that effort.

    Much of this construction effort would also require large quantities of steel and concrete. Making steel and concrete involves the release of CO2, regardless of where the energy comes from—it's inherent to the chemistry of the processes involved.

    So it is by no means obvious that we can get off fossil fuels and onto renewables without creating an even worse climate crisis that the one we are currently facing.

  4. Renewables have a very low EROEI (energy returned on energy invested). A high EROEI is essential to the functioning of a modern industrial economy–money is just accounting, energy is really what makes the economy go. Any country which adds a large quantity of renewables to its energy mix will lower its overall average EROEI, making it more difficult to support a growing economy and a high tech industrial society. So even if we could somehow manage to switch over entirely to renewables, we'd have trouble sustaining a high enough level of technology to maintain and repair solar and wind generation facilities. And replacing them when they wear out would be a real stretch. Switching to renewables is something we might be able to do once, but then we'd be in big trouble.

 

All this is of course based on not having to change our lifestyles, not having to accept a lower level of prosperity and consumption. Indeed one frequently hears people talking about increasing economic growth in order to bring the poor parts of the world up to our level of consumption. It is clear to me that this is not going to happen and that what we really need to do is reduce our levels of consumption down to what can be supported without fossil fuels, using local, sustainable, low tech renewables. It is also clear to me that we will not do this voluntarily, that the majority of our efforts will go into maintaining business as usual regardless of the consequences.

Give all these factors time to work and it will become difficult to continue running the power grid as a whole. Some parts of the gird will simply quit working. Others that have proved unreliable, which place the grid as a whole at risk, will eventually have to be excluded from the grid. These islands will grow until the grid as we know it falls apart.

There will be a few areas where generating equipment will continue to function for a long time and will be able to supply local load. Again, the matching generation and load will be a problem since most such generation comes in large chunks and is a long way from large amounts of load. The most hopeful situations are small hydro (water) powered generators, which can be run at less than full capacity and adjust quickly to match varying loads.

Anyway, it seems clear that we can indeed expect more frequent and longer power outages. But what are the effects of these outages, and what can we do to mitigate them?


The effects of power outages

When the power goes out, you lose the lights, heat, cooling, cooking equipment, refrigeration and so forth in your own home. Even most oil, gas and wood heating systems rely on electricity for control, ignition and circulating fans. Then there are all the services that comes to you from outside your home, that you rely on to just work, but which need electricity to do that.

In general, the most critical services run off batteries which are kept fully charged as long as the power is on. When the power goes out, these services keep right on running as if nothing had happened, at least until the batteries are discharged. The batteries for the controls in power stations are rated for eight hours. The batteries in cell phone towers are rated for two to four hours.

Everything I'm finding on the internet says that the central switching stations for land line telephone service should keep working even during long power outages, which implies both batteries and backup generators. I have some doubts about this, and I'll be keeping an eye out for more detailed information.

Many slightly less critical services have generators that start automatically with only a brief interruption when the power goes out and run as long as there is fuel (usually diesel fuel) in the tank. If arrangements have been made to refill that tank, then this can go on for quite a long time.

Even less critical services than these can have a portable generator hooked up to them if need be. This would include facilities operating on battery power, if the power is off so long that the batteries need to be recharged.

Most service stations don't have backup power so you likely won't be able to get fuel (gasoline, diesel, propane) while the power is off. During long outages the many supply chains that are powered by gasoline and/or diesel fuel will be in trouble.

Natural gas pipelines have to be pressurized to keep to gas flowing through them. Some of the pumps used to do this are powered by natural gas, some by electricity. And I suspect that at least some of the controls for the gas powered pumps are electrical. So your natural gas supply, at least in some areas, will be compromised during electrical outages.

The pumps in municipal water and sewage systems need electrical power too. Some may have backup generators, but not all. If you live on a farm or in a very small town, your toilet is likely gravity feed into a septic system and weeping bed, and will work as long as you have water to flush them. Or perhaps you have already set up a composting toilet which requires no power at all. Your water supply is probably from you own well, with a pump driven by an electric motor that uses 240V AC (if you are in North America). Even if you have a generator, you may need an electrician to help you hook it up to that motor.

Refrigeration of food in grocery stores and pharmaceuticals in pharmacies and hospitals will be jeopardized. Fortunately our local hospital does have a backup generator.

Radio and TV can be important sources of information during emergencies. But you will likely find that only a very few of your local stations are set up to keep broadcasting during power outages.

It would also be great if internet service could continue during power outages. I understand it some areas it does, but we get our internet through the local cable TV company, and even short outages to their facilities knock out our internet connection and our cable TV service, even if the power is still on at our place. Your situation may be different—I hope so.

Oddly, or so it seems to me, most traffic lights aren't backed up in any way and stop working when the power is off.

ATMs won't be working, nor the systems that allows us to pay for things by credit and debit cards. Even if you do have cash in hand, you may find many retail outlets are unable to sell you anything when their cash registers and product code scanners aren't working. Many of them may just lock their doors for the duration of the outage.

Not all of them, though—I was quite impressed during a recent outage when I saw the guy behind the counter at a nearby convenience store beavering away with a cash box, battery operated calculator and a notebook to record sales in. It can be done, but one hopes the prices are marked clearly on items rather than encoded in UPCs. This is an example of an individual (or maybe his manager) taking the situation in hand and keeping things working rather than sitting back and letting them fall apart.

No doubt I am missing many of the potential effects of long power outages, but I think this gives you the flavour of what you'll be facing. Next time I'll talk about how you can mitigate the effects of power outages, both short and long, and what your community can do to cope when it finally finds itself permanently isolated from the grid.


Links to the rest of this series of posts, Preparing for (Responding to) Collapse:

 

Living at the Edge of Poverty

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Published on The Doomstead Diner August 11, 2019

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Did you ever wonder what it's like to live at the Edge of Poverty in modern Amerika?  What IS the "Edge of Poverty"?

It's the spot the Working Poor are in, the folks who make MinWage or barely above it and the folks living on fixed income Mailbox Money of Social Security.  They haven't quite completely fallen off the economic cliff, they're not Homeless People (yet!), but they are generally 1 or 2 paychecks away from that.  They live in the kind of housing I live in, federally subsidized tax credit apartment complexes that developers put up to get some tax breaks.  The rents on these places are fixed to your income and number of dependents, and they come in around 30% lower in my neighborhood than the open market housing.  To qualify for it, you have to do a full disclosure every year of how much money you make, what your assets are, blah blah blah.

I qualify for such housing because I live on the edge of poverty although I am not in my own estimation really poor.  I mean really, I'm flying down to the lower 48 AGAIN at the end of this month for yet another of my Tombstone Adventures! lol.  How do I do it?  Well to be really abstruse, I do it the way really rich people do it.  But I am not really rich and I do live on a monthly mailbox money allotment that puts me just to the north of the poverty line by a few thousand FRNs.  I'm real good at living on low amounts of income, the trick there is obvious, limit your expenses.  If you watch my SNAP Card Gourmet series on how to eat well on a SNAP Card allotment, you know what I mean.  I do not have a SNAP Card myself, although I do qualify for one of those too.  But I don't need it so I don't apply for one.  I already got more food than I can give away in the Potlatch Parking Lot. lol.

Unless you live inside this kind of milieu, you really have no clue how it goes with the social psychology of the situation.  The folks who live this life are always under non-stop psychological pressure about MONEY.  There is never enough of it around and their marriages suffer for this.  Domestic Violence of various kinds is quite common.  Various levels of dysfunction abound, particularly in the area of child rearing.  Even if they aren't downright abusive, they're often neglectful and they also often don't have a real good concept of child psychology.  I taught thousands of kids over my lifetime, and once you figure it out it's not that hard to keep a kid in line, but here you have parents who are completely clueless on this.  They themselves mostly had poor parenting and it perpetuates itself generation after generation.

This last week has been a Banner Week for all these problems, in my Potlatch Parking Lot we have had a visit every fucking night from the Alaska State Troopers for some domestic calamity.  2 people were carted off to the jailhouse, one kid was pulled by Child Protective Services, one resident made the incredibly stupid move of throwing a punch at a cop and then another one got carted off on a stretcher raving and screaming.  Either she was going into withdrawal or she had ODed on fentanyl or meth, or maybe it was alcohol withdrawal.  WTF knows?  lol.

These folks aren't strangers to me, I see them every day and I share my food with them.  It's not an abstract problem for me, not somebody else's problem, not an academic question.  It is fucking REALITY for me.  You know what Robin Williams said about reality, right?

Image result for reality is for those who can't handle drugs

The sad reality here is that this situation isn't an anomaly, it's common and I would bet it is the normal state of affairs in just about every low income housing community in Industrial Civilization, not just in the FSoA.  It's a massive dysfunction in the social organism that has evolved from industrialization and capitalism.  It's also not going to get better, it's just going to get worse as things spin down further in this collapse.

On the bright side, as an observer of Collapse, I have Box Seats on the 50 Yard Line.  It's all going on right outside my front door, every night.

A Bugout Machine Gets a New Home

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Published on The Doomstead Diner August 4, 2019

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Longtime Diner readers know my enthusiasm for "Bugout Machines" which come in many different configurations and varieties.  They can be as simple as your Car or Bicycle, but can also get pretty big and complex like RVs and Sailboats.  All though have one thing in common: Their purpose is to help you GTFO of Dodge when Collapse knocks on your doorstep in your neighborhood.

Like all other plans to handle the ongoing Collapse of Industrial Civilization, all Bugout Machines and all Bugout Plans have their deficiencies, many of them quite easily identifiable.  All of these deficiencies though tend to work on different timelines than a total Collapse does.  The idea here is to have a good Near Term Survival Tool that can help you negotiate your way through the early stages of a Collapse.

Image result for canary in the coal mine Depending on your situation and budget, your Bugout Machine can go anyhwhere from a Used Bike & Trailer combo up to a Big Ass RV or Sailboat if you are Filthy Rich.  Hell, it could even get bigger than that if you are Jeff Bozos and buy one of the Airbus A380s or Boeing 747s being currently retired by the airlines because these huge fuel guzzling flying behemoths aren't economic to fly or maintain.  Their demise is one of the early Canaries in the Coal Mine signaling the demise of the aviation industry.

As bugout machines go, my Tioga was a pretty good one, not only did it provide you the means to GTFO of Dodge if necessary, it also provided a home and an insurance policy against ending up as a Homeless Cripple Freezing to Death on the Streets of Palmer, Alaska.  For that reason alone, Tioga gave me Peace of Mind worth every penny I paid for her, which was quite reasonable, just $5000.  An old RV of course, but reasonably well maintained with very low mileage on the engine.  If we happened to get a Wildfire which consumed my current digs (we get them all the time around here these days), I would have a place to live while looking for a new more permanent dwelling.  Although, I could live in Tioga permanently, I lived in a vehicle with a Cabin smaller than that one, the Freightliner I drove for 7 years across every last mile of the Eisenhower Interstate, consuming lord only knows how many 1000s of gallons of diesel.

However for me, Tioga had major deficiencies also, even before I became a Cripple.  First major one was HORRENDOUS gas mileage.  On a good day, on flat ground and open highway, Tioga got about 8 mpg.  They were not terrifically concerned with optimizing fuel efficiency when this model was built back in the Jurassic Period of the 1980s.  I was honest with the buyer about this fuel guzzling habit of this vehicle, and he was quite aware of it to begin with anyhow.

Second issue was its size and obviousness.  The damn thing is just too fucking BIG to park on a city street and sleep unmolested by the local Gestapo for the night.  It also sleeps 6, and I am just one lone Monast who needs a roof over his head and some better protection than a tent from REAL bears when sleeping at night out in the Alaska bush.

So about a year ago I replaced Tioga with SaVANnah, my new Bugout Machine, a raised roof full size 8 cylinder Ford Econoline van also purchased for $5000, but a decade newer circa 1999.  Between getting still sicker last year and having a new replacement vehicle to at least temporarily escape a local Collapse, it was time to sell Tioga.  However, it ain't easy to sell a 30 year old RV that currently is not running to anybody except a DIY guy who can fix it up himself.  It took a while to find one of those guys, who is the son of a friend of a friend. lol.  Friday he came over to look at Tioga in the storage unit, we agreed on a price of $1500 for her, and Saturday he came back over with another DIY friend of his to see if they could get it running and drive it outta there and back home to get a full refurbishing job and use to follow around his Musician son during the summer Tourista season to the various venues he goes to play at.

The video above is a record of this transfer of ownership of Tioga to a new owner who can use it and who will treat it with loving care.  I am glad to see she got such a good new owner and did not yet have to be sent to the Land of Away in an automotive junkyard somewhere.  I had considered that option just to get rid of the cost of the storage unit.

Now, many of you of course will be unhappy that this ICE powered vehicle is still out on the roads burning gas, and unhappy as well that I still own not just SaVANnah, but also a Ford Explorer 4WD SUV, circa 2002.  Do I not know that these vehicles emit copious amounts of CO2 and are helping to further broil the planet?  Of COURSE I know that!  I however live inside industrial civilization and I need devices to get around a neighorhood without much to speak of in the way of decent Public Transportation.  I also drive these vehicles as little as possible, I do have alternative smaller, lighter EV powered vehicles to use for many things that most people will use their cars for.  I am actively working to develop them and make them still better and more functional, not just for Cripples like me, but for everyone!  Way cheaper than a Tesla, and you actually CAN charge these things up with a reasonable size solar PV array.  You can follow all the developments on this project on the Diner YouTube Channel, CollapseCafe.com.

I am trying to keep off a Dogsled for as long as I can here.

Second open letter to Extinction Rebellion

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Published on The Doomstead Diner on August 1, 2019

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Dear Rupert Read and Extinction Rebels,

Irrespective of any differences of opinion regarding the severity of climate change we may have, I would like to point out the following facts about a more imminent threat of immediate extinction:

  • Global thermonuclear war will cause more abrupt and more immediate extinction and therefore represents the most urgent threat to us by far. The undeniable science regarding this has been incontrovertibly outlined by Dr Steven Starr in his papers and presentations.

  • The bulletin of atomic scientists pointed out that we face the greatest risk of nuclear war right now, even worse than during the cold war.

  • The worst flashpoint today that poses the gravest risk is the contrived US confrontation with Iran, aided and abetted by their lapdog poodle, "Great" Britain*.

  • The USA unilaterally reneged on the JCPOA, a treaty which according to all non-US signatories and even according to the CIA itself was effectively containing Iran's nuclear ambitions. The US are now using slander, libel and outrageous provocations such as economic warfare against Iran to try to trigger war, in acts reminiscent of the Gulf of Tonkin false flag.

  • Russia and China have both pledged unconditional support to defend Iran and have signed a security treaty courtesy of their SCO. They will respond to any bombing of Iran by sinking the US aircraft carrier fleet, which can easily escalate to outright nuclear war.

  • Boris Johnson, as UK PM, is only slightly less deranged than Trump. He will undoubtedly bring his documented (in audio recordings!) volatile unstable confrontational domestic behaviour into UK politics and like any wannabe fascist, will capitalise on ethnic and racial divisions to sow discord and promote himself as the bulwark against "the other", especially those foul Iranians, to make Britain "great" again*

It stands to reason therefore if extinction rebellion wish to rebel against the greatest imminent threat of immediate extinction, you must picket the US embassy in London NOW with placards "HANDS OFF IRAN"

If you do not address this issue then the climate becomes irrelevant.

Yours Faithfully

Geoffrey Chia

*Few people know that the name "Great" Britain comes from the French "Grande Bretagne", a term used to distinguish larger Bretagne (the British Isles) from smaller Bretagne, also known by Anglos as Brittany, which is part of France.

further reading (satirical gallows humour):  http://www.doomsteaddiner.net/blog/2019/02/07/my-alien-revelation/

Rock of Ages

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Published on The Doomstead Diner July 28, 2019

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Those of you who are not regular contributors from Inside the Diner may have drawn the conclusion from my recent articles and videos that the Collapse Biz Trip to Seattle-Tacoma was mainly about testing the modified Cripple Cart for the new systems we put in place to make it a better vehicle for getting around as the Age of Oil comes to a close.  This regardless of whether you are a healthy young specimen of the species Homo Sap, or a decrepit and inexorably dying old cripple like yours truly.

In fact however, although very important, this field testing of the Cripple Cart was not the primary reason or motivator for this Biz Trip.  It goes back much further than that, to about a year after I had the accident that morphed me into the Cripple I am today.  I became obsessed with my impending death, and I remain so to this day.  Since I am a Monast, unmarried and childless, there is nobody around who can handle the details of how to tie up my time Walking the Earth after I Buy My Ticket to the Great Beyond.  Who do I leave the piddling savings I accumulated to?  Will anyone remember me when I'm gone?  What did my life amount to?  Anything?

The first order of Bizness was making out a Last Will & Testament, and one thing I did do here prior to the long Dirt Nap I am scheduled for was to create a "person" who would outlive me, a Non-profit 501c3 Corporation called the Sustaining Universal Needs Foundation, or SUN☼ in acronym.  The goals of SUN☼ are to develop Affordable Housing, Affordable Food and Affordable Energy for the population of Homo Saps as we enter into the Great Dying that is to come, insofar as this is possible to do anyhow.  So all that is left that I haven't spent on Amazon buying Preps and apparatus to pursue this Mission from God that I have been given goes to the SUN☼ Foundation.  Who exactly is going to run the SUN☼ Foundation after I am Pushing Up Daisies is something of a mystery at the moment, but I'm sure it will work itself out in the bye & bye.

The Diner here and all the words I have written and audio and video I have recorded also contain my Testimony as a Witness to the End of Industrial Civilization and of a life spent inside this vast machine that has overrun the Earth.  However, what is stored on the disks of the Google Servers and the NSA Databases probably only lasts as long as there is JUICE to run the energy-eating machine called the Internet, which probably is not that long in lasting, although it likely will outlast the Meat Package I am keyboarding out this article with.

I decided that I should have something a bit longer lasting than this, something that delivered the Message I was given to deliver here at the End of the Age of Oil.  I don't have as much Money as Bezos or an Egyptian Pharoah either, so a Pyramid built over Centuries was out of the question here. lol.  Within my means however, I COULD commision a Tombstone and a Monument to the SUN☼ Mission.  Designing a Monument worthy to this task, one which would last centuries and perhaps Millenia became another Obsession and Hobby for me as I sat trapped in my Monastery rooms during the long Alaska Winter nights.

What evolved out of that was the Rock of Ages you see before you in the video we shot down at Premier Memorial in Tacoma, WA, the Stone Cutters I commisioned for this project.  It was a project that took MUCH "longer than expected", with many frustrations along the way, but in the end it did get done, and I am still above ground level to see it.  In the video I explain all the design features and why they are on the Stone(s).  Among other things, engraved on the stone are the 12 Principles of Sustainable Living for any Homo Saps who manage to survive the oncoming Population Knockdown of our species.  It's a kind of boiled down version of the guidelines for Building a Better Tomorrow, the Motto of the SUN☼ Foundation.

12 Steps to a Practical & Achievable Program for a Better Tomorrow

In the We Need Peace thread Inside the Diner, JRM said I don't provide practical solutions for resolving the problems that Homo Sap faces.  This after I accused him of that same issue, and basically only providing Woo-Woo and Poetry as a solution.

I have of course provided practical ideas on many occassions, not to mention the fact I both founded and fund the SUN Project.  I don't have a high regard for people who just pitch out Negative Waves without providing some sort of solution to the problems they see.  So I always try to do this, although granted we have any number of "predicaments" which do not lend themselves to EZ or painless solutions.

My ideas however are sprinkled willy-nilly over 5 years of Diner posting in many different threads, and are somewhat difficult to track down despite trying to keep this database fairly organized over the time period.  So I thought this might be a good opportunity to provide a 12-Step Program for a Better Tomorrow on Planet Earth so Diners are all aware of my Plan and we can rest this idea that I don't have a plan for good.  So now, here's THE PLAN!

————

12 STEP PLAN FOR A BETTER TOMORROW ON PLANET EARTH

Step #1-  Die Off of 99.9% of the Population of Homo Saps

This resolves a lot of problems, from overuse of the land and ocean to the amount of carbon we put up in the atmosphere.  It won't significantly hurt the genetic diversity of Homo Sap, there will still be 7.3M meat packages walking the earth at any given time, which was more than enough for most of human history and should be plenty moving into the future.  No official extermination plan needs to be concocted for this, the 4 Horsemen of the Apocalypse will do the job without direction as they always have in the past.  They are very dependable.

Step #2-  Elimination/Extermination of the Greedy Elite still left standing

In order to make sure the same mistakes of the past are not repeated, the folks who ran the last show into the ground need to be eliminated.  This does require active decision making on who is most guilty and what sort of punishment they deserve for Crimes Against Humanity.  Is merely sentencing them to being Humanure collectors for the rest of their years walking the earth as a corporeal meat package enough punishment, or do they need to be dispatched to the Great Beyond in the most agonizingly painful and long lasting way we can conjure up?  For this we will need a legitimate Judicial System and Court of the Inquisition.  No Pigman should have his Journey to Hell expedited without Due Process of Law.  We need to take the Moral High Ground here on this.  No Lynchings on the Lamp Posts still standing!  No pushing them off balconies of empty skyscrapers either!  At least not until the High Court has handed down its decision and the last appeal has been exhausted.

Step #3- Replacement of the old Elite with a new Elite of Homo Saps with a High Wisdom Quotient

We will need to design a Standardized Test for Ecological & Economic Wisdom, testing various wannabee Elites for their knowledge of the biosphere and how to maintain it in a sustainable manner, as well as how to economically distribute the produce in a fair manner.  There will need to be Checks & Balances and Watchdogs to ensure the new Elite do not become as corrupt as the old Elite. Since there will be no monetary reward for being a member of the Elite (see Step #4), this should be less of a problem in the future of  a Better Tomorrow.

Step #4-  Elimination of Money and substitution of a Potlatch or "Gift" Economy

Distribution of the wealth the society is able to extract at a sustainable rate from the patch of land they occupy will be done by gifting each citizen with an equal portion of that produce.  Citizens will be required to work for their share of the produce, in some form.  If they are disabled and incapable of physical work, they will be required to do tedious accounting work to keep track of all the numbers, or perhaps do arbitration work resolving disputes, or write books, tell stories, make music, etc.  If they are mentally incapacitated and can't handle difficult numerical or social issues and have no artistic ability, they will need to do physical labor of digging holes and fixing housing every time it gets knocked down by the latest extreme weather event. If they cannot do either physical or intellectual labor, they will be gifted with nothing and die of starvation.

Step #5-  Migration to Upper Latitudes and Altitudes

For the .1% of the remaining population of Homo Saps, it will be necessary to migrate to Survival Zones on Earth where wet bulb temperatures remain within the range that both HS and the plants and animals they depend on can survive.  In the Northern Hemisphere, this includes neighborhoods like Scandinavia, Siberia, Alaska, Northern Canada and Nunavut and Nova Scotia. Coastal Greenland also might be habitable. In the Southern Hemisphere, less available land mass, perhaps Argentina and Southern Australia until the Ice Sheets melt off of the Antarctic Continent, at which time that might become colonizable.  That will take some time though, those ice sheets are quite thick.

Also possible survival zones in lower latitudes may be found at higher altitudes.  Spots in the Rocky Mountains, the Andes and the Himalayas may provide Lifeboats for a few isolated tribes of Homo Saps.  Depending on latitude, anywhere from 3000' to 6000' might be enough to keep the temps within reason, while still providing enough Oxygen to survive.  Nobody will be surviving above around 29,000' though, you won't find a tribe living on top of K-2 or Everest.  That's the Death Zone.  Call the survivable locations between 3000' and 12,000'.

Step # 6-  Alternative Food Production

This will take place over time during the migrations.  Greenhouses will be built using Scavenged glass from McMansions and Carz, and seeds carried by migrating Homo Saps will be first planted in the controlled climates of the greenhouses, then dispersed for outdoor growing once the climate warms sufficiently for those plants to thrive in the upper latitudes.  Birds and land mammals will also migrate northward, carrying seeds from more southern plants in their gut, and the entire ecosystem will migrate northward in this way.

Similarly, fish species currently found in southern waters will migrate north or south, eventually to end up in the Arctic Ocean or in the sea surrounding Antarctica.  When the carbon begins to be resequestered and it's possible once again for Shellfish to form shells as Ocean pH begins to go up again, a New Great Barrier Reef will grow from coral around the coast of Antarctica.

Step #7- New Goobermints

New Goobermints will form up in the given locations of the surviving Homo Saps.  With much smaller populations widely separated in geographical space, the populations will be no larger than 10,000 Human Souls.  Various forms of Goobermints will be tried during the spin down as the societies shrink in size, including Fascism, Communism and neo-Feudalism incorporating Slavery.  All will fail, with the final system being neo-Tribal, with the communities being Gooberned by the Elders of the tribe related to other members by no more than 2 degrees of separation, and so concerned with their well-being.

Step #8- Procreation and Population Control

Rules and Taboos will be put in place and enforced on procreation.  Tribal permissions will be required in order to marry and procreate.  Difficult to pass "Rites of Passage" will be implemented at Puberty and only those who pass the tests will have procreation rights.  Once carrying capacity for the land has been established and reached by the population, new procreation rights will only be issued out when a tribal member dies, leaving an open seat at the table.  Children conceived while the Tribe is at carrying capacity will be aborted or exposed after birth, unless an Elder member of the tribe who is sick or otherwise ready to go to the Great Beyond volunteers to do so.

Step #9  Animal Treatment

With a highly dispersed population of Homo Saps, most animals will live in the wild and be hunted for meat.  Ceremonies will be performed when an animal is caught and killed for it's meat to Honor the life of that animal.

A few domesticated animals will be kept for production of Milk and Eggs mainly, although Wool also from sheep is good fiber to work with for making clothing and blankets.  Domesticated animals will be treated humanely and given good room in a barn to shelter in and not be overcrowded to pass diseases around.  Such animals dispatched to the Great Beyond also will be given a Ceremony on death to Honor their contribution to the life of the Tribe.

Step #10- Medicine and Health Care

All members of the Tribe will have equal access to what medicines and repairs are still possible to do.  This does NOT include operations like Heart Transplants or Kidney Dialysis.  Even Diabetes probably not treatable, as to get the constant supply of insulin necessary you would need to slaughter too many pigs.  Minor operations like appendectomies may still remain possible, as well as setting broken bones and sewing up major wounds.  Dentistry limited to preventative maintenance (tooth and gum cleaning), extractions and building of Dental Appliances to assist those with lost teeth in chewing, made from the teeth of dead animals or dead Homo Saps with some good teeth left.  However, mostly people with no teeth left will eat soft foods like soft cheese which melts in your mouth, mashed potatoes for carbs, fruits and berries which crush easily with just your gums, soft boiled eggs and broths rich in animal protein made from boiling left over bones from large animals, fish & chicken, their internal organs as well as discarded vegetable matter.  Nuts and other crunchy foods will be crushed with a Mortar & Pestle and the powder added to the mashed potatoes along with grated cheese for a more nutritious dish.

There will be no cost for the medical care, as of course there is no money.  Providers of medical care will have this as their primary work, rather than digging holes, gathering foods or crunching the numbers on the latest harvest.

Step #11- Education & Knowledge Retention and Advancement

Current Paper books will be kept in Sacred Libraries, protected from the elements as best as possible given the technology that still exists and handled with care by all readers. Librarians will be charged with the task of keeping the books organized and searchable, and making sure the readers handle them with care. Paper and Inks made from naturally occuring dyes is possible sustainably, although not in anywhere near the quantites it is produced today.  To utilize the paper being produced, it will need to be rationed, so anyone who wants to write down his thoughts/ideas will need to demonstrate their value first by explaining them orally and/or diagramming them out on a renewable surface such as scratching it into the dirt or using a chalkboard.  You will need a source of chalk for this of course.

All children will be taught to read and write so that it is possible for them later to record their thoughts and ideas this way, as well as do other helpful tasks for the tribe such as the aforementioned Accounting, as well as Engineering tasks like building bridges, Windmills, etc.

However, given the overall shortage of paper, the primary form of retaining knowledge from Generation to Generation will be through Oral Tradition.  So there will be a nightly exercise in memory practice, and stories, poems and music will be recited from memory by elders in the tribe, and after repetition over years at the time of the Rites of Passage need to be repeated by the Acolyte in order to get reproductive rights.  This is only one of many tests that must be passed in the Rites of Passage.  Others include the Test for Survival, where the Acolyte is sent out inot the Wilderness for a year with just a knife and clothing and a week's worth of food, and must come back alive at the end of the year.  A tribal member can elect not to take these tests and continue to live with the tribe, but will not ever earn reproductive rights.

Step #12- Spirituality & Religion

A discussion of the spiritual connection with the Universe we can discern with our senses as well as what cannot be discerned this way will be encouraged in each member of the tribe.  There will be no specific dogma attached, but a Weekly meeting will be held where all members of the Tribe discuss with each other their beliefs and their take on Existence, God, the Afterlife, Good & Evil etc.  There will be Taboos in plce against Tribal members Napalming each other or making Ad Hom arguments in these discussions. lol.

———-


OK!  That is my 12 Step Program for a Better Tomorrow, which I think is practical and realistically achievable given the parameters we are currently faced with.  Is it an IDEAL solution?  Well obviously not if you won't consider a 99.9% Die Off of Homo Saps as part of your solution.  However, I don't see any realistic way possible to steer clear of such a die off anymore, so that is a parameter I have to work with in creating the rest of the solution.  Then I have other parameters like what the technologies I think can be maintained are and what patches of the Earth surface I think might still be decent Survival Zones.  Overall, this limits you quite a bit in making a realistic assessment of the situation.

Things I do not see as very realistic are:

1- All of Humanity will all of a sudden wake up from their collective stupor and become environmentally conscious and active and will sacrifice their current standard of living (measured in terms of things like electricity on demand, happy motoring, thick and juicy ribeye steaks on the table etc.) in order to maintain a sustainable system for all at a lower economic standard (which for 7.3B people, would have to be quite low).

2- All of Humanity will all of a sudden grasp the futility of War and Peacefully coexist on the planet, sharing the resources left equitably.  Homo Saps have NEVER done that in all of recorded history, and I see no indication they will start now.  The highest likelihood here is there will be fights over the resources until the population has been knocked down sufficiently that what resources remain or are renewable are enough for the remaining population, and their ability to make war on each other is significantly reduced by lack of resources with which to pursue such wars on a Global Scale.

3- A movement with no Leadership and no plan for how to rebuild society can possibly arise spontaneously with agreement from the majority of the population of the earth.  Most of the people ambulatory right now are completely clueless, and without leadership to explain the problems to these dummies in a way they can understand as well as provide them enough food to meet their daily needs, you simply have no chance of success here.  They will latch on to whatever leader pops up and promises them a good job and food on the table.  These folks always pop up in such times, see Trumpty-Dumpty for this.

I am not into Woo-Woo solutions that don't address the real problems before us.  It's all well and good to be at peace with yourself and develop a philosophy that is "intimate" with Nature, that encourages Peace, Love and Understanding between all Homo Saps, but it's not realistic at all that this will spontaneously and suddenly appear in huge populations of people that currently positively HATE each other, including but not limited to Sunnis vs Shiites, Christians vs Muslims, Pakistanis vs Indians, Han Chinese vs Uyghurs, Blacks vs Whites etc, etc etc.  These folks are not destined to Love each other.  They are destined to KILL each other.  That's the reality, as uncomfortable as it might be.

Despite this unfortunate set of parameters, this does NOT mean that Homo Sap will go Extinct in the Near Term, nor does it mean that all Knoweldge we have gained over the millenia will be lost either.  It does leave open the possibility or even likelihood that after such a massive crash, remaining Homo Saps will gain a better understanding of their close relationship with Nature, and develop new societies with better "Human Nature", which overall is really a social construct more than it is biologically determined by genetics, IMHO.  Evidence for this is that societies prior to the Age of Agriculture had far different norms in terms of their behaviors, and even in todays world there is huge variation in "Human Nature" between societies.  Asian Cultures for instance have a much different attitude toward "Face" and how you are perceived by others than Western society does.  We can change, we can adapt, but it's not going to happen in time to stem a massive die off of the current population, which has to occur anyhow because the overall ecosystem is just too stressed by too many Homo Sap meat packages walking the earth at the same time.  Somebody's gotta GO here, and go they will.

The Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse have saddled up and they are riding now.  I hear the distant thunder every day now, pounding through the earth from place3s like Syria, Afghanistan and Somalia.  Those Hoofbeats will arrive too in the 1st World, and then whoever is left standing will have 2 choices left.

1- To lay down and die with the rest of the dead Homo Saps.

2- To Buckle down and Build a Better Tomorrow.

I will take Door #2 Monte.


The dieoff begins!

GLOBAL WARMING DENIERS ARE EVIL HUMAN GARBAGE: A Blast from the Past

youtube-Logo-4gc2reddit-logoOff the keyboard of Geoffrey Chia

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Published on The Doomstead Diner on July 25, 2019

Discuss this article at the Environment Table inside the Diner

 

The reposted essay below is long, outdated and depressing.

For a much briefer presentation laced with morbid humour you may wish to view this "Ecosqueak" clip instead: https://youtu.be/3_T4QaJQRL0

(if link does not work, search youtube for "Ecosqueak" and "Geoffrey Chia")

Back in 2012 I still naively believed it might be possible to mitigate against the horrific impending planetary catastrophe we face this century if only the forces of reason and fairness could prevail over those of deceit and greed. I felt that systemic change was needed which would require vigorous opposition to those forces of deceit and greed. Simply exhorting amenable greenies to change their lightbulbs was pointless. My article "The Brisbane Institute is a Brisbane Prostitute" was a personal effort towards that goal, which I sent out far and wide. Some so-called "sustainability" advocates harshly criticised me for that essay. My response to them was this: all it takes for evil to prevail is for "good" people to do nothing.

The recent flurry of "Extinction Rebellion" and "School strike for Climate" activity reflects an unacknowledged visceral dread among the newly aware that evil has indeed prevailed.

The Brisbane Institute started life as a public sustainability think tank, with many esteemed invited speakers such as Professor Ian Lowe and Professor Kjell Aleklett (Swedish president of ASPO International). Unfortunately the BI was subsequently hijacked by the fossil fuel lobby, which I expressed my rage against in that "prostitute" article, which I sent to Rachel Nolan, Queensland State Minister for Transport and one of the original patrons of the BI, who then forwarded it on to the BI committee members. I received an idiotic response from one of them who wrote he thought the CEO Karyn Brinkley was "doing a good job". Well she certainly did a good smoke and mirrors job on behalf of the fossil fuel fraudsters. From 2012 onwards, the BI held only private meetings in corporate circles promoting their anti-sustainability propaganda and they disbanded in 2013.

The BI had previously posted "full" transcripts of the meetings mentioned below on the web (with my questions censored out) which have since mysteriously disappeared.

The following article was originally written by Geoffrey Chia in February 2012:

THE BRISBANE INSTITUTE IS A BRISBANE PROSTITUTE:

a paid mouthpiece of mining and fossil fuel interests

(warning: this article contains harsh language and bad jokes)

Here are a couple of key quotes from health leaders at the COP-17 climate conference in Durban,

South Africa, 28 November to 11 December, 2011 :

"Climate Change poses an immediate and grave threat to human health and survival worldwide.

Many are already affected. Emissions are rising steeply. Action is needed now – not later."

Dr. Hugh Montgomery, Climate and Health Council, UK

If the world’s governments agree to delay (climate) action for the rest of this decade…history will

judge Durban as a moment of global political malpractice of criminal proportions. It would be the

equivalent of diagnosing a patient with lung cancer and then telling them it’s ok to continue

smoking for nine more years. The health of billions of people is at stake.” Joshua Karliner,

International Coordinator, Health Care Without Harm

Here is a reference to a paper which was presented at Durban which is so important that I am placing it at the front (rather than the end) of this article:

An Ethical Analysis of the Climate Change Disinformation Campaign: Is This A New Kind of

Assault on Humanity? https://ethicsandclimate.org/2011/12/02/an_ethical_analysis_of_the_climate_change_disinformation_campaign_is_this_a_new_kind_of_assault_on_h/

The anatomy of global warming denialism

The article referenced above demonstrates how deniers of anthropogenic global warming (AGW) are in fact self serving, morally bankrupt sociopaths and that their behaviour is an assault on humanity. Now more than ever it is imperative we vigorously oppose the egregious lies perpetrated by the fossil fuel fraudsters and their lackeys. We cannot let them get away with it.

Professor Naomi Oreskes clearly showed from her voluminous research that there is a well orchestrated, well funded campaign of AGW denial, distortion and disinformation going on, the epicentre of which is the George C Marshall Institute in the United States (the originators of tobacco-cancer denialism). Our own Clive Hamilton examined this web of deceit and found it extends across and is coordinated between numerous right wing "think tanks" and astroturf groups around the world, the noisiest being the US conservative Tea Party group. (What exactly are the

conservatives conserving anyway?) This is not "conspiracy theory". There is indisputable

documentation of this corrosive network of AGW denialism, hell bent on perverting national and

international policy.

The core of denialist "beliefs"1 is not truth, is not science, is not evidence, is not fact and is

not reason, even though they try to make their arguments sound plausible with pseudoscientific

jargon and by cherry picking facts taken out of context. Their position is based on an unshakable

sense of personal entitlement coupled with apoplectic hostility directed against anyone suggesting

any change to their lifestyles. How dare those greenies interfere with my God given right to

unfettered consumption! Hence they target their venom against environmentalists and against

climate scientists (including death threats and intimidating bogus lawsuits2 ). Hence the

proliferation of anonymous internet trolls and their ubiquitous cyberbullying whenever a scientist

dares speak the truth about climate change in the media.

When Julia Gillard supported a price on carbon to encourage renewable energy

development, she was villified as "Bob Brown's Bitch" at a rightwing astroturf rally attended by the

execrable Tony Abbott in March 2011. Denialists continue to engage in criminal activities such as

the email hacking of universities, which is reminiscent of the mobile phone hacking by the

Murdoch press. These connections are further highlighted by the the enthusiastic coverage the

Murdoch media gave to those illegally hacked climate emails. Robert Manne's Quarterly Essay in

September 2011 outlined the deceit and distortions perpetrated by the Australian newspaper under

the criminally irresponsible Chris Mitchell.

If the denialists truly disbelieve the best peer reviewed scientific climate research, for which

there is "only" 97% consensus, then we should say this to them: do not go to a scientifically trained

doctor or a modern hospital the next time you fall ill, because medical diagnosis and treatment is

also based on the best peer reviewed scientific research, for which there may be "only" 97% expert

consensus but never 100% certainty.

But guess what? You can be certain that if any of those denialists have a heart attack or get

cancer they will immediately seek out the best modern medical treatment. Why? Because they

know it works. Because they know the science is the best option available. Because they know it is

in their own best interest to listen to the science and to follow the scientific recommendations in

order to save their egocentric carcasses.

The argument can be further extended to all the benefits in life that the denialists derive from

the scientific method: the smart phones, computers, internet, modern transportation, electronic

appliances and engineered infrastructure, which the denialists should completely abandon if they

truly disbelieve the methods, conclusions and products of science. Yet they enthusiastically embrace

the benefits of science, even while villifying scientists.

The above facts prove that the principal abiding motive, the one consistent pattern which

permeates the mentality of climate change denialists is not scientific "scepticism" but is in fact the

overweening relentless pursuit of their own personal benefit (and to hell with everyone else). The

very definition of self serving sociopaths. If medical science benefits them, they believe it. If

climate science interferes with their "right" to rapacious overconsumption and their self indulgent

luxuries (such as their "right" to drive their SUVs up and down the beach on weekends3 ), they

attack the climate scientists.

Nature however pays no heed to the fignorant4 chatter of those fignorant4 denialists. As time

goes by, ever more overwhelming scientific evidence indisputably shows ever worsening trends of

global warming, of extreme weather events, of glacial, permafrost and ice cap melting and of

release of methane from the Arctic coast5 far worse than the IPCC projections. We are seeing the

biological consequences of global warming: species migration to higher latitudes/altitudes,

behavioural changes and mass extinctions. The coral reefs are dying now. Acidification of the

oceans will lead to catastrophic collapse of marine ecosystems. Loss of mountain glacial meltwater

will lead to failure of summer irrigation for crops that billions of people depend on. Expanding hot

zones will mean the spread of tropical diseases. Extreme weather events will directly kill people and

will lead to more crop failures (as has already occurred, but the future will be magnitudes worse).

Sea level rises will threaten more than a hundred million people on the Indian subcontinent alone,

quite apart from potentially destroying coastal cities worldwide. Unchecked global warming will

lead to a planet that humans were not evolved to adapt to, will cause the death of billions of people

around the world and threaten the very existence of civilisation (which requires a stable climate for

agriculture). This is not exaggeration, this is not alarmist. It is the well considered objective

conclusion of many top scientists around the world such as James Hansen and James Lovelock and

many national academies of science such as the venerable Royal Society. Professor Hans Joachim

Schellnhuber, founder of the Potsdam Institute, has stated that the difference between 2 degrees and

4 degrees global warming is human civilisation (and we are on track to exceed the latter). Martin

Rees, former president of the Royal Society, thought civilisation had a 50% chance of surviving this

century and judging by what is going on today, he was optimistic. Paul Nurse, current president of

the Royal Society, is actively engaged in promoting the scientific method and rebutting the

denialists.

Meanwhile the economic delusionists continue to bleat that it will be too "expensive" to

reduce carbon emissions, completely ignoring the billion fold greater costs (not to mention deaths)

of not reducing carbon emissions. They know that most of the harm will not personally affect them

in their lifetime. The harm will mainly befall Third World inhabitants and Australians of younger

generations, hence using the legerdemain of dishonest accounting, the denialists and delusionists

simply ignore it.

There are hard deniers and there are soft deniers and in many respects the soft deniers are

more duplicitous, disingenuous and devious, because even though they pretend to lend a

sympathetic ear to the science, in practice they back the fossil fuel agenda. The hard deniers like

"Lord" Monckton are clearly liars and fools. The soft deniers may not overtly dispute the fact of

anthropogenic global warming but they claim that the effects will not be as bad as the scientists

predict or that the benefits may exceed the disadvantages or that we can easily adapt to the changes.

Based on what? Based on their own wishful thinking and hunches which they consider more

reliable than any hard science? Nevermind the increasing evidence of runaway global warming far

exceeding the IPCC projections.

The soft deniers are insidious Trojan horses and handpuppets of the fossil fuel corporations.

Observations of three Brisbane Institute sessions 2011

I will now describe some observations of the latter three Brisbane Institute presentations of

2011. I was keen to learn from experts (or those portrayed by the Institute as experts) and must

confess I was temporarily sucked in (or suckered in) by the apparent reasonableness with which

matters initially appeared to be conducted, however the prominently displayed Santos billboard by

the stage should have rung alarm bells from the outset. No guesses as to who the major sponsor of

these "public" meetings was. But never mind, I thought, let's hear them out. I was even gullible

enough to pay $20/- per session for the privilege of being brainwashed.

It will be impossible to comprehensively cover all aspects of these sessions, however I will

describe the broad message the organisers and chairperson of the Brisbane Institute were attempting

to deliver.

23 August 2011: Positive Energy Futures: What's the fracking fuss all about?

As you know, fracking is the process of injecting pressurised water containing chemical

agents into coal seams (or oil shale) to fracture the rock and extract methane. The resultant toxic

saline effluent is expelled on the surface. The very title of this session was designed to promote the

idea that coal seam gas represented a positive energy future for us and for goodness sake, why were

people making such a f*ing fuss about it? Their star speaker was Professor Michael Economides,

who had been clearly handpicked by the fossil fuel propagandists. Economides was sold to us as an

American energy and coal seam gas expert. He claimed to be a Democrat and environmentalist, but

immediately launched into a diatribe decrying the mindless "hate" that "greenies" have against

fossil fuels. He gave no reason why those loopy greenies might "hate" fossil fuels apart from what

he regarded as irrational ideology. He also expressed dismay at how people were "wasting time"

talking about global warming, when there were such huge profits to be made from extracting coal

seam gas, our energy source for the future, which we simply could not ignore. He claimed that all

our concerns about harvesting coal seam gas were unfounded.

Under normal circumstances it would be impolite and inappropriate to comment on the

physical appearance of the speaker, however in this case it was utterly relevant. Economides was

morbidly obese. He was virtually spherical in shape, as wide as he was high. As a physician I can

definitely state that his body mass index was far in excess of 35. The term morbidly obese is a

proper and formal medical diagnostic term to be found in all medical textbooks and journals.

How obese was he? He was:

So obese that when he steps on a scale, it screams "one at a time, please".

So obese that when his beeper goes off, people think he is backing up.

So obese that when he goes to the beach, Greenpeace shows up and tries to tow him back into the

sea.

All right, perhaps I may have crossed the line with those cheap shots, however that does not

detract one iota from the relevance of his morbid obesity. Why was it relevant? Because morbid

obesity is a disease of overconsumption related to poor impulse control6 coupled with indadequate

exercise and disregard for any consequences. Unrestrained appetite and unremitting sloth.

At the Brisbane Institute were witnessing the farcical spectacle of a morbidly obese man

flown in from America to lecture us about the benefits of overconsumption, with reckless disregard

for any consequences. A theatre of the absurd. He was instructing us to abuse our environment in

the same way he was abusing his own body – by indulging in rapacious greed. He dismissed the

importance (but not existence) of global warming (he was a "soft" denier) in response to my

question and when asked by someone else about the possibility of fugitive emissions from coal

seam gas projects, he denied that they existed or could be important.

In fact, a Cornell University study in 2011 showed that natural gas from shale fracking

almost certainly causes more greenhouse emissions than the coal industry7 and there is every reason

to expect that coal seam gas, which uses the same technology, is just as bad.

I am no expert on coal seam gas, but having previously attended a comprehensive

multidisciplinary presentation at the University of Queensland organised by Dr. Peter Dart, with

many expert speakers in soil science, geology, energy and agriculture, it is clear there are well

founded and justifiable concerns about potential environmental damage to our food bowl based on

the science. Particularly if CSG is upscaled to the many thousands of wells the government and gas

companies are vying for in the pursuit of short term filthy lucre. It is not about "hating" fossil fuels.

It is about being prudent and cautious. It is about showing a little respect for the wellbeing of our

ecosphere (without which we cannot survive) and for the wellbeing of future generations. It is about

placing long term need over short term greed.

Professor Economides purportedly had more than 200 scientific publications to his name.

The Marshall Institute and the tobacco companies, with their deep pockets, had no difficulty hiring

mouthpieces possessing alphabet soup qualifications to publicise their agenda. No doubt Santos had

no trouble flying this chap over from America to do the same. The physicist Dr Vandana Shiva calls

such paid mouthpieces "scientific prostitutes", whose assertions (eg tobacco cancer denial) are

unrelated to their qualifications (eg nuclear physics).

Just as a highly qualified chef has no business lecturing us about the benefits of unrestrained

gluttony with no regard for the consequences (no matter how many culinary awards he has); a

highly qualified fossil fuel professor has no business lecturing us about the benefits of unrestrained

CSG extraction with no regard for the consequences (no matter how many fossil fuel papers he has

written).

18 October 2011: Positive Energy Futures: Seriously, Renewable?

It is clear from the sarcastic title of this next session that we were not meant to regard

renewable energy as a serious option. Punctuation makes a huge difference to the meaning of a

phrase and there is a world of difference between "Seriously Renewable!" and "Seriously,

Renewable?"

Who was responsible for crafting the titles of these sessions and for steering the overall tone

and message delivered? Surely the responsibility must lie with Karyn Brinkley, the CEO of the

Brisbane Institute who chaired these meetings. Are we supposed to believe she is an independent

and impartial agent, not influenced by her financial sponsors? There is truth to the saying, "he who

pays the piper calls the tune".

Nothwithstanding the advances in renewable energy technologies outlined by the speakers,

in particular Professors Paul Meredith and Hal Gurgenci, the overwhelming message delivered by

this session steered by Karyn Brinkley was that given the present state of our grid, we should cease

and desist from any more renewable energy input. Our existing grid was based on nineteenth

century coal fired technology and was simply not designed to cope with the fluctuating nature of

renewable energy inputs, which are now causing problems including power surges, which could be

damaging.

6 December 2011: Positive Energy Futures: Save your energy!

This session started with the observation that we had one billion dollars worth of assets

locked up in surplus electricity generating equipment, which was only utilised during the highest of

peak electricity demands – which amounted to the equivalent of just four out of 365 days of the

year. Everyone agreed this state of affairs was terribly wasteful and made no economic sense

whatsoever, but no solution was offered by the panel other than declaring that everyone should

reduce their consumption, particularly at peak times. We heard the usual discourse about changing

lightbulbs and using domestic energy meters.

There is an obvious and beautifully elegant solution to the problem above and I was amazed

none of the panel members mentioned it. Hence I brought it up during the Q&A session. Peak

electricity demands occur on the hottest days of the year when airconditioners are being

progressively switched on around the state. These hot periods are driven by intense sunlight.

Quantitative studies have shown that the simultaneous occurrence of peak sunshine and peak

demand offers us the golden opportunity to harness that peak solar energy to feed into the grid to

meet or exceed the peak demands. In fact we would have to be crazy and stupid not to seize this

tremendous prize just waiting to be harvested in our so-called "Sunshine State". It would free one

billion dollars away from the "stranded assets" of fossil fuel powered peak demand electricity

generators which sit idle 361 days of the year. It would not require any fossil fuel input. The "fuel"

(sunshine) would cost us nothing in perpetuity and would be emissions free. This plan would of

course require updating our grid for the twenty first century (which needs to be done anyway) to

cope with large renewable energy inputs and the provision of sufficient solar power, probably a

combination of solar thermal and solar photovoltaic (PV) sources. Of course such restructuring

requires funding which could be obtained from the price on carbon. Furthermore, institution of a

gross feed-in tariff would encourage the proliferation of solar PV throughout Queensland (proven

highly effective by the German experience). This solution was not an original suggestion of mine8

but one I had learned about from energy experts9 who had done the energy and the economic

calculations to validate it.

The panel's response to this well considered solution was mind bogglingly idiotic. I refer

specifically to Kate Farrar, a business pundit, who regurgitated a vomitload of drivel I term "the

Plantation Owner's argument". It was obviously a brainless kneejerk response she repeated ad

nauseum whenever anyone mentioned renewable energy, judging by her well rehearsed delivery.

Perhaps she had been coached by economic delusionists such as Warwick McCibbin10 who I have

heard spew out the same rubbish in the past. In a nutshell, she stated that we should not "pick

winners" and we should "let the free market decide" and she rattled off numbers indicating how the

price of solar energy was way too high compared with the price of coal fired energy1 1 and hence

not affordable. Her "solution" was that we should do nothing and maintain business as usual (which

is exactly what the fossil fuel companies would like us to do) and the market would somehow

magically solve all our problems.

If the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again while expecting a

different result, then she must have been a complete lunatic. This was someone who knew the price

of everything but the value of nothing. I call such people BAUAUs (pronounced "bowows" – think

of a yapping dog) which stands for Business As Usual Acolytes and Underlings .

Audience members get suckered in by their platitudinous soundbytes because, like all

convincing lies, it contains some half truths. Private enterprise and the profit motive can spur

greater productivity. Free and fair competition on a level playing field can reduce costs to

consumers while improving the quality of goods and services. Consequent economic development

can lead to better lives for people (up to a point) and lift millions out of poverty as in the case of

China.

But scratch the surface of her argument and you immediately release the foul stench of

rotting garbage. It is a simple fact that our market is anything but free and is hardly a level playing

field. Our car industries receive massive government subsidies, without which they could never be

competitive, but the economic ideologues do not bleat on about the free market then. What about

the billions in subsidies given by European governments to their agricultural sectors, shutting out

food imports from abroad? What about the Japanese government who heavily subsidise their rice

farmers and punitively tax rice imports? There is nothing intrinsically wrong about targeted

subsidies and targeted taxes to protect sectors which are vital for national security, but let us not be

hypocritical and pretend we have free and fair markets. On the other hand, inappropriate

government handouts can be extremely damaging to society and can paralyse our prospects for the

future. The most blatant is exemplified by the billions of dollars of government subsidies handed

out to the (already immensely profitable) fossil fuel corporations – taxpayers money which in fact

represents a big fat (hidden) tax on us which they never talk about. And what about America, the so

called champion of free market capitalism which bailed out failed investment banks and mortgage

firms with public money? Money which was then used to give bonuses to crooked board members?

Socialise the losses and privatise the profits – that what their "free" market actually does. Our

markets are about as free as the Democratic Republic of North Korea is democratic.

The BAUAUs only invoke the "free market" argument when it suits their own agenda (eg

supporting their fossil fuel masters) but are strangely silent when grabbing taxpayer handouts

behind the scenes. Perish the thought that any potential competitors (eg renewable energy) could

receive any government subsidies, oh no, that would spell "economic disaster".

The BAUAUs assertion that we should not "pick winners" implies that our existing system

is impartial and that somehow through the magic of the market place, the best and most efficient

operators will flourish and the uncompetitive players will perish, like some kind of natural

selection. Adam Smith's so-called "hidden hand", beloved of the Hayek/Friedman fundamentalists,

which the Nobel prizewinning economist Joseph Stiglitz says does not actually exist. Using the

examples of those government subsidies again, we know for a fact that our system already does

pick winners; favourites which are often deeply inefficient and corrupt but just happen to have

strong lobbying influence with government. The invasion of Iraq for their oil in 2003 was a classic

example of the US government favouring their handpicked "winner" Halliburton12, thus facilitating

a gigantic economic windfall for Halliburton (which was given oil service contracts without tender)

and other associated US corporations, but causing unimaginable suffering and death to ordinary

Iraqis, not to mention the deaths of several thousand US soldiers. Privatise the profits and socialise

the losses – that is how US "free market" capitalism works.

Government policies picking winners has always been the manner by which capitalist

economies have risen, whether we consider the Western models from the time of the British and

Dutch East India companies or the Asian models of the Japanese Zaibatsus, Korean Chaebols or

emerging Chinese Corporations. America continues to support numerous "too big to fail"

companies, exemplified by their obsolete "big three" car companies (GM, Ford, Chrysler).

The BAUAUs argue that market regulation (which is the mechanism by which "winners" are

picked and may interfere with the "hidden hand") is bad, to which any thinking person can only

respond, "bovine excrement!"

Firstly, citing Joseph Stiglitz again, it is clear that the dismantling of investment bank

regulations by the free market ideologues (regulations which were put in place after the Great

Depression) led directly to perversion of the US financial system and the Global Financial Crisis of

2008. 13

Secondly it is a fact that proper regulation based on honest accounting works and had indeed

been protecting America from another Great Depression till now. The strategy of choosing optimum

public policy by balancing benefits against detriment is well proven. That is why we ban asbestos,

even though it may be cheap. Only after choosing policy based on the benefit/risk principle should

we weave economic incentives and disincentives around it, rather than having the tail wagging the

dog as advocated by Kate Farrar, the tail whisperer.

I can speak with authority14 on the medical model of decision making, well proven to save

lives, which in fact requires we pick "winners". If you had cancer and asked a doctor to

recommend the best therapy and he said "we should not pick winners" and "we should let the

market decide" and "let's go with the cheapest price on the market and not worry about efficacy or

side effects", how would you respond? Any critically ill patient who wishes to survive will regard

"market price" as the least important consideration and will appreciate that the optimum therapy

must be actively chosen by weighing up the benefits versus the risks of each option and not by

worshipping at the altar of "hidden-hand" economics. To choose a cheap but nasty therapy with low

efficacy and fatal side-effects is lunatic false economy, just as the BAUAUs approach to energy

policy is lunatic false economy.

Thirdly, not picking winners and treating all options as equal (standing back and allowing all

manner of activities, even destructive ones, to flourish in the market) is in fact detrimental.

Government tolerance of unregulated deforestation in Indonesia and Brazil (in the name of short

term profits) is one of the worst ecological planetary disasters today. The winners they ought to pick

should be forest preservation with ecotourism and sustainable timber harvesting. Clear felling of

primary forest should be banned. Another bugbear of mine, the bottled water industry, is not only

utterly useless in countries with good quality tap water, but is downright harmful to our

environment, considering the wasteful fossil fuel consumption and indiscriminate disposal of

bottles. It should be banned.

The bottom line is this: the "let the market decide" and "we should not pick winners"

argument is completely fraudulent, dishonest and repugnant. Decision making must utilise evidence

and reason to establish the reality of our situation, following which we must fashion appropriate

economic incentives and disincentives around those realities, in order to encourage activities which

produce net benefit to society while discouraging activities which cause net harm. And yes, there is

a cost to protecting our environment and our futures, it does not come for free, just as there is a cost

to maintaining good health.

If this cost poses hardship to low income earners, we must use taxpayers money to

compensate them. That is what a fair society does. Our subsidies should go to the working poor, not

to the idle rich and certainly not to the fossil fuel companies. The US strategy of "compensating"

the rich and penalising the poor, which rightwing Australians are so keen on emulating, is a recipe

for social conflict, violence and revolution. Extreme social inequality was the underlying cause for

the NAME (North Africa and Middle East) "Arab spring" revolutions of 2011. Occupy Wall Street?

You ain't seen nothing yet.

Why do I call the BAUAUs argument the "plantation owners argument"? In its entirety, the

BAUAU argument goes on to state that if we change our present system (which is working "well"),

by adopting "radical" reforms (eg. more renewable energy, less fossil fuel energy) it will lead to

economic disaster. Therefore we should continue BAU. Historically, where have we heard that

argument before? The exact same argument was used by the plantation owners in the Confederate

states of America before the civil war. Certainly the system was working "well" for the slave

owners, because they had complete disregard for the suffering and death of the slaves who did all

their work. To them, the slaves simply did not count. The plantation owners externalised the harms

caused by their economic system and they used dishonest accounting, exactly what the AGW

deniers are doing right now. They argued that the abolition of slavery would lead to economic

disaster. After the civil war, the "radical" reform of abolition was adopted and America went on to

become the economic powerhouse of the world. So much for predictions of economic disaster.

Kate Farrar might have been personally successful in exploiting our existing business

system, but it is a perverse system and she is the worst sort of person to lecture us about planning

our future15. According to the BI blurb, she volunteers to help the homeless in her spare time. One

wonders what relevance that has for her inclusion as a panel member – perhaps the BI wish to imply

she is a wonderful humanitarian who is above any criticism? Just because a plantation owner is

"kind" to their slaves (throws them a few breadcrumbs from time to time and seldom beats them)

does not justify their support for slavery.

The deceptive illusion of being "fair and balanced"

Let me state for the record that many of the invited BI speakers were certainly honourable

high achieving people, amply qualified to comment on their topics. For example, Paul Meredith was

a highly qualified scientist and passionate advocate of solar energy and Gerald Tooth had a laudable

track record of being remarkably effective in convincing the public to conserve water during the

drought years, those habits enduring even till now.

The cunning strategy of the BI sessions was to juxtapose qualified speakers next to the

scientific prostitutes and BAUAUs. This served to lend credibility to the latter and project the

impression of being "fair and balanced" to all points of view (even the crazy ones)16.

This was identical to the Australian newspaper's devious strategy to lend credibility to global

warming deniers by juxtaposing articles of idiotic denialist ideas (often written by an economic

delusionist professors) next to articles by serious climate scientists, implying that both should be

given equal weight and consideration in the manufactured "controversy" surrounding global

warming. "Fair and balanced", just like Fox News, the principal cheerleader for the invasion of Iraq.

The order of speakers was also contrived to serve the overall message from the BI. For

example, Wally Wight, the recognised Brisbane expert on Peak Oil, was lined up to speak just

before those who advocated harvesting shale oil and coal seam gas. This facilitated the message:

"Running out of oil? We should grab more fossil fuels!"

Perish the thought that Wally Wight should speak just before a solar energy expert.

The chairperson's dismissive refusal to allow any rejoinder to Kate Farrar's idiotic blather

also reflected her bias. Had we run out of time for further discussion? Karyn Brinkley had no

qualms about running well overtime the first "energy" session, even though half the audience had to

leave due to closure of the cloak/bag room.

The final backstop argument of the AGW "soft" denialists and fossil fuel fraudsters, when all

their other arguments have been exposed as nonsensically bogus, is this:

Yes, AGW is real, yes it will be disastrous. But even if Australia undertakes the economic

"hardship" of restructuring to become emissions free, it will have a negligible effect on the world,

considering the much larger greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from other countries. Hence we

should not "go it alone", we should not bother. Much easier to harvest more fossil fuels. Let's party

today and die tomorrow, just as the band kept playing on the Titanic.

This is my fourfold reply:

Firstly, we will not be going it alone. In fact we have been dragging our heels too long and

we lag well behind Europe, California and British Columbia (the latter state instituted a carbon tax

several years ago) and many other states and countries. China is now the largest producer of wind

and solar PV resources and has begun to impose a tax on pollution in many of their major cities.

New Zealand intends to source at least 90% of their electricity from renewable energy by 2025.

Secondly, imagine this scenario: James Packer says that the tax he pays is only a tiny

fraction of Australia's total tax income. Hence he chooses not to pay any tax at all, because the

nation will hardly notice it. This is technically true. However our appropriate response should be

outrage that one of the richest members of society refuses to pay his fair share of tax. It would be

appropriate to regard him as a freeloading self serving scumbag who should be tarred and feathered.

Similarly, there are those who say that Australia's GHG emissions are only a small fraction of the

world total, hence we should not bother to curb them because the world will hardly notice it. It

would be appropriate to regard such people as freeloading self serving scumbags who should be

tarred and feathered. I refer in particular to Tony "global warming is crap" Abbott, who is utterly,

absolutely, totally unfit as a potential candidate for Prime Minister.

Thirdly, the only fair approach to adjusting GHG emissions is by considering per capita

emissions, historical GHG contributions and by assessing who can most easily curb their emissions

(invariably the richest people). Australians score highly on all three counts. We have the highest per

capita emissions in the world, it is the Western economies that have historically contributed 85% of

all GHGs to date (the CO2 emitted from the 1800s is still lingering out there) and as one of the

richest countries in the world we can far more easily curb our emissions than, say, Indian or African

peasants living on the edge of survival. We are so wasteful we could easily cut our emissions by

half tomorrow and still enjoy a quality of life the envy of the world. Germans have half the

emissions of Americans and arguably enjoy a better lifestyle.

Fourthly, if the richest and worst emitters refuse to curb their emissions, then it will be

morally untenable to expect anyone else to do so. With the whole world then pursuing BAU,

disaster will be absolutely guaranteed. Hence the only hope for humanity is for countries such as

Australia to take the lead in emissions reduction. Australia has to do it, unless we are completely

mad and suicidal. It is time to grow up and face our responsibilities and cease the infantile whining.

I refer again to that vile opportunist and refugee vilifier Tony Abbott.

CONCLUSIONS:

We should regard AGW as nothing less than a terminal cancer threatening global

civilisation. Faced with terminal cancer, the sane patient will not worry about the "price" of therapy

and will only focus on the best therapy (the most effective therapy with the least side effects as

determined by the scientific research). What is the point of having heaps of money in the bank if

you are dead?

If we encounter lower or even negative economic growth during our transformation to

renewable energy, so what? Once we have tackled climate change we will have an indefinite future

to re-expand our economies (with newer and better renewable energy technologies). After World

War Two, Germany and Japan transformed from devastated heaps of rubble to powerhouse

economies in less than thirty years. If we do not tackle climate change now however, there will be

no future for human civilisation. The human species will not go extinct in the way we are rendering

so many other species extinct, but billions of people will die and the survivors will have nasty,

brutish, short and poor lives. All because of the selfishness of this generation.

Gwynne Dyer, in his many books and interviews, looked at these issues and stated that

transformation to 100% renewable energy will be a doddle, a walk in the park, a piece of cake. We

have the technology, argument over. The major impediments are political inertia and corrosive

obstructionism from the fossil fuel companies who employ scientific prostitutes and economic

delusionists to advance their agenda and maintain public apathy and confusion.

Change is difficult especially for those presently living a comfortable life, however change

is now upon us whether we like it or not. This should be our message to the AGW denialists: your

names are on the record and will be duly noted by posterity. If you do not change your attitudes and

your ways, your children and grandchildren will revile and curse you for your despicable

selfishness and for your role in destroying their futures.

Is this an provocative essay? Have I caused offence by calling the Brisbane Institute a

Brisbane Prostitute? If so, I would like to offer my humble apologies to any prostitutes who resent

being compared to this reprehensible institute.

One more quote:

"Clean energy is essential to our addressing the carbon climate problem… research shows clearly

that we must prime the pump on innovation now with increased funding for research and

development, while putting incentives in place that allow the resulting new technologies to compete

successfully in the marketplace." – words from that well known hardline greenie communist radical,

Bill Gates.

Just because I advocate the primacy of rationality in shaping human affairs does not mean I

am not passionate about what I believe, as you can obviously tell. We are engaged in nothing less

than a struggle for the preservation human civilisation and unfortunately at present it is the self

serving liars, fools and scumbags who are winning. It's no use crying out in the wilderness, "for

God's sake, somebody do something!"

You, dear reader, are somebody.

Geoffrey Chia, February 2012

 

Dr Geoffrey Chia is a Brisbane Cardiologist who is convenor of the group "Doctors and Scientists for Sustainability and Social Justice" www.d3sj.org who advocate that policy should be based on evidence, reason and fairness to achieve the greatest amount of good for the greatest number of people on a long term basis. All members of the public who agree with those principles are invited to attend the meetings for free .

 

Footnotes:

1. What the AGW denialists claim to believe and what they actually believe are not the same thing. They claim to

be "sceptical" of the peer reviewed climate science research, however they accept the peer reviewed scientific

research of other fields when it suits them, even if the level of uncertainty in the other fields (eg medical

therapy) may be the same or worse than that of the climate science. What is the explanation for such

discrepancy? The only explanation, backed up by mountains of evidence, is that they are self serving

scumbags, driven by greed and an overwhelming sense of entitlement.

2. Such as US Republican James Inhofe's bogus lawsuits launched against climate scientists.

3. This "right" of course far exceeds the right of Third World peasants to eat, far exceeds the right of future

generations to a stable existence and far exceeds the right of other species on this planet to survive.

4. Fignorant is to ignorant as fugly is to ugly

5. http://www.clubofrome.org/?p=3425

6. Virtually no obese patients that I or any of my specialist colleagues see in clinic are ever found to have

"hormonal" problems, even though we check detailed blood tests for all of them. Many obese patients claim

they "eat like a bird" (one presumes they are referring to a tiny hummingbird and not a seven foot tall ostrich)

but they still magically put on weight. A senior colleague of mine responds to such claims with the statement,

"there are no obese inmates of concentration camps". Studies have shown that obese people consistently

underestimate and underreport the amount of food they eat. One of the biggest problems of the obese is their

denial that they have an impulse control problem.

7. http://www.news.cornell.edu/stories/April11/GasDrillingDirtier.html

8. My solution, which I did not voice that day, would be to use natural ventilation augmented by fans and not to

use airconditioners in Brisbane except in vital locations such as intensive care units. This approach would

however require the heinous and unthinkable act of designing buildings with windows which can actually

open, shaded by eaves to protect against influx of direct sunlight. We could call such a building a

Queenslander, a novel construction which has obviously never been thought of before.

9. I first heard of this elegant proposal from Bill Brazier, then President of the Queensland Branch of the ANZ

Solar Energy Society at our d3sj meeting in February 2007 and have since read other articles confirming how

economically and environmentally reasonable, sensible and logical such a plan is (and hence completely

unacceptable to the BI).

10. Not to be confused with William McKibben (better known as Bill McKibben), founder of 350.org, who

advocates that we need to reduce atmospheric CO2 to the level of 350ppm recommended by top climate

scientists such as James Hansen and that economic measures must be guided by scientifically determined

realities. Warwick McKibbin however believes that limpwristed maneuverings fabricated by economic

ideologies and platitudes will somehow save us. The fact is we cannot depend on the people who have caused

our problems (the economic delusionists) to solve them.

11. Our existing energy prices are based on dishonest accounting where fossil fuel energy gets a "free ride"

without having to pay for the harm it causes. Existing prices are based on lies and unrealities, leading to

perverse outcomes.

12. Some may argue quite legitimately that Halliburton (through Dick Cheney) was the defacto US government at

the time.

13. The underlying cause of the GFC was deregulation of the US investment banks, thus allowing the fraudsters to

engage in skullduggery. The trigger for the GFC was Peak Oil, the price of crude reaching US$147/- per barrel

in July 2008

14. My alphabets? MBBS, MRCP, FRACP, FCSANZ

15. Richard Branson is a somewhat more successful businessperson than Kate Farrar. His latest book is titled,

"Screw Business as Usual" which argues that we must overturn capitalism to take into account social and

environmental values.

16. As newly appointed CEO of the BI in 2009, Karyn Brinkley organised a forum for a partisan audience in

January 2010, which gave equal billing to the AGW denialists “Lord” Monckton and Ian Plimer against

climate realists in a “debate”, which the Courier Mail later declared the AGW denialists won (she has also

written articles for the Courier Mail).

Collapse Biz Trip Day 4: The Big Ewz Marathon Test

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Published on The Doomstead Diner July 22, 2019

Discuss this article & videos at the Frostbite Falls Newz Table inside the Diner

 

Today's project on the Collapse Biz Trip was to do the most rigorous testing to date of the newly powered Ewz (aka "Cripple Cart") carrying the Full Monte of batteries, both Lithium-Ion (L-I) and Sealed Lead-Acid (SLA) for a total of 20 Amp-Hours (AH) fully charged.  As the photo at left indicates, the Cripple Cart had its first live tests on the flight down to Seattle-Tacoma from Anchorage.  Those tests were to determine the feasibility for a Solo Cripple to haul all his (massive) amount of baggage to the airport, around the airport and to get it through TSA Security and on the plane.  Obviously, since I am now IN Tacoma, this test was successful.

In yesterday's testing, the objective was to see just how much distance I could travel around Tacoma on a single charge without mid-trip recharges.  The video above is the first installment of several segments I made on this trip.  It is raw video, unedited as of now since I don't really have time to do that until I return home to the Last Great Frontier.  I will be putting up further raw videos Inside the Diner until I get home to do a full article (or more likely, articles) covering the various facets of this Collapse Biz Trip.  These videos also can be found on the CollapseCafe.com Diner YouTube channel.

There will be further testing today, then I am scheduled to Jet Set back home on Tuesday, riding First Class 🙂 on Alaska Airlines.  Look Inside the Diner for the up-to-the minute Play-by-Play reports to follow the EV projects of the Doomstead Diner and the Sustaining Universal Needs Foundation (SUN4Living.com).

Collapse Biz Trip

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Published on The Doomstead Diner July 21, 2019

Discuss this article & videos at the Frostbite Falls Newz Table inside the Diner

 

As regular Diners know, I'm currently down in Seattle-Tacoma working on Collapse Bizness.  I'm completing the SUN☼ Monument, to carry the SUN☼ message and rules for Sustainable Living on Planet Earth to future generations, as well as testing my small EV battery systems for post-SHTF Day resilience and utility.  Also had a dinner meeting with 2 fellow Kollapsniks, K-Dog of the Chasing the Squirrel blog and George Mobus of Question Everything.  We had the dinner last night at the Emerald Queen Casino buffet in Tacoma, where I am staying.  I got my dinner FREE (I met the 2 hour minimum time sitting at the slot machines to earn this perk), George & K-Dog hadda pay the $20.  Good deal for me, since I only lost $1 while spinning the digital wheel once every 5 minutes or so.  More about that in the videos.

So anyhow, not much time to write or even to do any video editing right now, but here are a couple of raw & unedited vids I did at the beginning and end of the day (one in the Header, the other below) for your enjoyment. 🙂

This Week In Doom July 14, 2019


That-Was-The-Week-That-W-That-Was-The-Week-473964gc2smFrom the keyboard of Surly1
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                                                                                                                                                                               Anthony Freda

Originally published on the Doomstead Diner on July 14, 2019

“The muffled tongue of Big Ben tolled nine by the clock as the cortege left the palace, but on history's clock it was sunset, and the sun of the old world was setting in a dying blaze of splendor never to be seen again.” 
― Barbara W. Tuchman, The Guns of August
 


There is a steady drumbeat of madness in the air… or it is simply my pulse in my ears? It grows louder. It screams of inevitability. When I was a little boy, four or five, I distinctly recall wondering whether mine might not be the last generation to live until "the end of the world."  A singular thought for a child– but this was the age of fallout shelters and under-the-desk nuclear attack drills– all of it kabuki, but calculated to help you feel you were doing something. Lately I've had those thoughts again, unbidden after sixty years. A fear, leading up to a Third, and final, world war as pieces float into place. 

A nuclear tipped empire led by a madman drunk on vanity, enabled by a vocal, hate-brimmed minority intent on nothing so much as making Those People suffer. "Those people" mean the right people in their view– immigrants, democrats, liberals, academics, knowledge-workers, African-americans, Latinos, queers– anyone not likely to be found in a Prosperity Gospel megachurch, a Chamber of Commerce breakfast, or a Trump Klux Klan meeting. These people have always been with us. In his satirical 1922 novel about American culture, Babbitt, Sinclair Lewis observed the vacuity of middle-class life and the social pressure toward conformity in a midwestern town. To remember that a quarter of our neighbors are nazis-in-waiting, never forget that as Nixon boarded the helicopter to his ride to shame and infamy, he stood at 24 per cent approval, per Gallup.

Our media reinforces that conformity, even though we are all repeatedly told what special snowflakes we are. Corporate media holds the coat for the military-industrial complex as we push for war. All is propaganda, to "support the troops;" special camo-version uniform accents for major league sports teams; Blue Angels overflights. Relentless propaganda against the new enemy, which this month has been Iran. Unlike the Cold War that informed my childhood, our world is no longer kept “stable” through a bipolar death grip of mutually assured destruction. The mood these days seems to evoke the period prior to WWI, where no one knows how shifting diplomatic alliances will fall, when the competition was between nation states and competing economic orders rather than ideologies. Prior to WWI, the global hegemon/empire was Britain, which after being bled white by two World Wars found the costs of Empire unsupportable. The US assumed the mortgage, and in the fullness of time, we too will assume that Whiter Shade of Pale. In the runup to WWI, the unstable nutcase in the equation was Kaiser Wilhelm. In our case, the loose orange cannon has 24-7 access to our nuclear codes and a troubled path to re-election.

Here's the week:


Alex Acosta Had to Go, But the Jeffrey Epstein Scandal Is Really About Money and Privilege

Acosta took the fall in the Jeffrey Epstein debacle for his role in the disgraceful 2008 sweetheart plea deal that gave Epstein mansion "house arrest" and other perks not available to those us whose net worth is south of ione figures. But it is likely Acosta is merely the first domino.

Labor Secretary Alex Acosta’s resignation Friday amid the mushrooming Jeffrey Epstein investigation made him the latest in a growing list of President Trump’s Cabinet members to depart under a cloud of scandal, plunging an administration that has struggled with record turnover into further upheaval.

As a private businessman, Trump had socialized with Epstein in the early 2000s, was famously quested as saying Epstein "enjoyed his social life," but said he had a "falling out" with Epstein some 15 years ago and ended their relationship.

People who knew the hedge fund business didn't know Epstein, unusual for someone who maintained a lavish lifestyle (including his own private island) supposedly by running hedge funds. 

Real Hedge-Fund Managers Have Some Thoughts on What Epstein Was Actually Doing

Long before Epstein pleaded guilty to prostitution charges in Florida more than a decade ago, his fellow Palm Beach resident and hedge-fund manager Douglas Kass was intrigued by the local gossip about his neighbor.

“I’m hearing about the parties, hearing about a guy who’s throwing money around,” says Kass, president of Seabreeze Partners Management. While stories about young girls swarming Epstein’s waterfront mansion and the sex parties he hosted for the rich and powerful were the talk of the town, Kass was more focused on how this obscure person, rumored to be managing billions of dollars, had become so wealthy without much of a track record.

Kass was well-connected on Wall Street, where he’d worked for decades, so he began to ask around. “I went to my institutional brokers, to their trading desks and asked if they ever traded with him. I did it a few times until the date when he was arrested,” he recalls. “Not one institutional trading desk, primary or secondary, had ever traded with Epstein’s firm.”

When a reporter came to interview Kass about Bernie Madoff shortly before that firm blew up in the biggest Ponzi scheme ever, Kass told her, “There’s another guy who reminds me of Madoff that no one trades with.” That man was Jeffrey Epstein….

…there is much skepticism among the hedgies Intelligencer spoke with that Epstein made the money he has — and he appears to have a lot, given a lavish portfolio of homes and private aircraft — as a traditional money manager.  A fund manager who knows well how that kind of fortune is acquired notes, “It’s hard to make a billion dollars quietly.” Epstein never made a peep in the financial world.

More in this excellent article from The Intelligencer at the link.

Some have observed that we've seen the like of Epstein before. I think not. While indulging his taste for pedophilia, Epstein has for all intents and purposes run a honeypot operation spanning decades, and including high rollers and the odd president or two. The contents of Epstein's "little black book" is worth billions. Acosta said he was waved off in the 2008 plea deal, having been told that Epstein "belonged to intelligence." Whose intelligence, no one is saying. 

As Douglas Kass said in the quote above, "It's hard to make a billion dollars quietly." Yet no one in hedge find circles knew of him, had traded with him, or knew anyone who had. Yet someone was paying for his lifestyle. Billionaires and politicos buying decades of silence?


A Twitter post by one Quantian that lays out a likely scenario for Epstein's scheme that ticks off all that we know to be true. If is worth a read, on Threadreader here and on Twitter, if you'd rather.


It mat be that Epstein is not a garden variety pedo. He ran a network supplying children– not "young women," as the media spinners might put it– for high rollers and the connected. Whether or not we will ever know the "truth," or what passes for it, remains very doubtful. We've seen this act before– remember the Franklin affair and cover-up? Those bastards literally got away with murder. the investigators got steamrollered with money, and even the FBI got involved on the part of those accused: they managed to stop a John Walsh America’s Most Wanted series which featured the Franklin case. Most charges were dismissed. So those seeking justice may be disappointed, but before the charges are dismissed, some of the names in Epstein's famous "little black book" may do some summertime sweating. The root issue is the workings of the American class system. From Franklin, Nebraska to New York City and "St. Jeff's Island," we see the the manner in which people of great wealth and high social standing are often able to purchase their own flavor of justice, regardless of how flagrant or hideous their crimes may be.  Judges, prosecutiors, and juries often genuflect before a high enough pile of cash.


Savage tick-clone armies are sucking cows to death; experts fear for humans. 
Spreading invasive tick spawns without mating and can transmit deadly disease.
Ravenous swarms of cloned ticks have killed a fifth cow in North Carolina by exsanguination—that is, by draining it of blood—the state’s Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services warned this week….

The tick—the Asian longhorned tick, or Haemaphysalis longicornis—was first found terrorizing a sheep in New Jersey in 2017 and has established local populations in at least 10 states since it sneaked in. Its invasive sweep is due in large part to the fact that a single well-fed female can spawn up to 2,000 tick clones parthenogenetically—that is, without mating—in a matter of weeks. And unlike other ticks that tend to feast on a victim for no more than seven days, mobs of H. longicorni can latch on for up to 19 days.

The state government is North Carolina no longer maintains any capability to respond to this type of new public health threat – the Republicans who took control of the state legislature in 2010 eliminated the  Public Health Pest Management Section — which included the state’s tick control and research programs — in their 2011 budget.


Trump backs away from census citizenship question, orders agencies to hand over citizenship information to Commerce

President Donald Trump retreated from his quest to add a question about US citizenship to the 2020 census on Thursday, instead asking government agencies to provide records that could determine a head-count of citizens without polling census-takers directly. 

The turnaround comes after Trump repeatedly said he would continue fighting to insert the question despite a Supreme Court ruling that dealt a blow to the effort last month. It reflects legal reality intersecting with Trump's desire to bolster his image as an immigration hard-liner as he moves ahead with his 2020 reelection bid.

Some type of direct action by Trump had been one of several avenues explored by the administration to place the question on the population survey following the late June Supreme Court ruling. 

The Trump administration initially announced printing would go forward without the citizenship question. Government attorneys had asserted to the courts that the printing process — either with or without the question — needed to begin on July 1 to avoid extra costs.


Top 1% Up $21 Trillion. Bottom 50% Down $900 Billion.
Stop the Presses: The rich get richer.

Every quarter, the Federal Reserve puts out the Financial Accounts (aka “Z1” or “Flow of Funds”), which provide economy-wide aggregates for nearly every kind of asset and liability there is. Every three years, they put out the Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF), which is a household survey that records many of the same kinds of assets and liabilities that are in the Financial Accounts. In a perfect world, the assets and liabilities in the SCF would sum up to the aggregates in the Financial Accounts, but for various reasons they do not.

Recently, the Federal Reserve released a new data series called the Distributive Financial Accounts, which combine the Financial Accounts and the SCF to provide quarterly estimates of the distribution of wealth in America that do sum to the aggregates in the Financial Accounts. The series goes back to 1989, the first year the modern SCF was administered and runs to the fourth quarter of 2018, the last quarter for which there is Financial Accounts data.

The insights of this new data series are many, but for this post here I want to highlight a single eye-popping statistic. Between 1989 and 2018, the top 1 percent increased its total net worth by $21 trillion. The bottom 50 percent actually saw its net worth decrease by $900 billion over the same period…

What the final product reveals is a 2018 where the top 1 percent owns nearly $30 trillion of assets while the bottom half owns less than nothing, meaning they have more debts than they have assets. This follows from 30 years in which the top 1 percent massively grew their net worth while the bottom half saw a slight decline in its net worth.


By 2050, many world cities will have weather like they’ve never seen, new study says

The price of climate denial will be paid. Gardeners already know that growing zones have moved steadily northward during our lifetimes, and that temps keep getting hotter as glaciers at both poles melt and sea levels rise, and storms come earlier and with greater force and water load. Tropical Storm Barry this week was an early preview.

CLIMATE FORECAST FOR 2050: New York City winters will have the weather of today’s Virginia Beach, damp and cold London will be hot and dry like Barcelona, wet Seattle will be like drier San Francisco, and Washington D.C. will be more like today’s Nashville but with even greater variation in temperatures and precipitation. Those predictions are according to the first global analysis of how some cities’ climate conditions will shift under climate change.

“We wanted to know what’s the most conservative estimate of what the climate will be for 520 major cities in 2050,” said Tom Crowther, a researcher at ETH Zürich, and senior author of the study published today in the peer-reviewed science journal PLOS ONE.

“The changes we found are huge,” Crowther says in an interview.

Generally speaking, cities in the Northern Hemisphere will have the climates cities more than 620 miles to their south have today, he said.

There are no good pairings or analogues for more than 22 percent of the world’s major cities—those with one million or more people currently, researchers found. Those 115 cities, including Washington and 16 other U.S. cities, will have unprecedented climate conditions by 2050 compared to what they saw in 2000, the baseline for the study.

That doesn’t mean that Washington will be hotter than Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, today. It means that there is no current match for the wide climate variations in temperatures, seasonality, and precipitation the city will experience, said Crowther.

The vast majority of the 115 cities that will experience “novel” climates are in the tropics and include metropolises like Kuala Lumpur, Jakarta, Rangoon, and Singapore. Changes in tropical cities will be less in terms of temperature increases, but will be dominated by more frequent extreme precipitation events and the severity and intensity of droughts.

“The fate of major tropical cities remains uncertain as many will experience unprecedented climate conditions,” the study concludes.


Earth's Ancient Life Forms Are Awakening After 40,000 Years in Permafrost

Researchers in a warming Arctic are discovering organisms, frozen and presumed dead for millennia, that can bear life anew. These ice age zombies range from simple bacteria to multicellular animals, and their endurance is prompting scientists to revise their understanding of what it means to survive.

"You wouldn't assume that anything buried for hundreds of years would be viable," said [evolutionary biologist Catherine} La Farge, who researches mosses at the University of Alberta.

In 2009, her team was scouring Teardrop's margin to collect blackened plant matter spit out by the shrinking glacier. Their goal was to document the vegetation that long ago formed the base of the island's ecosystem.

"The material had always been considered dead. But by seeing green tissue, "I thought, 'Well, that's pretty unusual'," La Farge said about the centuries-old moss tufts she found.

She brought dozens of these curious samples back to Edmonton, lavishing them with nutrient-rich soils in a bright, warm laboratory. Almost a third of the samples burst forth with new shoots and leaves.

"We were pretty blown away," La Farge said. The moss showed few ill effects of its multi-centennial deep-freeze.

Russian teams working on a similar project have reanimated nematodes from over 40,000 years ago:  the most complex creatures ever revived after a lengthy deep freeze. What else could be buried in the Arctic deeps awaiting reanimation? And what could possibly go wrong?


Global clean-energy spending is plummeting

Worldwide funding of clean-energy projects fell to its lowest level in six years, in a staggering blow to the battle against climate change.

The findings: BloombergNEF found that global investments in solar, wind, and other clean energy sources added up to $117.6 billion during the first half of 2019, a 14% decline from the same period last year and the lowest six-month figure since 2013.
China saw a 39% drop in investments, as the nation eases up on its aggressive solar subsidies to get costs under control. But spending also declined 6% in the US and 4% in Europe, part because of policies that are being phased out and weak demand for additional energy generation in mature markets.

The big picture: The new report suggests last year’s slowdown in renewable-energy construction has extended into 2019, taking the world in exactly the wrong direction at a critical time (see “Global renewables growth has stalled—and that’s terrible news”).  Every major report finds that the world needs to radically accelerate the shift to clean energy to have any hope of not blowing past dangerous warming thresholds (see “At this rate, it’s going to take 400 years to transform the energy system”).

The smart money says we don't have 400 years, or even 40.


The fact is that our modern system is dependent upon petroleum, and will be for the foreseeable future. Our lives, society and economies are based on oil and petroleum byproducts.  The plastics, the supply chains that take the raw ingredients from manufacturing to retail are all dependent on petroleum and byproducts. Whether we can generate enough renewable power to replace a significangt portion. of this is arguable. . Decision makers have always known this.

We knew the potential impacts of global warming 40 years ago. Jimmy Carter put solar panels on the White House; Reagan had them removed, and declared, "Morning in America." Weaning a society and a world from petroleum might have been difficult enough had we summoned the will; but with the Reaganauts in charge such change was off the boards.

Today, production webs are now globally interlocked. The rise of developing nations like China and India and the Pacific Rim means that their citizens want a car in the driveway and steak on their plate just like the first world imperialists that stole their assets 100 years ago. Any attempts for the West to move to a zero emission scheme would have been rendered moot if the Third World refused to go along. Forego growth? Not likely.

So knowing this, the elites have chosen to deny climate change for as long as possible to a public too complacent to notice or make changes themselves. Once a general alarm was sounded and a tipping point of public opinion was close, they would pay lip service to environmentalism. Enter some toothless carbon-cutting deals without enforcement mechanisms, and with an action date near mid-century. Anything to keep people placated and assuming that their Governments were actually working the issue.

Use the notion of the free market meeting the problem head on once there is enough profit involved. By the time this might be viable, it'll be far too late to head off the four degrees Celsius increase, the tipping point towards full blown environmental Armageddon.

Meanwhile, TPTB maximize short term profit, and use that profit to start socially engineering the lower energy footprint, ownership-free world that the New World Order will demand. And rathole money in land, bunkers and other assets to make sure they and their progeny are prepared to survive a couple years of zombie unpleasantness, then emerge with prerogatives intact.

The exacerbated income inequality demonstrated above is just more evidence that TPTB are concentrating the wealth. It's a game we're not even aware is being played, because we're so complacent. By the time the jig is up, they will already field their own private armies in order to keep themselves and their families safe from a very pissed off population.

Two degrees rise is almost certainly baked in at this point, and because the world economic system is reliant on petroleum, there's no changing its current  direction absent a worldwide commitment, the consensus for which is notably absent. And this does not account for other hidden feed back loops within the Earth's biosphere, such as frozen methane reserves in the Arctic.

When I was young, the earth was home to 3.7 billion people. Now, 8+ billion people will all want desperately to survive what is coming. The kind of climate migrations we'll be facing will almost certainly mean nations will go to war over dwindling supplies, sources of fresh, clean water foremost among them. Look to the news out of India this week, then consider what the disappearance of glaciers will mean for the great, glacier-fed rivers of Asia. We know what the end game is, and we've known, or been able to deduce, for forty years. Nothing has changed except that time grows shorter. And I still wonder whether my generation will be the last to walk the earth as we knew it.


banksy 07-flower-thrower-wallpaperSurly1 is an administrator and contributing author to Doomstead Diner. He is the author of numerous rants, screeds and spittle-flecked invective here and elsewhere. He lives a quiet domestic existence in Southeastern Virginia with his wife Contrary. Descended from a long line of people to whom one could never tell anything, all opinions are his and his alone.

Collapse Cripple Cart Construction Project

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Published on The Doomstead Diner July 14, 2019

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It's been a bizzy week for both Kollapsniks and Cripples,and I have been overwhelmed with work to do in both areas.  I was working on editing a Collapse Cafe video I did with Jason Heppenstalll of 22 Billion Energy Slaves a couple of weeks ago, then George Mobus of Question Everything and I got together to discuss his new Systems Science book along with questions from the Collapse 2019 Survey early in the week as well.  Then I finalized plans for a Jet Setting, Fossil Fuel Burning trip down to Seattle in the Lower 48, set now for departure on July 18th of this week.  As much as I wanted to edit and publish the discussions with Jason & George though, in this case the approaching DEADLINE for the trip to Seattle took precedence over both.  Those vids will be aired of course, but in all likelihood not until after I return from this latest Globe Trotting Adventure at the End of the Age of Oil.

The main issue here is that I had to get my "Mobiility Device" (aka, "Cripple Cart") up to suff IMHO for travel with me, to provide me with a greater level of independence from Cripple Helpers than I have depended on for the last couple of Adventures I have taken since the catastrophic injury I was unfortunate enough to experience a few years ago.  I have never before taken either of my Cripple Carts along with me for the plane ride for these Adventures, in both the recent cases I rented Cripple Carts for those trips after I got there.  In this case, it was time to bring my own along for the ride, because I am actually using this trip as a Prep Run for an even bigger Adventure I hope to take either in late Summer of Early Fall.  For that Bucket List Adventure I absolutely must have my own Ewz with me for the trip, there is just no other way I can effectively accomplish it.

In any case, long time readers of the Diner who know me know I would NEVER consider a stock Cripple Cart right outta da box from China as "up to snuff" for such a momentous trip on the Bucket List of Adventures I still have planned before I Buy My Ticket to the Great Beyond here as the Collapse of Industrial Civilization begins to accelerate its downward trip to a low per capita energy future.  For such trips I need a really FIRST CLASS ride, which I could either pay through the nose for buying a really expensive one and unnecessarily burning a lot of my stash of cash that way; or I could BUILD IT MYSELF from some cheaper stock parts, cannibalizing a variety of machines to do it.  Cheapskate that I am, I chose Door Number 2, Monte.

Regular Diners also know that unlike many other Collapse Pundits, I am a DOER, not just a TALKER when it comes to Prepping Up for the oncoming (actually, ongoing) Collapse of Industrial Civilization.  I don't just Talk the Talk, I Walk the Walk.  Of course, I am no longer a Big Macho Man who can dig a fence post hole to the center of the earth with a shovel and pick axe (let me rent a Daiwoo Back Hoe and I can do as good a job as any other Heavy Equipment operator out there, though), nor do I have enough money to buy my own Doomstead and raise pigs; and my digs don't even have enough sunlight hitting my tiny back porch to even grow a few herbs back there (I may be able to grow my favorite fungi though, mushrooms).  I do however regularly write on how to eat cheap and well on a limited budget, demonstrating how to do it in the SNAP Card Gourmet and Cooking Zone videos.  I demonstrated food preservationg techniques in my Liver Pate canning videos as well.  I teach myself new skills all the time that I feel will be of help to me or others after SHTF day arrives, such as Candle Making and of course all my experiments with DC Electrics, which this article and video is all about.  I actively work at probably the most IMPORTANT aspect of Prepping for Collapse, DEVELOPING COMMUNITY, both in cyberspace on the net and here at home on the Last Great Frontier IRL.  That is what my Potlach Mobile Food Truck program is all about.

This set of videos on today's experimenting and testing is really about much more than just how to make a VERY COOL Cripple Cart on the cheap to cruise around on as you Jet Set your way around the FSoA and perhaps around the world if I last long enough.  It answers the question definitively about which are better to prep up with, AC line powered electric tools or batt powered electric tools?  Many preppers favor the A/C powered tools because the logic goes that after SHTF day arrives, you're not going to be able to drop in at Lowe's (don't shop Home Depot!)  Well folks, you really don't NEED those proprietary batts, and in coming videos I will show you how to power any tools you have with some very basic tools and systems any prepper should have in his arsenal of preps.  Just as a Teaser, be sure you pack away a good supply of Solder and a Soldering iron in your Bugout Bag! lol.

It also answers some very important questions about the feasibility of using Electric Vehicles for transportation in the post-Collapse world.  Will they be Teslas?  Unlikely. Too fucking EXPENSIVE, too fucking COMPLICATED!  But, simple EVs such as the kind I experiment with can be put together from vey simple parts, many of which will be available in the automobile graveyards of the world once the gas runs out for the ICE powered motors.  Batteries, alternators, wiring, fuses, they are all there in the average junked car recently totaled on the Eisenhower Interstate.  Bicycle frames also available by the truckload at yard sales everywhere.  Electric motors powering everything from Power Tools to Boat Trolling Motors to fans and winches.  You give me $1000 and a trip to a few junkyards, and I'll have you a working vehicle that will do upwards of 20 mph inside a month.,

I hope you enjoy these vids today as much as I enjoyed making them.  Next week, you should see the Cripple Cart on Steroids touring its way around Ted Stevens and Sea-Tac airports and around the Seattle Tacoma neighborhood.  I can wait! 🙂

 

Heading to 3 Bears for Cancerettes

The Return from 3 Bears

How much Cargo Carrying Capacity does a Power Tools Battery powered Cripple Cart have?

Celebrating SUCCESS with Chili Dogs in the Potalch Parking Lot

 

For those of you who missed it, here is a vid done last week working on improvements to the range of my other 2-wheeled Ewz, which I wrote about inside the Diner in a post called "Electra Glide in Black"

 

 

BTW folks, I am not even halfway done with the Mods I have planned for my Globe Trotting Cripple Cart.  You ain't seen nuthin' yet! 🙂

I'll see you down by Fire Lake.  Remember Uncle RE?  He was the one afraid to cut the cake.

A Collective Action Emergency Plan

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Published on The Doomstead Diner on July 13, 2019

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Published on Chasing the Squirrel on July 7, 2019

 

Business as usual needs a funeral. Responding to existential risk.


Existential has been echoing around the inside of the Environmental/Collapse of Western Industrial Civilization rabbit hole for a while. I expect it will be co-opted into existential reasons to buy consumer products soon enough, so explaining what it means now is good.


Existential can mean outright extinction as in the American Passenger Pigeon or the soon to be extinct Monarch butterfly applied to humans, but existential need not go that far. Large negative consequences which can't be undone which limit human potential for all future generations are existential threats.


Current global warming is at 1 degree C and 1.5 degrees is going to happen if people were to stop using fossil fuels yesterday. Paris' agreements would like everybody to agree at stopping warming at a 2 degrees C target and science says actual results consistent with honouring the Paris agreements will result in 3 degrees C of warming. Four degrees of warming by end of century is the actual path being followed by use patterns now.


At three degrees of warming world affairs will be chaotic. At four degrees of warming there will be no organised global community. Large areas of the earth would have no community at all. Large areas of the world become uninhabitable and die off progresses with rage at 4 degrees C.


Reaching only a two degree temperature rise is unrealistic pie in the sky. A like it or not, oh shit, bump in global warming happens as fossil fuel burning stops. Fewer particulates are in the atmosphere. The science is complicated but as much as half a degree of current global warming might be masked by atmospheric aerosols right now.


Paris agreements suffer from technical narcissism and delusive super hero religious ideation. Suits got involved. CO2 capture is a crock and Paris agreements have carbon capture as part of the overall solution. A solution which does not exist at any reasonable scale and should be understood as crazy by anybody who at least managed to get a 'C' in American High School Chemistry or Physics. The only good thing about this is the suits could not figure out how to sell carbon capture on transport. That keeps carbon capture nonsense from going too far. If you could be convinced that something attached to a car tailpipe could save the world somebody would convince you. They would not just try. They would do it. Science fortunately makes that impossible and lowering EROEI would make a tailpipe scrubber irrelevant anyway.


Something better than the Paris agreements could result in a world worth living in. The possibility of that happening remains if emergency response becomes our planetary zeitgeist starting in the United States. We must dump Trump. There is no other way.


Sensible risk management is adopted before a problem can produce negative consequences. Regarding climate change the time to take sensible action was decades ago. Because effective action was not adopted an emergency response is now needed. Market response and conventional regulation will not get the job done.


The worst thing that can happen is for people to remain in or return to denial regarding climate change. Denial must die. Global warming is a real existential threat and in any emergency situation brutal honesty is required for effective action.


Awareness of the climate/resource problem must become normal and a part of everyday social concerns. When this is done then effective planning can be done and proper actions can be taken. The goal is to avoid conflict and create collective action. If conflict prevails and unity fails. Future generations will be forever stunted.


New fossil fuel development must be capped and subsidies for oil and gas removed. Agriculture must be redesigned. This will employ a lot of people. The way people go about their lives must be reconsidered from energy use points of view and from criteria which consider individual and social measures of happiness. Bhutan can help. Theyu know how to measure happiness. A vibrant economy could result from rebuilding infrastructure and literally rebuilding buildings to be energy efficient. Such things are possible.


Now I have the pleasure of pasting in an interview with Ian Dunlop which was published at Collapse chronicles today. Ian is one of the good guy and he explains what I have written about today better than I can.

We Need a Bit of Alarmism…We Need to Rethink the Way Humanity is Going to Survive

Enjoy, It is a pleasure to listen to an intelligent man who is able to think about complicated things and explain them well. If you think so too, listen to Ian.

Responding to Collapse, Part 9: Getting Prepared, Part 1

 

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Published on The Easiest Person to Fool on June 13, 2019

 

Willow I coppiced earlier this spring.
The new shoots are already 18" long–by fall they will be between 4 and 6 feet long and ready for basket making.

Disucss this article at the Doomsteading Table inside the Diner

 

The central idea of this series of posts is that the collapse of our industrial civilization is already underway (has been since the 1970s) and seems very likely to continue until "Business as Usual" (BAU) is no longer capable of supplying us with the necessities of life. This collapse is proceeding in a fashion that is uneven (geographically), unsteady (chronologically) and unequal (socially), and we can expect it to continue in the same irregular way. Accordingly, it should be possible to pick some places and lifestyles that will suffer less severely than others.

I have recommended moving to a small town fairly remote from larger cities in an area likely to suffer less from the worst ravages of climate change and with the local resources necessary to provide at least water, food and energy (mainly firewood) for its inhabitants. Of course, some advance set up is going to be needed if you are to put those to work effectively. In my last two posts (7, 8, links) I talked about preparations in the human or social sense—becoming a part of the local community and developing the connections you'll need.

I'm going to wrap up this series with a few posts talking about the material preparations you'll need to make. First, to cope with the continued decline of BAU and the increasingly frequent and lengthy infrastructure interruptions that will accompany it. And finally to use local resources to gain a degree of local self-sufficiency that will see you through the end of BAU.

If you've followed my advice about moving to a small town, you'll initially be living in rental accommodation to allow yourself time to get to know the place before investing in property (If indeed you can afford such a thing). Renting puts some limits on what you can do to prepare and renting an apartment is even more restricting than renting a house. In the next few posts I'll discuss alternatives for both renters and homeowners.

I've been noticing that living in an RV, van or car is becoming more of a thing all the time what with ever increasing real estate prices. It occurs to me that this lifestyle may fit in nicely in many ways with moving to a small town. I can't pretend to have any experience in this area, but I hope some of what I have to say will be useful to those who's wheel are also their homes.

The first thing to be clear on is what you'll be preparing for. For quite a while yet, if you have income or savings to draw on, you'll be able to rely (more or less) on BAU for the necessities of life. But there will be lengthening and ever more frequent interruptions in infrastructure services—the power grid, communications, the financial and credit systems, water and sewage and of course the supply chains that bring us the fuels, food, pharmaceuticals, and various other supplies and equipment that we need to maintain our current life style. You need to be prepared to weather these interruptions. And of course, you always need to be prepared for emergencies like storms, floods, droughts and fires.

You might wonder why I am not advising setting up some sort of "lifeboat community" which is largely independent of BAU. I'm not against it—if you have the wherewithal, go for it. But the cost of such a setup is extreme and the skills required to make it work are many and hard to come by. For most of us a less grandiose plan is more practical. I do think the existing social and physical infrastructure of a small town and its surrounding area can be the foundation for a poor man's lifeboat. But only after a few serious infrastructure outages have convinced people that BAU is going to be unreliable.

"Bugging in" and "bugging out" are terms I've borrowed from the survivalist and prepper communities. Bugging in refers to being located where it's safe to stay when the "shit hits the fan", while bugging out assumes it won't be safe to stay where you are, and you'll need to be prepared to leave on a moment's notice. Of course, I don't think the shit is going to hit the fan all in one big lump, but rather in dribs and drabs that will make the situation unpleasant but perhaps not absolutely dire for quite a while yet.

The typical survivalist approach to bugging out—heading for "the hills" and living off the land—is actually a pretty bad idea, even if you are well prepared. Check out the article at the other end of that link to see what I mean.

I've been advising my readers to find a safe place and prepare to "bug in". I've been settled into my own choice of location for a long while now and that's what I encourage you to do once you've moved to a place where it is practical to do so.

Unfortunately, there are still circumstances where you'll need to bug out. Things like your house catching fire, being leveled by a tornado, inundated by a flood or anything else that renders it unlivable. I have to admit we are not terribly well prepared to leave our home on short notice.

And in the kind of circumstances I'm thinking of you want to be able get out quickly with your skin still intact and not waste time gathering up stuff to take with you. That certainly true in the case of a fire where seconds can make all the difference. In floods, there is usually more warning and you want to get out before the roads are submerged and impassable. In the case of tornados you want to take shelter in your basement or the closest thing you have to one until after the tornado goes by. Then, if you home has been destroyed, you'll be glad to have an emergency plan in place.

I haven't solved this challenge to my satisfaction yet, and it's mainly due to lack of effort, and complacency. But recently I have started to think more seriously about it. Here's what I've come up with so far.

You need a plan for evacuating your home when disaster strikes. This is the kind of thing you want to think out in advance and practice occasionally, so you don't have to figure it out from scratch in a short timeframe when the need arises.

Once you're out of your house, it would be good to have arranged in advance alternative places to stay, both in your own community and elsewhere in case circumstances force you (and maybe many others) to leave your community. This may involve taking shelter with neighbours, family or friends, and ideally you would make reciprocal agreements with those people. Of course, if you can afford it, or your insurance is paying, you may decide to go to a hotel. But in a widespread disaster, all the hotels may be full, or in no better shape than your home. And insurance companies may not respond in a timely fashion.

You should prearrange a communications plan for family members who aren't home when disaster strikes, and don't assume cell phones or even landlines are always going to work. This might involve a prearranged meeting place and/or someone at a prearranged location to leave messages with.

You should pack a bag for each person in your family with:

  • a change of clothes suited for the season, including outdoor shoes and outdoor clothing that you won't have had time to grab in an emergency
  • soap, shampoo, moisturizer and such, especially if you need particular types
  • a few day's supply of medicines
  • sleeping bags, air mattresses, towels and such so as to be less of a burden when you have to drop in on short notice
  • copies of idendification, important legal documents and personal information:

     

     

     

     

    • will
    • power of attorney
    • marriage license
    • lease or deed for your home
    • birth certificate
    • SIN number card
    • Health card (access to single payer health insurance here in Ontario) or the equivalent for wherever you live
    • drivers license
    • vehicle registration and insurance
    • contact info for family and friends
    • copies or scans of heirloom photos

These copies could be electronic or on paper, or better yet, both. If you take photos or scans of these documents they could be kept on a flash drive or on your phone. But best not to rely completely on electronic means of storing information.

There are no doubt other items that haven't made it onto my list yet, but that will do for a start.

These bags should be stored someplace safe, outside your home. Maybe in your car, in an out building that's up wind from your house, or at the home of a neighbour or friend. The problem I have with all this is I'd have to have two of quite a few things that are rather expensive, winter clothes in particular. I clearly have some more study to do, and no doubt I will eventually figure it out. But don't let my hesitation hold you back from starting to make these preparations.

Making a quick escape in winter can be a particular problem, as you ideally want outdoor clothing close to hand. Our bedroom is on the second floor and there is a ladder leaned up against the side of the house that can be accessed from the bedroom window. It would be good to have boots and gloves close to hand at the very least—it would make that climb down that ladder a lot more doable.

In my next post I'll get started on the details of preparing to bug in. In the meantime, have a look at a couple of posts on emergency preparation that I wrote early in the history of this blog. The articles I've linked to in them are also full of useful information and I can especially recommend the ones by Sharon Astyk, Bob Wardrop and Vinay Gupta at the end of Part 2

When I recently reread those posts I was pleased to find I had done a fairly thorough job, and that the links in them point to web pages that still exist, even though in some cases the authors are much less active on the collapse scene that they were 7 years ago.

In the second one I mentioned a few things I hadn't yet gotten around to doing at that point. I am happy to be able to say that in the meantime I have taken care of most of those issues.

We are still storing a fair bit of water for emergencies, but I also finally got around to putting together that water filter kit, the result being a filter similar to the Berkey or Doulton/Berkefeld ones, but with plastic 5 gallon buckets instead of stainless steel tanks. We live only a couple of blocks from Lake Huron, so water is readily available, but safer to drink after a trip through that filter.

I also finally got around to cutting up that sheet of plywood and putting together a composting toilet (a la Jenkins). We also switched from peat moss to wood shavings for kitty litter. Shavings are more sustainable than peat moss and there's always a bale or at least part of one on hand if we need to start using the composting toilet. I know that for most people it is unthinkable that the sewers would just stop working. Let me assure you, it is definitely possible.

I kept an eye out for sales on generators and we picked one up in the fall of 2017. Also a couple of 5 gallon jerry cans. I start the generator once a month and run it for a while, then close the fuel supply valve and let it run dry so gunk doesn't build up so much in the carburetor. Stale gas makes for harder starting, so once a month one of those jerry can gets emptied into our car and refilled with fresh gasoline. And every six months I drain the gas tank on the generator and fill it up with fresh gas. So far it has started easily, even on cold days in the winter, but before long I'll need to take it to the local small engine shop for some routine maintenance.

I wasn't sure about getting a generator, but we store a quite a bit of food, mainly expensive meat, in our freezers, and the thought of it spoiling during a long power outage finally convinced me.

Last fall(2018) we had a chimney and woodstove installed and we heated with wood for most of this winter. The stove and especially the chimney weren't cheap, but we're very happy with the results and the money to be saved over heating with electricity.

In addition to the things we've finally got around to doing, a few things have changed as well.

The flashlight on my keychain is now the type that uses a single AAA cell, much brighter and longer lasting than the single lithium cell light I was carrying. The large folding knife I used to carry has found its way to my hiking knapsack, and I'm only carrying my smaller folding knife on a daily basis.

My old Gerber multitool is also in that hiking knapsack and has been replaced in my coat pocket by the new and superior Gerber Center-Drive Multitool. This comes with a sheath and set of 12 screwdriver bits. The screwdriver shaft opens when the rest of the multitool is closed and lines up with the center line of the tool, making it much easier to use. It takes standard 1/4" hex drive bits so you can use the bits you already own, unlike the oddball little flat bits that the Leatherman multitools take. And the knife blade is large enough to be quite useful.

After spending 31 years as a tradesman, there are a lot of things I can do if I have the right tools, and it's pretty frustrating to be stymied by the lack of a tool. This multitool goes a long way towards solving that problem.

The single knapsack that I had 7 years ago has evolved into one knapsack which stays in our car, another that is ready to head out on a hike at a moment's notice, and a "book bag" which spends most of its time in the house but comes with us on car trips.

These bags are a work in progress and idiosyncratic to our circumstances and skills. Tools and materials for repairing broken things and first aid supplies for repairing broken people are prominently featured. I started out following typical advice for bug out bags and it has evolved from there.

Drinking water is important and we have two 750 ml. water bottles that usually go with us in the car and fit nicely into compartments intended for them in my hiking knapsack. For long trips we have a 2.5 gallon water jug.

Further details are a topic for another day, but if you are interested in more information let me know in the comments.

The Math Says We’re Going to Fall…This Will Not End Well

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Published on The Doomstead Diner on July 6, 2019

Discuss this Interview at the Off the Leash Newz Table inside the Diner

 

Greetings Diners, K-Dog here,

I had the pleasure of being invited to share a few of my thoughs of Doom by Sam Mitchell.  It is quite an honor to become a member of the kennel club that Sam Mitchel interviews.  Sam finds good people.  After you get your fix here at the Diner you might take a peek and look at who else Sam has interviewed at Collapse Chronicles.  I have and I'm glad I did.  Above is my interview.

Dr. Paul Ehrlich was Sam's first interview.

Saying it was an honor to be interviewed by Sam obviously does not say enough, Paul needs no introduction.

Best wishes, 

K-Dog

 

 

 

 

 

Doomstead Diner Collapse 2019 Summer Solstice Festival: Coda

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Published on The Doomstead Diner June 30, 2019

 

Audio Only:

 

(audio-only MP3 provided in case you want to multi-task and listen while sitting in traffic on the way to work in your cubicle or digging post holes for your fencing on the Doomstead or kneeling by the throne and Praying to the Porcelain God.  mp3 Audio can be downloaded from Diner Soundcloud.)

 

Discuss this Video at the Collapse Morning Wake-Up Call Table Inside the Diner

 

The Collapse Summer Solstice 2019 Festival comes to a close today here on the Diner, after a very succesful launch of our newest project for the SUN Foundation, the Diner Mobile Food Truck.  We're still only in the testing phase for this project, but so far all is going according to plan and swimmingly well.

In the world at large of Collapse, it was another lively week, this time with the Democratic Debates as the Feature of the political Clown Show that will continue right through to the end of 2020!  That's over a year of almost guaranteed Collapse-o-tainment, unless of course the Internet Goes Dark, Global Thermonuclear War gets underway or all the Oceans boil off and we go Extinct on Dr. McStinksions timeline before he decided to stop making predictions on the absolute date for all Dead People.

For the Clown-in-Chief Donalditry Trumpovetsky it was another ignominious week, as he once again capitulated to the Chinese and to Wall Street on his "Tariff Man" policies, which are none too popular with corporations looking for still higher profits.  Besides that, he is currently making a fool of himself at the G-20 meeting of the Elite Overseers of the world who are busy trying to make sure the Rich stay Rich & the Poor stay Poor.

Here at the Doomstead Diner though, we ate like Kings Al Fresco out in the Potlach Parking Lot of the Diner, where all the Food is FREE!  At least to the customers, it does cost the SUN Foundation money to fund this project.  Contributions are WELCOME and are TAX DEDUCTIBLE since SUN☼ is a 501c3 Non-Profit Corporation.  Click on the Donation Button on the SUN☼ Homepage if you want to help us out.

Dishes this week were Salmon Teriyaki and Grilled Salmon, both cooked up with Freshly Caught Coho and Sockeye Salmon donated by a couple of the Fishermen in the Community.  Nothing beats freshly caught Alaskan Salmon.  Also on the menu this week was BBQ Brisket, Broccoli-Cheddar Soup & Smoked St. Louis Ribs.  Too bad for you you missed the ribs, they were the best and juciest ribs I ever cooked up, and that's saying something!  I could have eaten both racks by myself but I didn't want to totally PIG OUT 🐷 so I only had 3.

Great Collapse Meals coming again next week, and the full recipes and cooking techniques will be up on the Cooking Zone in due time, when I get a breather to do some editing of the raw footage from those cooks.  Not EZ to find the time these days since the Collapse Morning Wake-Up Call also takes a lot of editing and is more pressing on time.  Recipes are timeless, Doom Newz is not.

Coming next Sunday on the Wake-Up Call, we chat with Jason Heppenstall of 22 Billion Energy Slaves about his experiences in awakening to the Collapse of Industrial Civilization.  Don't miss it!

Fresh Alaskan Salmon ready for an Al Fresco Cook

 

 

Open Letter to EXTINCTION REBELLION

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Published on The Doomstead Diner on June 29, 2019

Discuss this article at the Collapse Morning Wake-Up Call table inside the Diner

 

Dear Extinction Rebels,

 

First of all, let me salute your fortitude to speak (what you think is) the truth, no matter how frightening.

Let me salute your resolve to do (what you think is) right, no matter how difficult.

Let me salute your courage to risk life, limb and liberty to oppose the omnicidal juggernaut of Industrial Capitalism, no matter how hopeless.

I understand your deep frustrations regarding the abject failure of our so-called leaders to do anything meaningful to address the obscene planetary devastation now spiralling out of control.

I understand you feel that your only remaining option now is mass civil disobedience.

I understand you believe that if only you can reach certain critical numbers within each population, you can drive urgent social change around the world to enact emergency measures to prevent global collapse of our life support systems.

In a world steeped in deceit, mendacity and narcissism, you strive for honesty, integrity and selflessness.

In a world steeped in vulgarity, materialism and avarice you stand for nobility, humanism and generosity

In a world steeped in viciousness, tribalism and brutality you practice kindness, inclusiveness and non-violence.

I have written open letters to various parties in the past, with little to no results.

I wrote to the Public Health department of the University of Queensland whose stated goal was to minimise morbidity and mortality in populations, pointing out they had paid scant attention to climate change and completely ignored Peak Oil. 1 George Monbiot is wrong if he thinks Peak Oil is no longer an issue, it remains an ever worsening threat but has been skilfully hidden by fraud and market distortion. 2 Nafeez Ahmed understands this well.

I wrote to Doctors for the Environment Australia whose focus on climate change was too limited in scope (they also ignored Peak Oil) and whose lobbying was too weak. 3

I wrote to The Zeitgeist Movement who claimed to promote science and sustainability but were more about science fiction and technocornucopian fantasy. 4

In contrast to the above groups however, you folks of the extinction rebellion are the ones I admire most. You are willing to risk imprisonment to try to save the lives of others too stupid and too venal to deserve being saved. That is noble and altruistic. But it is also misguided. I believe you are well meaning, morally righteous people with good intentions. But the road to hell is paved with good intentions. If you continue on this time and energy wasting path, you and your families will experience hell on earth. You deserve better. Others don't.

One of your demands is that official bodies tell the Truth and declare a climate emergency. You were told by the IPCC last year that humanity had 12 years before it would be too late to do anything. That was a LIE. The fact is that it was and is already far too late to prevent global catastrophe. There is NO carbon budget left. These realities were apparent even back in 2013 following the IPCC fifth assessment report, when the only scenarios the IPCC could imagine where disaster could be avoided required time travel into the past or technologies which did not exist and certainly could not be scaled up even if they did exist (as expressed by climate scientists Dr Kevin Anderson and Dr Hugh Hunt) 5. The science based facts behind these assertions are summarised here: 6.

Truth is determined by careful and comprehensive collection of accurate data, by hard objective scientific scrutiny using the principles of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, including mathematical analyses, which must not be polluted by political or economic vested interests. The IPCC processes had long been watered down by political interference, which seriously underestimated the magnitude and speed of global warming, in order to justify foot dragging by national so-called "leaders". 7

The reason we have not yet experienced the full horrific consequences of 415ppm CO2 (in reality, there is a much higher CO2 equivalent, around 500ppm) is because of time lag due to thermal inertia 8. Atmospheric temperature rises have been buffered by the cool oceans and the melting ice masses. Those buffers are being exceeded, they are being overwhelmed, as every second passes. If you think the unprecedented shocking weather extremes over the past 15 years were disastrous at barely 1 degree Celsius atmospheric global average temperature rise, there is far more and far worse to come. More than 4 degrees rise is irreversibly baked into the cake based on EXISTING greenhouse gas concentrations. That is as certain as the law of gravity. Hell is coming no matter what. The best thing you can do is get ready for it. But time is short and you must act NOW before the imminent global economic collapse steals away all your options.

Let us consider the absolute best imaginable outcomes for your group. What will happen if you are immediately 100% effective today in achieving all your social and policy goals?

  • Even if all carbon emissions cease today, the world is still committed to more than 4 degrees Celsius eventual global average temperature rise which will render large scale agriculture impossible. This means civilisation, the hallmark of which is the existence of cities, will no longer be possible. Small scale agriculture in a few selected climate resilient pockets may still be possible.

  • Large scale carbon sequestration is a fantasy and will never be undertaken because our bogus economic system will not allow for it and even if we can develop those technologies, we will not have the energy resources to do it. Geoengineering insanity will cause more problems than they address.

  • Immediate cessation of emissions will also mean immediate curtailment of global food production which is almost entirely dependent on fossil fuels. This will cause billions to starve. In the medical management of patients, knowingly inflicting harm is not an option. However allowing nature to take its course (in some cases – such as untreatable terminal cancer) is acceptable, indeed unavoidable. As a matter of course, billions will die this century due to oil/resource depletion, ecosystem collapse and climate catastrophe and the consequences thereof (warfare, epidemics etc). Inevitable near term economic collapse is also absolutely certain due to institutional fraud and impending energy collapse. 9 It is those events which will most effectively and drastically curtail carbon emissions, not your activism.

  • There is absolutely nothing you can do about the looming general die-off. You can however take steps to reduce the likelihood that you and your family and friends will die horribly in the next few decades. Please note that nobody's survival is guaranteed. All anyone can do is increase the probability of their survival.

There are certain toxic nihilists, the Extinction Promoters, who insist that near term climate extinction by 2030 or 2026 or some other arbitrary ridiculously short timeline is certain and that everyone should just give up and die. They are wrong. I have conclusively disproven their meme using basic Physics. NO credible climate scientist agrees with them. They are a vicious, nasty, misanthropic Death Cult. Their bogus ideology, inflicted upon psychologically vulnerable people, could contribute to premature deaths 10. Their false prophet, a former scientist, may have been a qualified ecologist (NOT a climate scientist) once upon a time, but somewhere along the way his fevered mind convulsed, contorted and congealed into lobotomised mush, catalysed by the self reinforcing feedback loops driven by his malignant echo chamber of ventriloquist dummy disciples 11 (who also ventured forth as rabid trolls to spread dismay and misery everywhere on the Net).

Dr Paul Beckwith, a true climate scientist and prolific educator who had the misfortune of associating with them in the early days has denounced them, as have I. You must ignore those toxic nihilists.

What then should you believe and what should you do?

Here is what you should NOT believe: Do NOT believe in the misleading pronouncements spouted by Politicians, Corporations, the mainstream Media (especially the Murdoch media), Economists and even the IPCC (which is more a political than scientific body). Be extremely critical of information coming from even Academia as they too may be subject to delivering corrupt, distorted messages.

What should you believe?

You must believe in reality. REALITY BEATS ANY RUBBISH IPCC DOCUMENTS ANY TIME, ALWAYS. The IPCC seriously underestimated true global warming be it Arctic ice melt, albedo loss, permafrost melt, Greenland ice loss etc. throughout its entire history. The arbiters of reality are climate science researchers who conducted real world measurements and observations and found all IPCC documents to be hopelessly out of date even before they were published. It is a standing joke among hundreds, even thousands of climate scientists (whose papers may have been shut out by the “low ball” IPCC selection procedures) that median IPCC projections have consistently grossly underestimated true observed warming in the world. Interested lay people should listen to the interviews conducted by Alex Smith (radioecoshock.org) and Stuart Scott (ScientistsWarning.TV) who have spoken directly to those multitudes of scientists over the years.

You must listen to those scientists with a track record of getting things right. The Limits to Growth Scientists got it right. Interestingly, insurance companies and military agencies such as the Pentagon and German Military have conducted a great deal of research into these matters and their documents may be worth perusing. This much is certain: Resource Depletion (especially that of vanishing high EROEI oil), Climate catastrophe and Ecological Collapse (especially the loss of living topsoil, death of the insects and of the oceans) each on their own guarantee the die-off of billions of people this century. Taken together, they ensure that massive human die-off will occur this century with certainty beyond any reasonable doubt. Die-off will be multiplied by epidemics and warfare.

What are uncertain and unknowable are the time scales with which die-off will proceed and the locations which will be affected hardest and earliest. However we can make educated guesses about those.

No part of the world will be completely spared but some places will be significantly less bad than others.

What should you do? That depends on your personal situation. Look around at the folks within your group, look to each other.

  • If you have no assets and no dependants and no intention or ability to change your lifestyle which is currently reliant on the fossil fool industrial paradigm, by all means continue your non-violent protests against the acceleration of carbon pollution, especially against unconventional oil/gas and new coal projects, which could be the nail in the coffin for our extinction. You may make a personal choice to go down with the Titanic and nobody can criticise you for that. However telling others to "abandon hopium", exhorting them not to board the lifeboats, so that they too will be dragged down and die alongside you, is completely unacceptable. Only a malicious turd, a "Kool Aid" Jim Jones type homicidal psychopath, would do such a thing.

  • If you have assets, liquidate them to purchase remote land in a climate resilient location with sufficient fresh water to grow food. Some location considerations can be found here: 12. Set up several tiny dwellings on your land, each powered by standalone off-grid solar electricity systems. You will need help establishing your permaculture homestead from young energetic Sapients who may be found among existing Extinction Rebellion and School Strike for Climate members. They can reside in the tiny dwellings and engage in an exchange economy without involving money.

  • If you are forced to continue working in a city to fund your remote homestead, ensure you have the means to bug out at short notice to travel to your “bolt hole”. Travelling by road post collapse may be difficult due to blockades, fuel constraints and rampaging zombie hordes. If your remote homestead is coastal, a sailboat may be the best way out, a literal lifeboat for you. Technocornucopians imagine cities to be the Elysian fields of the future, they picture driverless flying cars buzzing around skyscrapers covered with vertical gardens. They are wrong. Cities will be the killing fields of the future.

  • If you have no assets but are able to trade your "sweat equity", and especially if you have young dependants, make yourselves known to those setting up homesteads and develop skills so you can help grow food or provide useful services for your prospective off-grid community. You will be welcomed by landowners looking for help. After the collapse, successful homesteads will be largely egalitarian, any hierarchy will be determined by who contributes most in terms of water, food and energy provision to the community, not by anyone's (long evaporated) bank balance.

  • You will need to use fossil fuels to set up your homesteads. Do not agonise over that, just do it.

You must gather together like minded people and find the least bad place you can move to NOW.

If you are a pre-disaster migrant you can do many things. A post-disaster refugee will have no more agency than a piece of flotsam tossed around by storm blown waves.

This much is also certain: unless the survivors of the upcoming population cull are people who operate on the basis of truth and honesty and cooperation and learn how to live within the limits of Nature, human extinction will be guaranteed. It is important, nay essential, that the principal perpetrators of this global clusterfuck, the fossil fool fraudsters, the climate change deniers, the endless growth ideologues and their followers all die off. It is crucial for the survival of our species that all the clueless sheeple and their psychopathic sheeple herders perish. It is vital that Trump type Fascists and their demon spawn be wiped out and their germ line be extinguished forever, so they can no longer defraud, parasitise and threaten humanity. All those “players” will kill each other or die from disasters, famine or disease in the decades ahead, you just need to keep out of the way.

Only if the survivors of this cull are true Sapients, defined as being amenable to the ways of wisdom, will humanity and our ecosphere stand any chance.

But who are the Sapients?

YOU ARE. As members of the Extinction Rebellion you have identified yourselves to be Sapient. It is therefore your duty to save yourselves if you wish to save humanity, because folks like YOU represent the only hope that humanity will not go extinct.

Let me now propose an alternative name for you and an alternative and far more worthwhile path to take. You can transform yourselves into the "Extinction Resistance" and your task must be to get together as small communities, to set up off-grid homesteads in remote climate resilient locations, to wean yourselves off fossil fuels and to grow as much food for yourselves as you can. Not all will succeed. Trying will not guarantee success, but not trying will guarantee failure. Even if just a small minority succeed in the long term, that will be enough to form the best seed for humanity version 2.0

Do not try to save everyone. That is an impossible task and a fool's errand. But try to save as many as you can.

Bill Mollison, the co-founder of Permaculture, decried the "futility of revolutionaries who have no gardens, who depend on the very system they attack and who produce words and bullets, not food and shelter". You must be the revolutionaries who produce food and shelter, then your words will carry more weight.

 

CONCLUSIONS:

I have no reason to alter any of my recommendations written in this old post: 13 (see the lower heading "Advice for sustainability activists in 2015")

It is possible, perhaps even highly probable, that humanity may go extinct by the end of this century but it is by no means a certainty. Massive population die-off however is an absolute certainty, there is no credible scenario in which it can be avoided. Nevertheless our species has faced population collapse in the past (around 75,000 years ago), perhaps down to as few as a couple of thousand breeding pairs, and emerged past that population bottleneck. Can this happen again? Nobody knows for sure but I encourage you to resist extinction.

Ultimately, I think it is inevitable that humanity will try to emigrate to a thawing Antarctica which may be the last liveable location on the planet, should global average temperature reach 8 or 10 degrees Celsius above the Holocene. That will be the next great challenge.

G. Chia June 2019

Some Definitions:

I define an outcome as “certain beyond any reasonable doubt” if every single objective analysis shows no feasible possibility of that outcome being avoided. Of course it is possible that benevolent aliens from outer space or angels from heaven may intervene at the last minute to magically solve all our planetary problems, however such nonsensical thinking is best left to fantasy novelists – it is neither feasible nor realistic. Large scale “negative emissions” technologies belong in the same realm.

Even if an outcome is highly probable, but we are able to demonstrate just one single feasible scenario where that outcome can be avoided, then that outcome is NOT certain. This is the crux of the argument against the “ultra near term climate extinction” cocksure nihilists. In fact there are numerous scenarios, in multiple climate resilient locations, where ultra near term climate extinction can be avoided.

 

 

 

Footnotes:

 

  1. https://cassandralegacy.blogspot.com/2017/12/an-open-letter-by-geoff-chia-to-school.html

  2. http://www.doomsteaddiner.net/blog/2019/01/02/how-business-as-usual-has-been-pursued-since-2006-by-escalating-fraud-and-environmental-vandalism/#comment-10695

  3. http://www.doomsteaddiner.net/blog/2016/04/21/open-letter-to-doctors-for-the-environment-australia/

  4. http://www.doomsteaddiner.net/blog/2016/08/25/open-letter-to-the-zeitgeist-movement/

  5. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8akSfOIsU2Y

  6. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SfVphmxPOXo

  7. http://www.doomsteaddiner.net/blog/2017/02/14/climate-slides-for-diners/

  8. And to a lesser extent, global dimming due to sulphate and particulate emissions. There is a good BBC Horizon documentary about this https://vimeo.com/138779240

  9. The astute reader will realise that every one of those components interacts with every other one via bidirectional feedbacks which I have graphically modelled in 3 dimensions: https://cassandralegacy.blogspot.com/2017/12/the-seneca-cliff-explained-as-network.html and you can find a real world model “doom explained by confectionery abuse” on youtube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hedXaMb42pk Probably the best commentators to tie together energy and economic matters are the brilliant polymath Nicole Foss and the venerable Richard Heinberg and Chris Martenson who have an abundance of podcasts, interviews and articles on the web. Probably the best authority on the military and geopolitical aspects of petroleum is Professor Michael Klare.

  10. Michael Ruppert, already suffering from depression, swallowed this entire “imminent climate extinction” meme uncritically because it came from a “respected scientist”. Michael repeated this flawed meme almost verbatim in his commentaries and writing before his suicide, reflecting the influence he was under.

  11. I acknowledge to have borrowed from certain commentators for the use of such colourful descriptors

  12. http://www.doomsteaddiner.net/blog/2016/01/14/location-location-location/ unfortunately the graphics are not in sequential order in this article due to formatting issues

  13. http://www.doomsteaddiner.net/blog/2015/01/20/doctors-scientists-for-sustainability-social-justice/

 


…and for those of you who missed the original broadcast…

A Collapseitarian Brunch

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Published on The Doomstead Diner on June 23, 2019

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Discuss this article at the Environment Table inside the Diner

 

A cornucopia of threats is on the horizon. Nobody is prepared. Constructive leadership is vacant in the face of multiple global existential emergencies. To say the limits to growth have been reached does not go far enough to say what is now happening on our planet.

Limits to growth have been exceeded by unrestrained global population growth. The world is being rapidly terraformed into a caricature of the emerald and blue jewel the earth has been for people throughout all human history.

The earth needs to keep being a verdant green jewel for human survival but the earth is beginning to run a fever and may get very sick. It has an infection. The fever will cure the infection; population numbers will be reduced to a fraction of current numbers. Or people will become extinct. The earths' fever will rise to a temperature needed to do the job of eliminating the infection before it begins to go down.

If population impact is reduced by changes in human ways of living actual numbers need not be reduced by the laws of the universe and by human cruelty and ignorance. If so the fever need not rise far. The earth being infected by people is not a problem in itself; but the earth being infected by too many people is a huge growing and compounding problem.

Should families stop having children? No to that. I don't believe in human extinction. Families should simply not have more than two children. This ethic needs to be the way of the world for decent lives on this planet in the future. Population has to be checked to sustainable numbers and the ways people live needs to change to reduce the earths' fever to the lowest temperature it can be made to be. The lower the earths' fever the less pain people will have to endure in coming years. At this point a great deal of pain cannot be avoided.

This week Julian Cribb states the problem better than I so I'll let you hear him talk in today's interview with Sam Mitchell

 

There Will Come a Point When There Are More Migrants Than There Are Bullets


Sam Mitchell: What is the solution for the methane bomb?


Julian Cribb: The only solution is to cool the earth and that means to stop using fossil fuels immediately.


Sam Mitchell: But you and I both know that is not going to happen Julian.


Julian Cribb: We do.


Sam Mitchell: We do?! Is that the end of your comment on that one?


Julian Cribb: Well it is going to get bloody tough….


I'll add if we don't start taking positive steps. Julian's interview paints a dark portrait of our future. The showbusiness of convention politics needs to be replaced by enlightenment. It can be done and if it is not done tragedy will be our future. Collapse will compound with nuclear pollution possibly being the demise of any organism on earth with a typical lifespan of more than seven years..


An outrageous statement do you think? If so this next video is not for you. Only a serious connoisseur of doom or those with an enlightened mind should watch this next video.

 

 

 

 

Why Everything Will Collapse

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

It should be remembered that predicting the future can be difficult and error prone. Don't try it at home or perhaps better advice is don't try it anywhere else. Maintain the positive perspective of trying to make everyone you meet better for having known you. Try and be happy. You have some choice in the happiness matter and living in denial does not have to be part of your choice.


Keep the big picture where it should be and nowhere it should not be. While collapse may quicken; investments in love can grow. A cursory sojourn into real news will show the American perspective of the same beltway story repeated a dozen times in a dozen ways through the day to be a pernicious lie. We live in a world of change. Existential change which ignored now means not being able to exist anymore. A state otherwise known as death. A situation that only madness would ignore.


I hope everybody has a great week and no more nuclear energy without solving the nuclear waste disposal problem first.

 

 

The original article is at: http://chasingthesquirrel.com/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Summer Solstice Doom Days

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Published on The Doomstead Diner June 23, 2019

 

Audio Only:

 

(audio-only MP3 provided in case you want to multi-task and listen while sitting in traffic on the way to work in your cubicle or digging post holes for your fencing on the Doomstead or kneeling by the throne and Praying to the Porcelain God.  mp3 Audio can be downloaded from Diner Soundcloud.)

 

Discuss this Video at the Collapse Morning Wake-Up Call Table Inside the Diner

 

The Summer Solstice (in the Northern Hemispher where I am writing from, Winter Solstice for you Diners on the other side of the Equator in Oz, South America, Africa, India and a few other dots of land mass down under) has brought with it a healthy Dose of Doom as our path to Industrial Civilization Collapse accelerates. It was tough to select out a few choice morsels for consumption today, I left out many calamitous events that occured this week.  How much Doom can you squeeze into a 20 min Newz Briefing anyhow?

The doom events of the week were both local and international, and they steadily escalate in intensity as well as frequency much like the severe weather outbreaks we continue to experience across Flyover Country, where the latest, greatest severe weather to further destroy industrial civilization is the "Derecho".  The NWS keeps pitchout new terminology which Collapse Journalists like myself has to learn.  Personally, I liked Haboobs and Bombogenesis better than Derechos.  Really BIG Haboobs! lol.

Anyhow, I didn't get to the Derecho that blew across 1000 miles from Nebraska to South Carolina and everything in between, it was rather late breaking in the week and I already had too much stuff to cover.

What I did cover in this week's rant was first off the explosion of the refinery in Philadelphia, which was absolutely spectacular as explosions go.  The largest refinery on the East Coast, it supplies roughly 1/4 of the gasoline to that neighborhood of the country.  Said refinery also is in financial difficulty.  Interesting coinkidink, no?  Oil Prices of course responded accordingly.

Then we sail the Good Ship Doomstead Diner across the Pacific over to Hong Kong, where currently they are fielding Street Demonstrations with the Boys in Black Pajamas numbering into the 7 Digits.  Said demonstrators are a very well prepared bunch, complete with Goggles and Masks to protect against the Tear Gas and Gloves to grab the cannisters and throw them back at the Gestapo.  I think a vast improvemnt on that would be to carry a Celesta, which is the Basket Scoop used to play the sport of Jai-Lai.

Image result for jai alai gif

 

Moving back across the pond to the FSoA, the Political Gaffes, Backtracking and lifelong Pussy-Grabbing of the Clown-in-Chief Donalditry Trumpovetsky is covered in reasonable detail, although it's impossible to do justice to this stuff.  The real life action is so funny you can't improve on it.  lol.

So, all in all Solstice Celebration Week here on the Diner had a vast cornucopia of Doom to consume at our Feast, along with the fabulous food.  Full recipes for all those great dishes will be available on the Cooking Zone of the CollapseCafe.com YouTube Channel, as soon as I get them edited up, which who knows when that will be since I am backed up to beat the band with vids to edit.  But they'll come eventually.  Meanwhile, I'll drop some snippets on Inside the Diner, so you can find them there too.

…And that's all the Doom, this time until next time, here at the Doomstead Diner.

 

Knarf plays the Doomer Blues

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