The Aleppo/Mosul Riddle

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  Published on Strategic Culture on October 21, 2016

The Aleppo/Mosul Riddle

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There’s no question Baghdad needs to take back Mosul from ISIS/ISIL/Daesh. It could not do it before. In theory, the time is now.

The real question is the conflicting motivations of the large “who’s who” doing it; the Iraqi Army’s 9th Division; the Kurdish Peshmerga, under the baton of wily, corrupt opportunist Barzani; Sunni tribal lords; tens of thousands of Shi’ite militias from southern Iraq; operational “support” from US Special Forces; “targeted” bombing by the US Air Force; and lurking in the background, Turkish Special Forces and air power.

Now that’s a certified recipe for trouble.

Much like Aleppo, Mosul is – literally – the stuff of legend. The successor of ancient Nineveh, settled 8000 years ago; former capital of the Assyrian Empire under Sennacherib in the 7th century B.C.; conquered by Babylon in the 6th century B.C.; a thousand years later, annexed to the Muslim empire and ruled by the Umayyads and the Abbasids; the key hub, from the 11th to the 12th century, of the Atabegs medieval state; a key Ottoman hub in a 16th century post-Silk Road spanning the Indian Ocean all the way to the Persian Gulf, the Tigris valley, Aleppo and Tripoli in the Mediterranean.

After WWI, everyone craved Mosul – from Turkey to France. But it was the Brits who managed to dupe France into letting Mosul be annexed to the British Empire’s brand new colony: Iraq. Then came the long Arab nationalist Ba’ath party domination. And afterwards, Shock and Awe and hell; the US invasion and occupation; the tumultuous Shi’ite-majority government of Nouri al-Maliki in Baghdad; and the ISIS/ISIL/Daesh takeover in the summer of 2014.

Mosul’s historic parallels could not but have a special flavor. That 11th/12th century medieval state happened to have roughly the same borders of Daesh’s phony “Caliphate” – incorporating both Aleppo and Mosul. In 2004, Mosul was de facto ruled by disgraced, failed “presidential material” Gen. David Petraeus. Ten years later, after Petraeus’s phony “surge”, Mosul was ruled by a phony Caliphate born in a US prison near the Kuwaiti border.

Since then, hundreds of thousands of residents fled Mosul. The population may be as much as halved compared to the original 2 million. That’s a mighty lot to be properly “liberated”.

Aleppo “falls”

The hegemonic narrative about the ongoing Battle of (East) Aleppo is that an “axis of evil” (as coined by Hillary Clinton) of Russia, Iran and “the Syrian regime” is relentlessly bombing innocent civilians and “moderate rebels” while causing a horrendous humanitarian crisis.

In fact, the absolute majority of these several thousand-strong “moderate rebels” is in fact incorporated and/or affiliated with Jabhat Fatah al-Sham (Conquest of Syria Front), which happens to be none other than Jabhat al-Nusra, a.k.a. al-Qaeda in Syria, alongside a smatter of other jihadi groups such as Ahrar al-Sham (Al-Nusra’s goals – and who supports them – are fully documented here).

Meanwhile, few civilians remain trapped in eastern Aleppo – arguably no more than 30,000 or 40,000 out of an initial population of 300,000.

And that brings us to the crux of the matter explaining the Pentagon sabotage of the Russia-US ceasefire; those fits of rage by Samantha Batshit Crazy Power; the non-stop spin that Russia is committing “war crimes”.

If Damascus controls, apart from the capital, Aleppo, Homs, Hama and Latakia, it controls the Syria that matters; 70% of the population and all the important industrial/business centers. It’s practically game over. The rest is a rural, nearly empty back of beyond.

For the headless chicken school of foreign policy currently practiced by the lame duck Obama administration, the ceasefire was a means to buy time and rearm what the Beltway describes as “moderate rebels”. Yet even that was too much for the Pentagon, which faces a determined Syria/Iran/Russia alliance fighting all declinations of demented Salafi-jihadis, whatever their terminology, and committed to keep a unitary Syria.

So reconquering the whole of Aleppo has to be the top priority for Damascus, Tehran and Moscow. The Syrian Arab Army (SAA) will never have enough military to reconquer the rural, ultra hardcore Sunni back of beyond. Damascus may also never reconquer the Kurdish northeast, the embryonic Rojava; after all the YPG is directly backed by the Pentagon. Whether an independent Rojava will ever see the light of day is an interminable future issue to be solved.

The SAA, once again, is tremendously overextended. Thus, the method to reconquer East Aleppo is indeed hardcore. There is a humanitarian crisis. There is collateral damage. And this is only the beginning. Because sooner or later the SAA, supported by Hezbollah and Iraqi Shi’ite militias, will have to reconquer East Aleppo with boots on the ground as well – supported by Russian fighter jets.

The heart of the matter is that the former “Free Syrian Army”, absorbed by al-Qaeda in Syria and other Salafi-jihadis, is about to lose East Aleppo. Regime change and/or “Assad must go” – the military way – in Damascus is now impossible. Thus the utter desperation exhibited by the Pentagon’s Ash “Empire of Whining” Carter, neocon cells implanted all across lame duck Team Obama, and their hordes of media shills.

Enter Plan B; the Battle of Mosul.

Fallujah remixed?

The Pentagon plan is deceptively simple; erase any signs of Damascus and the SAA east of Palmyra. And this is where the Battle of Mosul converges with the recent Pentagon attack on Deir Ezzor. Even if we have an offensive in the next few months against Raqqa – by the YPG Kurds or even by Turkish forces – we still have a “Salafist principality” from eastern Syria to western Iraq all mapped up, exactly as the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) was planning (dreaming?) in 2012.

London-based Syrian historian Nizar Nayouf, as well as unnamed diplomatic sources, have confirmed that Washington and Riyadh closed a deal to let thousands of phony Caliphate jihadis escape Mosul from the west, as long as they head straight to Syria. A look at the battle map tells us that Mosul is encircled from all directions, except west.

But what about Sultan Erdogan in all this? He’s been spinning that Turkish Special Forces will enter Mosul just as they entered Jarablus in the Turkish-Syrian border; without firing a shot, when the city will be cleaned of jihadis.

Meanwhile, Ankara is preparing its spectacular entrance in the battlefield, with Erdogan in full regalia shooting at random. For him, “Baghdad” is no more than “an administrator of an army composed of Shi’ites”; and the YPG Kurds “will be removed from the Syrian town of Manbij” after the Mosul operation. Not to mention that Ankara and Washington are actively discussing the offensive against Raqqa, as Erdogan has not abandoned his dream of a “safe zone” of 5,000 km in northern Syria.

In a nutshell; for Erdogan, Mosul is a sideshow. His priorities remain a fractured, fragmented Syria, “safe zone” included; and to smash the YPG Kurds (while working side by side with the Peshmerga in Iraq).

As far as the US Plan B is concerned, Hezbollah’s Sheikh Nasrallah has clearly seen through the whole scheme; “The Americans intend to repeat the Fallujah plot when they opened a way for ISIL to escape towards eastern Syria before the Iraqi warplanes targeted the terrorists’ convoy.” He added that “the Iraqi army and popular forces” must defeat ISIS/ISIL/Daesh in Mosul; otherwise, they will have to chase them out across eastern Syria.

It's also no wonder that Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has also clearly seen The Big Picture: “As far as I know, the city is not fully encircled. I hope it’s because they simply couldn’t do it, not because they wouldn’t do it. But this corridor poses a risk that Islamic State fighters could flee from Mosul and go to Syria.”

It’s clear Moscow won’t sit idly by if that’s the case;“I hope the US-led coalition, which is actively engaged in the operation to take Mosul, will take it into account.”

Of course Mosul – even more than Aleppo – poses a serious humanitarian question.

The International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) estimates as many as 1 million people may be affected. Lavrov goes straight to the point when he insists “neither Iraq nor its neighbors currently have the capacity to accommodate such a large number of refugees, and this should have been a factor in the planning of the Mosul operation.”

It may not have been. After all, for the “US-led” (from behind?) coalition, the number one priority is to ensure the phony Caliphate survives, somewhere in eastern Syria. Over 15 years after 9/11, the song remains the same, with the war on terra the perennial gift that keeps on giving.

How to Cure Terrorism

Democracy comes to you - bombergc2reddit-logoOff the keyboard of Geoffrey Chia

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Published on the Doomstead Diner on November 29, 2015


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Vote Here in the Terrorism Survey

Quote:In order to destroy Daesh, boots on the ground are needed. If morons such as Donald Trump and Tony Abbott insist that American or Australian troops should be sent into Syria, then I suggest that Donald and Tony should themselves be kitted out and be dropped into that war zone. Donald's frightening hairpiece alone may fatally scare many Daesh to death and Tony can scare the rest to death with his budgie smugglers. Mission accomplished.”

I cannot repeat often enough that the only genuine cure for a problem is to eliminate the underlying cause. This holds true for treating disease as it does for solving just about any problem. Any other strategy is merely a band-aid cosmetic cover-up of a festering carbuncle. Denial of the underlying cause inevitably means that no solution will eventuate.

Notwithstanding this apparently simple principle, practical implementation of genuine solutions in the real world is more complex and difficult. The hurdles to implementation can be immense if not insurmountable, not least because real solutions usually require that we overcome the natural default reptilian mindset of homo stupidus. We cannot depend on the people who caused the problems to solve them. They are the problem.

Here is another principle: a problem may have more than one underlying cause, along with several predisposing factors and various proximate triggers. All such issues need to be addressed for a complete cure. A broad overview is required, we need to see the big picture.

So-called “Islamic” terrorism is the “problem” most prominently featured in the mainstream media of today, particularly since the Paris massacres of Friday 13 November 2015. What so-called “solutions” have the impenetrably stupid mainstream establishment proposed? Greater surveillance of the entire civil population, elimination of habeas corpus, proliferation of heavily armed police everywhere, more bombing forays into Syria, closing the borders of Europe to MENA refugees, ankle GPS bracelets to those refugees who have already arrived in Europe, even the expulsion of all Muslims from Europe, including those who were born there. All those are band-aid cosmetic cover-ups of a festering carbuncle which will solve nothing. Many of those so-called “solutions” are simply insane, amount to obscene human rights abuses and will in fact create worse Blowback terrorism. Let's commit more atrocities in response to an atrocity. That will solve all our problems.

How do you stop an engine without an off switch? By starving it of fuel. If we ask ourselves what truly fuels the engine of so-called “Islamic” terrorism, honest people will realise that the real answer is not Islam per se. The perverse interpretation of religious texts is merely the bogus avenue by which certain terrorists claim “divine” legitimacy for the slaughter they perpetrate, just as the Nazis painted crosses on their tanks and planes and just as George fucking Bush called his invasion of Iraq a Crusade and claimed to have God on his side. All sanctimonious mass murderers invoke their own imaginary god to claim legitimacy and to recruit gullible simple minded cannon fodder (or suicide bombers) to their cause.

Democracy comes to you - bomberDoes the Koran contain passages inciting violence against the foes of Islam? Of course it does, just as the Old Testament contains numerous passages in which its followers are encouraged to “smite” their enemies without mercy. Sensible people do not take those dated allegorical books literally and do not follow many of their mutually contradictory instructions to the letter. Moderate Jews and Christians with good sense do not go rampaging around with a rifle in one hand and Talmud or Bible in the other, killing innocents indiscriminately because of religion. And neither do moderate Muslims. Fanatical extremists do however, whether they be Christian, Jewish or Muslim. It is not religion itself, whatever its hue, which the problem. It is fanatical extremism.

One of the biggest problems we face in Western mainstream society is our cowardly and hypocritical failure to identify the fanatical extremists in our midst who are hiding in plain sight. They are the Christian and Jewish religious fundamentalists, the global warming denialists who serve as prostitute mouthpieces for the corporations, the warmongering armchair chickenshit politicians. They dress up in business suits and are conferred a veneer of respectability by the propaganda machine known as the mainstream media. But make no mistake, they are fanatical extremists far worse and far more dangerous than the rabid Jihadis and are in fact the creators of those Jihadis.

As ordinary moderate people, we need to clearly identify who our friends and foes are:

Friends = Moderates of any persuasion who share our common humanitarian values

Foes = Fanatical extremists who kill (or advocate the killing or oppression of) innocents in the name of their god, whether it be Allah, Yahweh, Jehovah or Mammon (the god of the neoclassical economists)

We need to rip away the superficial cloak of phoney religiosity the fanatical extremists wear to identify the real fuel(s) for terrorism.

The Western mainstream media have claimed that the motivations of the Jihadi terrorists are mindless hatred of Western freedom and mindless hatred of the Western modern way of life. Bullshit. Such idiotic blather is designed to cover up, hide and ignore the ugly truth about Western Imperialistic and Corporate culpability. The main motivation of the Jihadis, as stated by the Jihadis themselves, taken right from the horse's mouth, is a hatred of how the West has interfered with and corrupted and destroyed Middle Eastern societies, in order to steal the resources from their countries. If we are honest, we must admit that fact is indeed true and it is a legitimate grievance, even though we disapprove of the way they express that grievance. Abused children often grow up to become abusive adults.

Having suffered the destabilisation and destruction of their homelands as a result of the rapacious Western corporate agenda (Iraq and Libya being prime examples), many traumatised Middle Eastern youths have become radicalised and vengeful. They want the West to experience just a tiny sample of the death, misery, hopelessness and insecurity they have unremittingly suffered throughout their lives. Having only known violence, it then becomes the only means by which they can express their frustration and rage. Furthermore, a few alienated, disaffected and marginalised individuals, even though they may have been born in Europe, may sympathise with and agonise over the plight of their Middle Eastern cousins and be recruited through social networks to become “home grown” terrorists.

The mayhem caused by a few Blowback terrorist attacks in Western cities has been absolutely trivial and tiny compared with the utter devastation, daily sectarian bombings, IED detonations and mass shootings in the failed Middle Eastern states destabilised by the greedy corporate agenda of the West, an agenda which is merely the sequel to the historic greedy Western imperialistic/colonial policies of exploitation.

The MENA refugees have been reluctantly forced out of their ancestral homelands against their will. Many have fled to Europe precisely because they seek lives with greater freedom and the comforts of Western modernity. The MENA refugees do NOT hate Western freedom or modernity, they WANT it. They know there is no place for them in the fundamentalist (but hypocritical) Sunni monarchy of Saudi Arabia with its brutal oppression of the common folk (but unbridled licentiousness of the ruling class). They know the selfish and corrupt Saudis (kept in power by the selfish and corrupt Americans) will never share their wealth with their poorer Arab cousins.

WE MUST DISCARD THE TERMS “ISLAMIC” OR “MUSLIM” TERRORISM. WE MUST INSTEAD USE THE TERM “BLOWBACK” TERRORISM because that is in fact what it is, pure and simple. Blowback terrorists who purport to be Muslim or Islamic are no more Muslim or Islamic than the Ku Klux Klan are Christians. Blowback terrorists are fake Muslims, phoney Muslims, bullshit Muslims. Blowback terrorists are vicious criminals, pure and simple, and should be viewed as akin to a rabid Mafia. Many Mafia hoodlums portray themselves as pious Catholics, when any fool can see they are just two-faced criminals. Similarly it is obvious the Blowback terrorists are just two-faced criminals and are NOTHING LIKE the true ordinary law abiding peace loving Muslims we live and work alongside every day, who we may even have gone to school with and grown up with.

Waronterror2_Frank151It is absolutely vital we adopt a proportionate perspective as to what the worst form of terrorism today is. Blowback terrorism is NOT the primary problem, it is a secondary problem, it is NOT the real disease but is merely a symptom of the disease. In magnitude, Blowback terrorism is trivial, tiny and insignificant compared to the real disease: namely the horrifically monstrous state and corporate sponsored institutional terrorism inflicted by the West, primarily the USA, on the Middle East. There is absolutely no contest when comparing the two. In magnitude the Halliburtons of this world are by far the most monstrous and murderous terrorists of all. Well over a million people in Iraq have died as a result of the Neoconartist/Halliburton agenda, whose name I therefore apply generically to this form of state/corporate terrorism. BLOWBACK TERRORISM IS MERELY A RESPONSE TO HALLIBURTON TERRORISM and the latter is in fact the underlying cause for the horrors we face today. There is a huge mountain of evidence, beyond any shadow of a doubt, that Al Qaeda and ISIS (who I now understand are better described as Daesh) were created, whether intentionally or not, as a consequence of morally bankrupt American foreign policy1.

Therefore the only way to cure Blowback terrorism is to eliminate the underlying cause, which is Halliburton terrorism. We must cut off the fuel from the engine.


Looking at the big picture we can identify the underlying causes, predisposing factors and proximate triggers for Blowback terrorism:

  • The powderkeg pseudoStates of Iraq and Syria were cobbled together by the disgraceful British and French betrayal of their Arab allies after WW1, by the infamous Sykes-Picot treaty, which was the mechanism by which the Western Imperialists brutally imposed “divide and rule”. The inevitable disintegration of those powderkeg States and their collapse into civil war were bound to happen eventually, whenever the iron grip of the local dictators weakened in the future.

  • The underlying cause for the contemporary collapse of Iraq was Halliburton terrorism and the removal of the Iraqi dictator. This led to power vacuums and the formation of offshoots of Al Qaeda. Daesh, the offshoot which moved to a collapsing neighbouring Syria then flourished in the disintegrating milieu. Daesh were subsequently able to run rampant across MENA by initial acquisition of weapons from the collapsed state of Libya (which was bombed by NATO in an attempt to secure their oil) then the acquisition of ordnance,vehicles and oilfields from the collapsed state of Iraq. Daesh have been successful in recruiting many foreign fighters through social and web based networks.

  • The proximate triggers for the collapse of the powderkeg state of Syria were the limits to growth (overpopulation, drought, food and water shortages, oil depletion and consequent economic collapse)

  • The limits to growth are affecting all MENA countries and will eventually spread to involve the entire world


What do the fanatical extremists (of both sides) want?

By very definition, terrorists want to spread fear in our societies. The power of the terrorists stem from the fear they are able to instil in us. If we live in fear we will merely play into their hands. We must therefore respond with courage – more courage than we ever thought was possible in these difficult times. We must utterly resist the temptation to lash out at innocent people just because of their “Middle Eastern” appearance, which is exactly what the terrorists, whether Blowback terrorists or Halliburton terrorists, want us to do.

The Blowback terrorists want us to fear, vilify and victimise all the Muslims in our societies. They have no regard for their so-called “fellow” Muslims because Blowback terrorists are not real Muslims, they are simply criminals.

This basic fact needs to be repeated over and over again: the Blowback terrorists are not real Muslims, they are bullshit Muslims. They are criminals who hide under a false cloak.

If we fall into the trap of racist generalisation and victimise innocent Muslims in our societies, we will inevitably cause the radicalisation of moderates and create more recruits for the Blowback terrorists. This will reinforce the vicious cycle and ultimately lead to the complete breakdown of civil society and to the rise of the Police surveillance state with the loss of our civil liberties that have been so hard won over the past two centuries. The terrorists will then have won.

The Halliburton terrorists want us to fear, vilify and victimise all the Muslims in our society as well. They want us to live in constant fear so that we will voluntarily relinquish our freedoms, the rule of law and habeas corpus and embrace the illusory security promised by the Military Industrial Complex Police State. The USA is already half way there. They want to entrench the power and control of their fascist/corporate forces which are on the rise in many Western countries.

It is clear that the Blowback terrorists and Halliburton terrorists, although nominal foes, have common goals and feed off each other.


How to cure terrorism:

Rather than fall into the trap of polarising society into Non-Muslim and Muslim divides, which is exactly what the Blowback and Halliburton terrorists want, we must define the lines of friend and foe according to a more accurate and more truthful narrative: Moderates of all hues arrayed against Fanatical Extremists of all hues. This is difficult to do because it goes against our instinctive tribal sentiments. It requires we look beyond stereotyped assumptions based on skin colour, mode of speech and mode of dress, to look deeper and try to understand the heart of the individual. However this must be done if there is to be any hope of prevailing against our true enemies, who are the fanatical extremists of all hues, the worst and most dangerous extremists being the Halliburton terrorists, who adopt a well manicured executive appearance, with shiny shoes but black hearts.

The key event which amplified Blowback terrorism to the levels we see today was the invasion of Iraq and its destruction as a stable State, resulting in civil war and power vacuums which were filled by fanatical and violent groups. The original perpetrators have not been brought to justice. Hence the following are absolutely necessary:


1. Root out and punish the Halliburton terrorists

We must arrest the worst international terrorists of all time: Dick the Prick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld, Paul Wolfowitz, George fucking Bush, Tony Blair, the propagandist Rupert Murdoch, and the execrable lickspittle John Howard (along with his henchmen such as Tony Abbott) to name just a few. They must be tried at the International Court in the Hague for crimes against humanity and must be punished to the full extent of the law. They should receive the same justice they meted out to Saddam Hussein, who was undoubtedly a monstrous despot and a puppet of the West for most of his career, who committed mass murder in the service of the West (vis a vis the proxy war against Iran of the 1980s in which more than a million people died). The Neoconartist Cabal also need to be held accountable for the deaths of thousands of American soldiers who perished needlessly during the occupation of Iraq.

The Cabal members will disingenuously claim in their defence, as they have in the past, that they acted on “faulty intelligence” or on “the best information they had at the time” and try to shift blame on to the CIA, MI6 or ASIO. Such foul deceit, consistent with the psychopathic duplicity by which they perpetrated their war crimes, can be exposed for the outrageous lies they are, by the testimony of former intelligence officers such as Joe Wilson against the Neoconartists or Andrew Wilkie against John Howard. Weapons inspector Dr David Kelly would have been able to testify against Tony Blair, had Kelly not been hounded to death (indeed, possibly murdered) by Blair's goons, however there is ample evidence regardless (despite the phoney whitewash conducted by Blair's mate in the Hutton enquiry), that Blair ignored valid intelligence and selectively spouted blatant lies to mislead the British public.

Halliburton, the Carlyle group and other corporations or financial institutions known to have directly promulgated the invasion of Iraq must be dismantled, sold off and all proceeds must go to refugee relief (resettlement, housing, food, job placement) and to rebuilding whatever corners of destroyed Middle Eastern states which may still be viable to support life.

Western foreign policy must be changed. Exploitative neocolonial skullduggery must be abandoned and foreign countries must be engaged according to the principles of mutual respect, quid pro quo and fair renumeration for their resources.
The actions above will result in the dramatic reduction of Blowback terrorism, as we will have eliminated the principal reasons for their resentment. Those actions should not be done because we want to “appease” the Blowback terrorists, but because it is what we as decent human beings must do to restore any semblance of honour to our ruined reputations. The only way we can rebuild our shattered credibility and work towards a more just and peaceful world is to expunge the state/corporate war criminals living in our midst instead of harbouring them or worse still, celebrating them. There can be no peace without justice and justice must be for all sides, not just one side. The Halliburton terrorists must therefore be brought to justice and there can be no statute of limitations on this.


2. Root out and punish the Blowback terrorists

Residual Blowback terrorists lurking within our Muslim communities must be hunted down and expunged WITHOUT causing any collateral damage to the innocent people they are hiding behind and living amongst. Collateral damage inflicted on innocents breeds resentment and radicalises formerly moderate individuals. This endeavour will not be easy. Outsiders such as ourselves cannot effectively identify friend from foe within our Middle Eastern communities to the highest levels of confidence, no matter how much resources we throw into electronic surveillance. Accurate identification can only be achieved through the cooperation of allies from within their community, who know the language, culture and personalities involved. We need to be cautious that the people we select as intelligence sources within those communities have impeccable integrity and do not use their privileged roles to settle personal scores with innocent people they may have had previous disputes with. Hence we need robust reliable information from multiple sources, not just from single informants, before targeting suspects.

Naive impressionable youths who have been recruited as potential Jihadis but are yet to commit crimes need to undergo de-radicalisation programmes. These are best conducted by Muslims from their own community who themselves had previously been recruited, then travelled to the Daesh territories, only to discover the true brutality and lies of the Daesh propaganda, saw the error of their ways and managed to escape and return to their normal lives, grateful for having survived the experience. There are none so repentant as reformed sinners.

How can we build trust and extend the hand of friendship to the moderate Muslims who comprise more than 99% of their community? How can we encourage our moderate allies in our Muslim communities to help us expunge the fanatical extremists in their midst? The role of the media here is of paramount importance. We must do the opposite of what the reprehensible fear mongering Murdoch trash media does. We must portray ordinary Muslims in our media according to the REALITY of their lives. What is the reality? That their concerns in life are no different from anybody else: keeping a steady job in these difficult economic times, ensuring a good education for their children, housing, healthcare, family issues. Viewed in that light they will no longer be feared as “the other” but seen as ordinary hard working folks just trying to make their way peacefully in this world. This is not propaganda because it is in fact the bland truth, unfortunately bland truth does not sell in the gutter press and tabloid media, which tend to go for scary sensationalism. Nevertheless it is a message which must be repeated over and over again to the public: ordinary Muslims are not to be feared, no matter how they dress, and must be treated respectfully in a friendly manner just like anybody else. This will help de-escalate our fear of them and their fear of us.

The contribution of leaders from the Muslim community is vitally important. They must play their part by publicly and repeatedly condemning the fanatical extremism of the bullshit Muslims. Even better if they also ridicule, belittle and show contempt for the Blowback terrorists (just as I have endeavoured to ridicule, belittle and show contempt for the Halliburton terrorists in my writing). Ridicule can be a powerful tool to expose hypocrisy. Anyone who subscribes to the ideas of the Blowback terrorists (or, on our part, the Halliburton terrorists) should be portrayed as braindead fools, lackeys and stupid sheeple, which is in fact what they are. Buying into the views of the bullshit Muslims will be regarded as weak minded, uncool and pathetic by the majority true peaceloving Muslims. No one likes to be regarded as uncool in their peer group.

So as not to be seen as singling out the Muslim community, we need spokespeople from the non-Muslim community to stand alongside Muslim leaders and also condemn Christian, Jewish and Corporate fanatical extremists and the crimes committed by them. No particular religious, ethnic or corporate group can be seen as above the rule of civil law.

One perfectly understandable reason why moderate Muslim leaders may be reluctant to speak out prominently is the death threats they will receive from the fanatical bullshit Muslims. They do not want to become targets. Those will not be empty threats and we can be certain the Blowback terrorists will try their utmost to murder any moderate Muslim spokespeople as part of the terror agenda. As such, it is absolutely vital we provide round the clock tax payer funded police protection for the moderate Muslims (and their families) brave enough to speak up. This will be an essential national security investment. If police monitoring then uncovers any assassination plot, we can then identify, capture and sequester these potential Blowback terrorist assassins.


Why have the Blowback terrorists targeted the French recently?

Unlike the US, UK and Australia; France was essentially blameless with respect to Halliburton terrorism. France is also arguably a less racist society. Why then have the French recently been targeted? To understand this, it is useful to use an analogy:

Before 2013, Iraq was blameless with regard to Blowback terrorism. Nevertheless the Halliburton terrorists used 9/11 to motivate their braindead American followers to invade Iraq, even though Iraq had nothing to do with Al Qaeda. The prize for the Halliburton terrorists was of course, oil wealth (the original name for their campaign was Operation Iraqi Liberation, which was quickly changed as it made their motives too obvious).2

Similarly the Blowback terrorists used the history of French colonial crimes and exploitation in MENA (particularly in Syria, Algeria and Tunisia) and more recently the Charlie Hebdo cartoons, to motivate their braindead Daesh followers to target Paris, even though France had nothing to do with Halliburton terrorism. The prize for the Blowback terrorists will be retaliation of non-Muslim French against innocent Muslim French, the expectation being that some of latter may then radicalise to join the Daesh cause. France is fertile ground for this prospect due to the higher proportion of Muslims in their society3 compared with the US, UK and Oz.

Nevertheless the US, UK and Oz remain prime targets for revenge Blowback terrorism. The pinnacle goal of the Blowback terrorists will be to set off a nuclear device in a city such as New York, London or Sydney, whichever is the softest target. With the oil revenue available to Daesh and the numerous suitcase nuclear bombs missing from the inventories of impoverished States of the former Soviet Union, this eventuality will be just a matter of time, unless we can destroy Daesh and starve the terrorists of recruits by implementing the reforms above.


How to destroy Daesh

In order to destroy Daesh, boots on the ground are needed. If morons such as Donald Trump and Tony Abbott insist that American or Australian troops should be sent into Syria, then I suggest that Donald and Tony should themselves be kitted out and be dropped into that war zone. Donald's frightening hairpiece alone may fatally scare many Daesh to death and Tony can scare the rest to death with his budgie smugglers. Mission accomplished.

If the world had a single united goal of just destroying Daesh as soon as possible, then the answer would be simple. The only motivated and committed stakeholders who are willing to risk their lives in ground battle against Daesh are the Kurds4, the Shi'ites (including Alawites, Iraqi Shi'ites, Iranians and Hezbollah) and perhaps a few hardened Russian soldiers. If, armed and logistically supported by the Russian military machine, such an alliance is given free reign to directly combat Daesh, then the rapid rout of Daesh will be a forgone conclusion. This will however never happen because the outcome of such a victory will be the creation of an independent Kurdistan, which Turkey will never allow, and the dominance of the Shi'ites (and their allies Iran and Russia) over huge oil rich areas of the Middle East, which America will never allow.

In that light, it is easy to understand why the Turks in an act of despicable bastardry shot down a Russian jet (no doubt at the behest or tacit approval of the US) which purportedly strayed into Turkish airspace on 24 November5. The effectiveness of the Russian led interventions to date has been a major embarrassment to the utterly incompetent Americans. Hence we see this act of sabotage committed by a US proxy: yet more reckless brinkmanship in the dangerous Great Game between the Powers.

America's laughable attempts, as described by General Lloyd Austin6, to recruit “moderate” Sunni fighters, despite a program costing half a billion dollars and originally expected to recruit five thousand Sunnis, resulted in only four or five individuals actually taking up arms against Daesh. The problem in the chaotic Middle Eastern failed States, where information is sparse, incomplete and unreliable, is that it is impossible to identify who a “moderate” Sunni Arab may be. By training such people, the US could be training existing or potential Daesh members who will then immediately defect to the enemy. This has happened to the Americans time and time again in Afghanistan when training locals to fight the Taliban.

America has no useful, worthwhile or competent role to play in the turmoil that they have created. They are the architects of the problem and hence it is absurd to expect they will be any source of solutions. The Americans are determined to continue their role as spoilers and to maintain the chaos rather than allow Russia and her allies to stabilise the situation effectively.

How different the world would have been if the Kurds, Shi'ites and Sunnis had been allowed to establish their own stable sovereign States, run by leaders of their own choosing, in the Middle East after WW1. Those hopes were scuttled by the West and the Turks nearly a hundred years ago and they continue to oppose it.


In summary we can cure terrorism if we:

  • accept responsibility for the harm we have caused to others by our rapacious imperialistic and corporate meddling, institute corporate and foreign policy reform and provide material reparations to refugees

  • identify and root out the criminal Halliburton terrorists hiding in our midst and

  • work together with our Muslim brothers and sisters to identify and root out the criminal Blowback terrorists who are hiding in their midst. During that process we must aim for zero collateral damage

None of the above will, in fact, happen. Neither will there be any justice for those Palestinians who have been oppressed, abused and killed by Israel. Western hypocrisy will continue to reign supreme. Hence there will be no cure for terrorism, the underlying cause for which is Western hypocrisy. There will be no cure for the chaos in the Middle East.



The underlying cause of so-called Islamic terrorism is not Islam and therefore it cannot be “cured” by eliminating Islam or all Muslims, even if that were possible. Trying to win the “war against terror” by expelling Muslims from Western societies is like to trying to win the “war against poverty” by exterminating poor people. Mindbogglingly imbecilic, downright evil and utterly unworkable.

So-called Islamic terrorism should be called Blowback terrorism because that is truly what it is: blowback against previous Halliburton terrorism (and going back even further, blowback against previous Colonial/Imperialistic terrorism – for example by the French in Syria). Unless we admit to and address the underlying causes, we will never achieve any solutions.

The real solutions require that we be more conciliatory, courageous and cooperative across tribal lines than we have ever been in history, to join forces with moderate humane and humanitarian people of all persuasions to combat the agenda of the fanatical extremists, whether those fanatics be from the Muslim, Christian, Jewish or Corporate world. We cannot expect our Muslim communities to expunge the criminal extremists in their midst, unless we first expunge the state/corporate war criminals in our midst.

Unfortunately due to the default reptilian and tribal mindset of the masses who are easily brainwashed, polarised and terrified by the sensationalistic manipulative corporate media, and because of the existing power structures in the world, none of the above will ever happen and we will therefore never defeat the terrorists.


There really can be no peace without justice. There can be no justice without truth. And there can be no truth, unless someone rises up to tell you the truth.” – Louis Farrakhan

Justice cannot be for one side alone but must be for both” – Eleanor Roosevelt


Geoffrey Chia is an Australian Physician who has written many provocative articles including
“The Brisbane Institute is a Brisbane Prostitute”




  1. http://www.wanttoknow.info/war/isis-islamic-state-origins

  2. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GoSBqs6y8uM

  3. Proportion of Muslims in 2010: France 7.5%, UK 4.6%, US 0.8%, Australia 1.9% https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Islam_by_country#

  4. Peshmerga is Kurdish for “one who faces death”

  5. http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-34912581

  6. http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2015/sep/16/us-military-syrian-isis-fighters

Words US ‘think-tank-land’ dare not speak

Off the keyboard of Pepe Escobar
Follow us on Twitter @doomstead666
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BRICS 2014

Published in Asia Times on March 9, 2015

Winston Churchill once said, “I feel lonely without a war.” He also badly missed the loss of empire. Churchill’s successor – the ‘Empire of Chaos’ – now faces the same quandary. Some wars – as in Ukraine, by proxy – are not going so well.

And the loss of empire increasingly manifests itself in myriad moves by selected players aiming towards a multipolar world.

So no wonder US ‘Think Tankland’ is going bonkers, releasing wacky CIA-tinted “forecasts” where Russia is bound to disintegrate, and China is turning into a communist dictatorship. So much (imperial) wishful thinking, so little time to prolong hegemony.

The acronym that all these “forecasts” dare not reveal is BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa). BRICS is worse than the plague as far as the ‘Masters of the Universe’ that really control the current – rigged – world system are concerned. True, the BRICS are facing multiple problems. Brazil at the moment is totally paralyzed; a long, complex, self-defeating process, now coupled with intimations of regime change by local ‘Empire of Chaos’ minions. It will take time, but Brazil will rebound.

That leaves the “RIC” – Russia, India and China – in BRICS as the key drivers of change. For all their interlocking discrepancies, they all agree they don’t need to challenge the hegemon directly while aiming for a new multipolar order.

The BRICS New Development Bank (NDB) – a key alternative to the IMF enabling developing nations to get rid of the US dollar as a reserve currency – will be operative by the end of this year. The NDB will finance infrastructure and sustainable development projects not only in the BRICS nations but other developing nations. Forget about the Western-controlled World Bank, whose capital and lending capacity are never increased by the so-called Western “powers.” The NDB will be an open institution. BRICS nations will keep 55 percent of the voting power, and outside their domain no country will be allowed more than 7 percent of votes. But crucially, developing nations may also become partners and receive loans.

Damn those communists

A tripartite entente cordiale is also in the making. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi will be in China next May – and ‘Chindia’ will certainly engage in a breakthrough concerning their bitter territorial disputes. As much as Delhi has a lot to benefit from China’s massive capital investment and exports, Beijing wants to profit from India’s vast market and technology savvy. In parallel, Beijing has already volunteered economic help to Russia – if Moscow asks for it – on top of their evolving strategic partnership.

The US “pivoting to Asia” – launched at the Pentagon – is all dressed up with no place to go. Bullying Southeast Asia, South Asia and, for that matter, East Asia as a whole into becoming mere ‘Empire of Chaos’ vassals – and on top of it confronting China – was always a non-starter. Not to mention believing in the fairy tale of a remilitarized Japan able to “contain” China.

Isolating the “communist dictatorship” won’t fly. Just watch, for instance, the imminent high-speed rail link between Kunming, in Yunnan province, and Singapore, traversing a key chunk of a Southeast Asia which for Washington would never qualify to be more than a bunch of client states. The emerging 21st century Asia is all about interconnection; and the inexorable sun in this galaxy is China.

As China has embarked in an extremely complex tweaking of its economic development model, as I outlined here, China’s monopoly of low-end manufacturing – its previous industrial base – is migrating across the developing world, especially around the Indian Ocean basin. Good news for the Global South – and that includes everyone from African nations such as Kenya and Tanzania to parts of Southeast Asia and Latin America.

Of course the ‘Empire of Chaos’, business-wise, won’t be thrown out of Asia. But its days as an Asian hegemon, or a geopolitical Mob offering “protection”, are over.

The Chinese remix of Go West, Young Man – in fact go everywhere – started as early as 1999. Of the top 10 biggest container ports in the world, no less than 7 are in China (the others are Singapore, Rotterdam, and Pusan in South Korea). As far as the 12th Chinese 5-year plan – whose last year is 2015 – is concerned, most of the goals of the seven technology areas China wanted to be in the leading positions have been achieved, and in some cases even superseded.

The Bank of China will increasingly let the yuan move more freely against the US dollar. It will be dumping a lot of US dollars every once in a while. The 20-year old US dollar peg will gradually fade. The biggest trading nation on the planet, and the second largest economy simply cannot be anchored to a single currency. And Beijing knows very well how a dollar peg magnifies any external shocks to the Chinese economy.

Sykes-Picot is us

 A parallel process in Southwest Asia will also be developing; the dismantling of the nation-state in the Middle East – as in remixing the Sykes-Picot agreement of a hundred years ago. What a stark contrast to the return of the nation-state in Europe.

There have been rumblings that the remixed Sykes is Obama and the remixed Picot is Putin. Not really. It’s the ‘Empire of Chaos’ that is actually acting as the new Sykes-Picot, directly and indirectly reconfiguring the “Greater Middle East.” Former NATO capo Gen. Wesley Clark has recently “revealed” what everyone already knew; the ISIS/ISIL/Daesh fake Caliphate is financed by “close allies of the United States,” as in Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Turkey and Israel. Compare that with Israeli Defense Minister Moshe Yaalon admitting that ISIS “does not represent a threat to Israeli interests.” Daesh does the unraveling of Sykes-Picot for the US.

The ‘Empire of Chaos’ actively sought the disintegration of Iraq, Syria and especially Libya. And now, leading the House of Saud, “our” bastard in charge King Salman is none other than the former, choice jihad recruiter for Abdul Rasul Sayyaf, the Afghan Salafist who was the brains behind both Osama bin Laden and alleged 9/11 mastermind Khalid Sheikh Mohammad.

This is classic ‘Empire of Chaos’ in motion (exceptionalists don’t do nation building, just nation splintering). And there will be plenty of nasty, nation-shattering sequels, from the Central Asian stans to Xinjiang in China, not to mention festering, Ukraine, a.k.a Nulandistan.

Parts of Af-Pak could well turn into a branch of ISIS/ISIL/Daesh right on the borders of Russia, India, China, and Iran. From an ‘Empire of Chaos’ perspective, this potential bloodbath in the “Eurasian Balkans” – to quote eminent Russophobe Dr. Zbig “Grand Chessboard” Brzezinski – is the famous “offer you can’t refuse.”

Russia and China, meanwhile, will keep betting on Eurasian integration; strengthening the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) and their own internal coordination inside the BRICS; and using plenty of intel resources to go after The Caliph’s goons.

And as much as the Obama administration may be desperate for a final nuclear deal with Iran, Russia and China got to Tehran first. China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi was in Tehran two weeks ago; stressing Iran is one of China’s “foreign policy priorities” and of great “strategic importance.” Sooner rather than later Iran will be a member of the SCO. China already does plenty of roaring trade with Iran, and so does Russia, selling weapons and building nuclear plants.



And then there’s the German question.

Germany now exports 50 percent of its GDP. It used to be only 24 percent in 1990. For the past 10 years, half of German growth depended on exports. Translation: this is a giant economy that badly needs global markets to keep expanding. An ailing EU, by definition, does not fit the bill.

German exports are changing their recipient address. Only 40 percent – and going down – now goes to the EU; the real growth is in Asia. So Germany, in practice, is moving away from the eurozone. That does not entail Germany breaking up the euro; that would be interpreted as a nasty betrayal of the much-lauded “European project.”

What the trade picture unveils is the reason for Germany’s hardball with Greece: either you surrender, completely, or you leave the euro. What Germany wants is to keep a partnership with France and dominate Eastern Europe as an economic satellite, relying on Poland. So expect Greece, Spain, Portugal and Italy to face a German wall of intransigence. So much for European “integration,” it works as long as Germany dictates all the rules.

The spanner in the works is that the double fiasco Greece + Ukraine has been exposing. Berlin as an extremely flawed European hegemon – and that’s quite an understatement. Berlin suddenly woke up to the real, nightmarish possibility of a full blown, American-instigated war in Europe’s eastern borderlands against Russia. No wonder Angela Merkel had to fly to Moscow in a hurry.

Moscow – diplomatically – was the winner. And Russia won again when Turkey – fed up with trying to join the EU and being constantly blocked by, who else, Germany and France – decided to pivot to Eurasia for good, ignoring NATO and amplifying relations with both Russia and China.

That happened in the framework of a major ‘Pipelineistan’ game-changer. After Moscow cleverly negotiated the realignment of South Stream towards Turk Stream, right up to the Greek border, Putin and Greek Prime Minister Tsipras also agreed to a pipeline extension from the Turkish border across Greece to southern Europe. So Gazprom will be firmly implanted not only in Turkey but also Greece, which in itself will become mightily strategic in European ‘Pipelineistan’.

So Germany, sooner or later, must answer a categorical imperative – how to keep running massive trade surpluses while dumping their euro trade partners. The only possible answer is more trade with Russia, China and East Asia. It will take quite a while, and there will be many bumps on the road, but a Berlin-Moscow-Beijing trade/commercial axis – or the “RC” in BRICS meet Germany – is all but inevitable.

And no, you won’t read that in any wacky US ‘Think Tankland’ “forecast.”

Pepe Escobar is the author of Globalistan: How the Globalized World is Dissolving into Liquid War (Nimble Books, 2007), Red Zone Blues: a snapshot of Baghdad during the surge (Nimble Books, 2007), and Obama does Globalistan (Nimble Books, 2009).

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