AuthorTopic: Storm Clouds Forming: Exponential Growth of Solutions  (Read 419 times)

Offline alan2102

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Storm Clouds Forming: Exponential Growth of Solutions
« on: June 06, 2015, 06:01:19 PM »
We all know that exponential growth is impossible on a finite planet, and that to pursue it is a sure path to overshoot and collapse.

Well, sadly I must inform you that a new exponential growth phenomenon now threatens us with unmitigated chaos and disaster: the exponential growth of solutions.

The threat is so alarming that even Dennis Meadows, co-author of the famous Limits to Growth analysis, has expressed concern.

Try to remain calm as you can as you digest all this.


100% renewable energy – Embracing the “exponential growth of solutions”

Stefan Schurig

Ready for some good news? Well, keep reading. I will get to it in a minute, but first, I must say that it is just not easy to be positive these days. We continue burning highly valuable resources such as oil and gas on an unimaginable scale. We keep heating up the planet despite the obvious devastating impacts of climate change. Many countries and regions are suffering from worsening pollution and most of the countries depending on oil and coal imports have no idea how to emancipate themselves from this resource dependency. We are degrading our natural environments at an unprecedented pace and neither our national politicians nor the United Nations seem capable of stopping it. So where is the good news?

Last month I had the chance to meet Dennis Meadows, who has been co-authoring eye-opening books about the limits to growth since 1972. Forty years later, his alarming predictions of resource depletion, biodiversity loss and environmental degradation as a consequence of human behavior have come true. But instead of being frustrated he is actually very positive about recent developments. Prof. Meadows is convinced that along with an ‘exponential growth of the problems’ there is an exponential growth of solutions, too. And that’s where the good news begins.

Across the world today we are observing a movement among local governments, nations, islands, businesses, communities and citizens towards 100% renewable energy (RE). In fact, the City of Vancouver has just joined this movement, proving again that political will can catalyze change. At a hugely inspiring Forum last week in Vancouver the mayor himself showed strong commitment to reach this target.

Worldwide since 2013, newly added capacity of renewable energy has outpaced that of oil, coal and gas combined. This is an important milestone for the global transformation towards an energy sector fully powered by renewable energy. Renewable energy has become extremely efficient – and, above all, they have become cheap. The question, therefore, is no longer ‘Will the world one day be entirely supplied with renewable energy?’ but rather ‘When?’ In fact, an increasing number of cities and regions have already embarked on that journey by setting the goal of 100% renewable energy; some have even reached the target already. The key to successful implementation is to share the benefits of decentralized and modern power generation throughout society by including citizens and communities in the process.

It would be an illusion to believe that simply fueling the same system with different resources will lead us in the right direction and keep the planet habitable for current and future generations. Instead, our societies and economies themselves must be transformed to ensure sustainable, secure and affordable access to energy for all. Vancouver has a proud history of being at the forefront of sustainability and is now yet again a pioneer: it is one of the first cities that joined the new 100% Renewable Energy network for local governments that was established by partners of the Global 100% RE Alliance, including ICLEI, World Future Council, deENet, World Wind Energy Association, Fraunhofer ISE and others. This initiative aims to strengthen understanding within local governments on what 100% RE means and how to reach it.

Copenhagen, San Francisco, Sydney, Frankfurt and many more places have already proven that the necessary technologies and knowledge exist. Frankfurt for example is well on track to shifting to 100% renewable electricity by 2015. The city has reduced emissions by 15% while its economy grew by 50%. Furthermore, with energy efficiency measures, Frankfurt has saved over €100 million in energy costs, a number that’s projected to rise. In Germany, 80 out of 140 communities and municipalities from a network of 100% RE regions have already reached their target. As much as I appreciate efforts to reduce a city’s carbon footprint, local government’s commitment to 100% renewable energy – such as the one only recently from Vancouver – makes, above all else, a lot of economic sense. It will lead to more sustainable jobs and it will help cities stay atop global green livable cities rankings. In this spirit I wholeheartedly agree with Deputy Mayor Andrea Reimer who said, “There’s a compelling moral imperative but also a fantastic economic case to be a green city.”

Being one of the early adopters of an unstoppable global transformation really pays off.

Thursday, May 21st, 2015


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