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Offline Jaded Prole

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Study predicts imminent irreversible planetary collapse
« on: August 06, 2012, 03:51:43 AM »
from  www.sfu.ca/
Contact:
Arne Mooers, (Vancouver resident), 778.782.3979, 604.818.1627 (cell), amooers@sfu.ca, skype: arnemooers
Carol Thorbes, PAMR, 778.782.3035, cthorbes@sfu.ca 



Using scientific theories, toy ecosystem modeling and paleontological evidence as a crystal ball, 21 scientists, including one from Simon Fraser University, predict we’re on a much worse collision course with Mother Nature than currently thought.

In Approaching a state-shift in Earth’s biosphere, a paper just published in Nature, the authors, whose expertise spans a multitude of disciplines, suggest our planet’s ecosystems are careering towards an imminent, irreversible collapse.

Earth’s accelerating loss of biodiversity, its climate's increasingly extreme fluctuations, its ecosystems’ growing connectedness and its radically changing total energy budget are precursors to reaching a planetary state threshold or tipping point.

Once that happens, which the authors predict could be reached this century, the planet’s ecosystems, as we know them, could irreversibly collapse in the proverbial blink of an eye.

“The last tipping point in Earth’s history occurred about 12,000 years ago when the planet went from being in the age of glaciers, which previously lasted 100,000 years, to being in its current interglacial state. Once that tipping point was reached, the most extreme biological changes leading to our current state occurred within only 1,000 years. That’s like going from a baby to an adult state in less than a year,” explains Arne Mooers. “Importantly, the planet is changing even faster now.”

The SFU professor of biodiversity is one of this paper’s authors. He stresses, “The odds are very high that the next global state change will be extremely disruptive to our civilizations. Remember, we went from being hunter-gatherers to being moon-walkers during one of the most stable and benign periods in all of Earth’s history.

“Once a threshold-induced planetary state shift occurs, there’s no going back. So, if a system switches to a new state because you’ve added lots of energy, even if you take out the new energy, it won’t revert back to the old system. The planet doesn’t have any memory of the old state.”

These projections contradict the popularly held belief that the extent to which human-induced pressures, such as climate change, are destroying our planet is still debatable, and any collapse would be both gradual and centuries away.

This study concludes we better not exceed the 50 per cent mark of wholesale transformation of Earth’s surface or we won’t be able to delay, never mind avert, a planetary collapse.

We’ve already reached the 43 per cent mark through our conversion of landscapes into agricultural and urban areas, making Earth increasingly susceptible to an environmental epidemic.

“In a nutshell, humans have not done anything really important to stave off the worst because the social structures for doing something just aren’t there,” says Mooers. “My colleagues who study climate-induced changes through the earth’s history are more than pretty worried. In fact, some are terrified.”

— 30 —

Backgrounder: Study predicts imminent irreversible planetary collapse

Coming from Chile, Canada, Finland, the United Kingdom, Spain and the United States, the authors of this paper initially met at the University of California Berkeley in 2010 to hold a trans-disciplinary brainstorming session.

They reviewed scores of theoretical and conceptual bodies of work in various biological disciplines in search of new ways to cope with the historically unprecedented changes now occurring on Earth.

In the process they discovered that:

Human-generated pressures, known as global-scale forcing mechanisms, are modifying Earth’s atmosphere, oceans and climate so rapidly that they are likely forcing ecosystems and biodiversity to reach a critical threshold of existence in our lifetime.

“Global-scale forcing mechanisms today “include unprecedented rates and magnitudes of human population growth with attendant resource consumption, habitat transformation and fragmentation, energy production and consumption, and climate change,” says the study.

Human activity drives today’s global-scale forcing mechanisms more than ever before. As a result, the rate of climate change we are seeing now exceeds the rate that occurred during the extreme planetary state change that tipped Earth from being in a glacial to an interglacial state 12,000 years ago. You have to go back to the end of the cataclysmic falling star, which ended the age of dinosaurs, to find a previous precedent.

The exponentially increasing extinction of Earth’s current species, dominance of previously rare life forms and occurrence of extreme climate fluctuations parallel critical transitions that coincided with the last major planetary transition.

When these sorts of perturbations are mirrored in toy ecosystem models, they tip these systems quickly and irreversibly.

The authors recommend governments undertake five actions immediately if we are to have any hope of delaying or minimizing a planetary-state-shift. Arne Mooers, an SFU biodiversity professor and a co-author of this study, summarizes them as follows.

“Society globally has to collectively decide that we need to drastically lower our population very quickly. More of us need to move to optimal areas at higher density and let parts of the planet recover. Folks like us have to be forced to be materially poorer, at least in the short term. We also need to invest a lot more in creating technologies to produce and distribute food without eating up more land and wild species. It’s a very tall order.”
« Last Edit: August 06, 2012, 04:13:56 AM by Jaded Prole »

Offline RE

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Re: Study predicts imminent irreversible planetary collapse
« Reply #1 on: August 06, 2012, 07:16:49 AM »
In Approaching a state-shift in Earth’s biosphere, a paper just published in Nature, the authors, whose expertise spans a multitude of disciplines, suggest our planet’s ecosystems are careering towards an imminent, irreversible collapse.....

.....“Society globally has to collectively decide that we need to drastically lower our population very quickly. More of us need to move to optimal areas at higher density and let parts of the planet recover. Folks like us have to be forced to be materially poorer, at least in the short term. We also need to invest a lot more in creating technologies to produce and distribute food without eating up more land and wild species. It’s a very tall order.”

More good newz!

"Society globally has to collectively decide that we need to drastically lower our population very quickly"

How do you make a Global Collective Decision to drastically reduce population quickly? Do we all vote over the Internet? One wonders if these scientists got their funding from the same Illuminati that put up the Georgia Guidestones.  After this GCD is made, what is the mechanism to drastically reduce population quickly? Is there a Lottery over the net also for who gets the opportunity to help reduce population quickly? Fire up the Human Waste Reprocessing Facility in San Antonio!

Anyhow, we don't need to make this GCD, Famine and Pestilence are likely to do the trick here soon enough.  I can hear the Hoofbeats now...


RE
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Offline Surly1

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Re: Study predicts imminent irreversible planetary collapse
« Reply #2 on: August 06, 2012, 09:21:55 AM »
JP, excellent find. Interesting how the modelers seem to predict a Seneca effect style collapse.

As to this:
Quote
"Society globally has to collectively decide that we need to drastically lower our population very quickly"

and

Quote
"How do you make a Global Collective Decision to drastically reduce population quickly? Do we all vote over the Internet? One wonders if these scientists got their funding from the same Illuminati that put up the Georgia Guidestones. "

It's pretty clear that the great die-off has already commenced. remember in the late 70s and 80s, books and discussion about "the population bomb" and the need to control all that breeding by all those (nonwhite) peoples in unpleasant third world backwaters? Then nothing... crickets.  Guess the Club of Rome crunched the numbers, realized that they couldn't keep people from procreating, and made other plans.

Which, by the way, don't include us.

Connect the dots: between the shuttering of radiation measuring stations in the wake of Fukushima, the lack of mitigation and stonewalling there (explain to me again why there isn't a multi-national intervention into preventing the occurrence of an extinction-level radiation event, again?), the prevalence of GMO foodstuffs thrust upon a resistant populace, the militarization of the police, the utter and complete refusal to do anything about anthropogenic climate change (whatever part it plays in warming, I hear you yelling, RE), even the refusal to invest in infrastructure that is not directly connected to an elite underground bunker . . . it would appear that the verdict has already been reached but not communicated in open court.

None of our actions are consistent with a society interested in working together to solve problems. Rather, they look to be those of a society ready to defend the bunkers of the elites as they execute the hoopleheads with some of those 450 million hollow-points WHD likes to bring up from time to time. Once again, children of Men is the stuff of prophecy.

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Offline RE

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Re: Study predicts imminent irreversible planetary collapse
« Reply #3 on: August 06, 2012, 03:32:48 PM »
It's pretty clear that the great die-off has already commenced.

I would tend to agree with this estimation, however if TRUE it means all the population models are wrong and the 7B Population Estimate is not correct.

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Offline agelbert

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Re: Study predicts imminent irreversible planetary collapse
« Reply #4 on: August 06, 2012, 08:28:49 PM »
Surly1,
Quote
it would appear that the verdict has already been reached but not communicated in open court.
Agreed. I continue to maintain that the "verdict" also REQUIRES constant harping on how WE have to reduce our population numbers in the light of a military in the U.S. alone with such a gigantic carbon footprint that only 35 COUNTRIES exceed the DoD in fossil fuel use; never mind DoD the pollution. There are ONLY THREE countries in the world that exceed the DoD in per capita carbon footprint.

I am really, really, TIRED of this "WE" shit. I guess it's not too difficult for scientists to catalog umpteen species being stressed to the point of incipient die off but it's too fucking hard for them to point the finger at the massively disparate carbon footprint and pollution of, not just our military, but all of them. It's beyond these bright bulbs to notice that a tiny sliver of the population of all the countries in the world is the one driving the formation and maintenance of these military machines for THEIR benefit ALONE. I disagree that this study is a wake up call. The main perpetrators are not singled out so it actually is more talk analogous to the bullshit that came from the media after the Wall Street mess in 2008 that WE were ALL at fault. Fuck that! It's just more eugenics horseshit from the top dogs like Bill Gates that will jump on any excuse to get most of us to take a long walk off a short pier. I can these same scientists recommending a crash program to build THESE (to save the planet before it's too late, of course! HURRY!):

The Scientific Priesthood Solemnly admonishes us earth killing sinners to stop being evil and immoral! Do your duty to the biosphere, Bill Gates, the rest of the 1% and their military machines. Become Soylent Green so they can live long and prosper!


Defenders of the above study: Do not read beyond this point.
Scientific Priesthood: Please read the fine print before publishing.
Convincing most of us to die will NOT solve the problem, period. The cancerous growth DISEASE is centered in those orchestrating the push to lower our population numbers using the old "WE" shit.

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« Last Edit: August 06, 2012, 08:40:31 PM by agelbert »
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Offline Tao Jonesing

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Re: Study predicts imminent irreversible planetary collapse
« Reply #5 on: August 06, 2012, 08:52:29 PM »
Who paid for the study?


 

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