AuthorTopic: Global Catastrophic Risks 2016 Annual Report (55 Page PDF)  (Read 666 times)

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Which one will it be first? ???  :icon_scratch:

RE

http://globalprioritiesproject.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/Global-Catastrophic-Risk-Annual-Report-2016-FINAL.pdf

Global Catastrophic Risks 2016
7
6
Foreword                                                                                                                     8
Introduction                                                                                                         10
Executive summary
12
1. An introduction to global catastrophic risks 
20
2. 
What are the most important global
catastrophic risks?
28
Catastrophic climate change
30
Nuclear war
36
Natural pandemics
42
Exogenous risks
46
Emerging risks
52
Other risks and unknown risks
64
Our assessment of the risks
66
3. Risk factors and interactions between risks
72
Drivers of individual risks
74
Shared risk factors and interactions between risks
78
4. 
Do institutions collectively underinvest
in global catastrophic risk?
82
Market and political failures
84
Which actors can help reduce global catastrophic risk?
88
5. 
What can the world do to reduce
global catastrophic risk?
94
Endnotes
100
Acknowledgements                                                                                     107
Contact info
107

Global Catastrophic Risks 2016
13
12
Executive Summary

Most generations
never experience a
global catastrophe.
However, the idea of
such catastrophes
is not fanciful: plagues have killed
over 10% of world’s population and
we came close to nuclear war several
times in the 20th century.
Despite their scale, the risks of
global catastrophes receive limited
attention. One reason is that many
of these risks are unlikely in any
given decade. But even when the
probability is low, the sheer magni
-
tude of an adverse outcome warrants
taking these risks seriously. A global
catastrophic risk not only threatens
everyone alive today, but also future
generations. Reducing these risks is
therefore both a global and an inter
-
generational public good.
The ever-evolving landscape of
technology and society compounds
these challenges. Technological
and economic forces can create new
global catastrophic risks, such as
anthropogenic climate change and
the 20th century’s nuclear arms race.
But technology can also reduce risk,
for example through better vaccines
or clean energy.
We believe the global community
should work together to harness new
tools to address global catastrophic
risks. It is possible that, collectively,
we significantly under-invest in glob
-
al catastrophic risk reduction.
SAVE AS MANY AS YOU CAN

 

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