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Messages - jdwheeler42

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1
Environment / Re: Official Arctic Meltdown Thread
« on: January 11, 2019, 05:39:42 PM »
Water vapor is a strong greenhouse agent in its own right.
This is not correct.  Water vapor can go either way.  At night, especially in high cirrus clouds, water vapor is very effective as a greenhouse gas.  During the daytime, especially in heavy cumulus clouds, water vapor is very effective at reflecting the sun's heat and has a cooling effect.

2
IF Unless you set up your own off-grid, self sufficient (as much as possible) community homestead in a climate resilient location right now, you will find yourself destitute in the near future. If you don't, you'll find yourself dead.
Fixed that for you....

3
I bought one of these ONCE.  Forget it, stick it in your pocket you look like you have a permanent Woody.  Plus most of those blades and tools you'll just never use.  A more worthless blade than the Mini-Saw I can't imagine.  Anything you can cut with that you can snap with your hands.
Your imagination is lacking... if you snap it, it will have a ragged edge.  If you saw it, it will be smooth.   Sometime smooth is advantageous.

4
Tonight, Santa goes crazy....

<a href="http://www.youtube.com/v/HTGlUMvbhSw" target="_blank" class="new_win">http://www.youtube.com/v/HTGlUMvbhSw</a>

Reindeer steaks for everyone....



And no, they do not taste like chicken....

5
My selections for music and food today are a 2-for-1 special: chipmunks!

<a href="http://www.youtube.com/v/6XrlGQV8HR4" target="_blank" class="new_win">http://www.youtube.com/v/6XrlGQV8HR4</a>
<a href="http://www.youtube.com/v/3xj-jGAJgZY" target="_blank" class="new_win">http://www.youtube.com/v/3xj-jGAJgZY</a>

6
Energy / Re: Responding to collapse, Part 3: Declining Surplus Energy
« on: December 20, 2018, 05:18:23 PM »
The four horsemen will ride. But they wonít ride alone. The supply chain horseman wonít visit a few American cities after a financial crash if it comes while Trump is in charge. Death rides in then. But a big die-off wonít happen until Trump isnít even an echo on the wind. Industrial agriculture will fail because inputs it needs to function fail. Resource limits come on hard and without fossil fuel and fertilizer people starve. Unless you can rewrite the laws of the universe. Can you do that?

If you can. Go ahead. Make my day.
It's not a law of the universe, it's a cultural construct.  And I can rewrite it so that people can avoid starvation om the absence fossil fuels or external fertilizer inputs.  But it does require that people 1.) do hard labor 2.) learn 3.) move to where they are needed, none of which people will be willing to do, at least until they are starving.

7
Doomsteading / Re: C5 Walks into a Diner...
« on: December 19, 2018, 05:18:38 PM »
True enough, but some Diners don't even realize they are part of a parasitic mob.
Well, I recognize that a flat income tax would put me out of a job, but I would welcome the change.

8
A: When they are bigger than the original earthquake.

9
Doomsteading / Re: The Doom Loop
« on: October 16, 2018, 11:15:49 PM »
permie threads are so nice... I like the Adapter movement title. I thought of the "no movement movement" as my way of explaining most of what is wrong in the world...
I got a meme for that... I don't think I have inflicted it on you...  :icon_mrgreen:

via Imgflip Meme Generator


And naturally, I consider you to be "doing the right sort of nothing".

10
Economics / Re: How Blockchain Will Rule Your World
« on: October 16, 2018, 11:04:33 PM »
My recent investigations into gold and currency manips have increased my awareness of the role blockchain technology plays  into certain narratives that interest me.

Certain subjects are difficult for me, and although I've been reading about Bitcoin and Blockchain for nearly a decade, I really have had a hard time getting my mind around it. I was aware that the huge amount of buzz the tech has created in cyber and financial circles meant that it was a big deal. But I never (until now) really got the immensity of what it means or how it might impact me and you in our daily lives.

I don't have it all figured out. This thread represents my journey, not my destination.

The first big takeaway is the way blockchain dovetails with the concept digital money. Not just cryptocurrency, but ALL money. Specifically, those two things working in tandem will be a POWERFUL tool for financial repression.

I have a strong and growing suspicion that very soon, all sovereign currencies will be cryptos, because it is to the advantage oF TBTB for that to happen. That would allow for an end-run around Bitcoin, which threatens the very foundation of the banking cartel.

It would make garden variety tax fraud impossible.

It would do a lot to remove commerce from the typical black market work-arounds.

It would put an end to the current mechanism of capital flight out of China (Argentina, Venezuela, etc) through the use of Bitcoin.

The Chinese will be the first, and everyone else will immediately be forced to follow.

If you go on utoob and listen to the gurus, they make it sound like blockchain is this tremendous tool for increasing cyber security, for making business more efficient, and they tout many, many other positives. As far as that goes, they are telling the truth. The technology solves a lot of problems.

But the truth is that a better tool for globalization and domination of the people of the entire planet has never been invented or conceived. The dark side of blockchain is huge.

The limits of blockchain have to do with the TREMENDOUS amount of power (FF's, by way of electricity) it will take to maintain the cloud computing of the future. So I tried to parse it out. Will blockchain fail because we don't have enough power? This is a very key question.

So far, my general working theory is NO. We have adequate power right now for it to take over, because the timeline is probably less than 5 years.  I would not be surprised to see China launch the first sovereign crypto within a year.

Bitcoin is being driven by China. Because China has ample hydro power, cheap electric power that would otherwise go to waste has been used to mine bitcoin. In China, if you have the connections, you can also get your own coal-fired electrical generating plant built just so you can mine bitcoin. Nowhere else on earth is as perfect for bitcoin miners.

The rulers are tolerating the Wild West world of Bitcoin, because they want to keep the blockchain innovation ramping up at top speed. In the fullness of time, I think they might well kill Bitcoin off completely.

My investor spider sense says that a lot of money will be made on companies that convert the entire world and the entire internet to blockchain. Right now all cryptos have tanked. The stocks of companies that do blockchain tech are completely correlated to cryptos, which is a mistake. Coin offerings are sketchy apps that are the penny stock scammers new jam. Blockchain tech is WAY more than that, but investors haven't quite figured it out.

I know GO is interested in blockchain and understands money will be made. He posted something a while back about Ethereum.

Ethereum is confusing, because it is a coin (really a couple of them, looks like) but it is more than that. It is a blockchain platform that software developers can build a myriad of apps upon. that's where the real value lies. Ethereum is in the toilet just like bitcoin, at the moment.

I have no interest in buying Bitcoin or Ethereum or any other coin. My tastes run to wanting to benefit from companies leading the way.  Many of them are private, unfortunately. I have assembled a preliminary list of about 8 that are publicly traded, and I'm going to do some due diligence on them while the market finds a bottom. All these companies are dirt cheap compared to 6 months ago, but they might fall further in the current market rout.

GO, if you read this and want to share your pick, please do. I'm fairly sure (from previous experience) that you've already picked the best one and that nobody beside me who reads this is even interested.

As I get more of a good footing on understanding these companies, I will share some names. Probably, I'll set up a different thread for that, like the Potfolio thread. I only mention the investment angle because I'm really starting to smell big opportunity here. I've always advised against the crypto coins, and that isn't changing, fwiw. That might change as governments get involved. This will not be an investment thread. That part is only one reason blockchain is of interest. Here, I will post relevant articles that hopefully will explain blockchain apps and how they will change all our lives.

The frequency of relevant articles is increasing, and we'll see the coverage of this tech in the media  explode over the next few months and years. There are a lot of utoob videos interviewing the leaders, and I'll post the good ones I manage to find.


Here is an explanation of how Blockchain works. It's fairly easy to see how it can be used as a platform to run currencies, but that is only a very small part of what blockchain can do.

<a href="http://www.youtube.com/v/_160oMzblY8&fs=1" target="_blank" class="new_win">http://www.youtube.com/v/_160oMzblY8&fs=1</a>
Blockchain is DOOMED to fail, because the power requirements go up exponentially with the number of transactions.  The faster it is adopted, the quicker it fails.  This does not mean, however, that it will fail before replacing all other currencies or een before the rest of civilization collapses.  But at some point any blockchain technology if sufficiently used will consume all the power in the world.

That was my opinion too, until very recently. But the thing is, that the protocols are changing, which means the power requirements are falling.

Let me try to make two points. One is that the power issue can likely be addressed. Two is that the kind of decentralization that blockchain will bring to the net makes it better. It's a two edged sword.

In the long run, the power drain of digital technology of all kinds dooms the net and all that represents...but in the meantime, the internet is still rather important.

Right now, bitcoin mining alone consumes an amount of power equal to the entire country of Ireland. However, bitcoin mining consumption has flatlined. Most of the consumption associated with mining happens in China, and much of the power being used is actually hydro, although that is not nearly all of it.

Blockchain appears to be the next level of evolution of digital technology, and not just some minor tweak, as far as I can determine. And as of right now, nothing at all is slowing down the adoption of blockchain.. The power issue is not an immediate bottleneck, as so it will proceed, whether any of us likes it or not.
Mere efficiency gains don't cut it, they only serve to lower transaction costs and increase adoption rates, thereby fulfilling Jevons Paradox.  As long as it is a true blockchain technology where every "coin" records every transaction, my statement stands.  Now, other forms of cryptocurrency are possible that don't have this inherent limit that blockchain does.  And eventually doesn't mean in our lifetimes.

11
Economics / Re: How Blockchain Will Rule Your World
« on: October 16, 2018, 12:09:41 AM »
My recent investigations into gold and currency manips have increased my awareness of the role blockchain technology plays  into certain narratives that interest me.

Certain subjects are difficult for me, and although I've been reading about Bitcoin and Blockchain for nearly a decade, I really have had a hard time getting my mind around it. I was aware that the huge amount of buzz the tech has created in cyber and financial circles meant that it was a big deal. But I never (until now) really got the immensity of what it means or how it might impact me and you in our daily lives.

I don't have it all figured out. This thread represents my journey, not my destination.

The first big takeaway is the way blockchain dovetails with the concept digital money. Not just cryptocurrency, but ALL money. Specifically, those two things working in tandem will be a POWERFUL tool for financial repression.

I have a strong and growing suspicion that very soon, all sovereign currencies will be cryptos, because it is to the advantage oF TBTB for that to happen. That would allow for an end-run around Bitcoin, which threatens the very foundation of the banking cartel.

It would make garden variety tax fraud impossible.

It would do a lot to remove commerce from the typical black market work-arounds.

It would put an end to the current mechanism of capital flight out of China (Argentina, Venezuela, etc) through the use of Bitcoin.

The Chinese will be the first, and everyone else will immediately be forced to follow.

If you go on utoob and listen to the gurus, they make it sound like blockchain is this tremendous tool for increasing cyber security, for making business more efficient, and they tout many, many other positives. As far as that goes, they are telling the truth. The technology solves a lot of problems.

But the truth is that a better tool for globalization and domination of the people of the entire planet has never been invented or conceived. The dark side of blockchain is huge.

The limits of blockchain have to do with the TREMENDOUS amount of power (FF's, by way of electricity) it will take to maintain the cloud computing of the future. So I tried to parse it out. Will blockchain fail because we don't have enough power? This is a very key question.

So far, my general working theory is NO. We have adequate power right now for it to take over, because the timeline is probably less than 5 years.  I would not be surprised to see China launch the first sovereign crypto within a year.

Bitcoin is being driven by China. Because China has ample hydro power, cheap electric power that would otherwise go to waste has been used to mine bitcoin. In China, if you have the connections, you can also get your own coal-fired electrical generating plant built just so you can mine bitcoin. Nowhere else on earth is as perfect for bitcoin miners.

The rulers are tolerating the Wild West world of Bitcoin, because they want to keep the blockchain innovation ramping up at top speed. In the fullness of time, I think they might well kill Bitcoin off completely.

My investor spider sense says that a lot of money will be made on companies that convert the entire world and the entire internet to blockchain. Right now all cryptos have tanked. The stocks of companies that do blockchain tech are completely correlated to cryptos, which is a mistake. Coin offerings are sketchy apps that are the penny stock scammers new jam. Blockchain tech is WAY more than that, but investors haven't quite figured it out.

I know GO is interested in blockchain and understands money will be made. He posted something a while back about Ethereum.

Ethereum is confusing, because it is a coin (really a couple of them, looks like) but it is more than that. It is a blockchain platform that software developers can build a myriad of apps upon. that's where the real value lies. Ethereum is in the toilet just like bitcoin, at the moment.

I have no interest in buying Bitcoin or Ethereum or any other coin. My tastes run to wanting to benefit from companies leading the way.  Many of them are private, unfortunately. I have assembled a preliminary list of about 8 that are publicly traded, and I'm going to do some due diligence on them while the market finds a bottom. All these companies are dirt cheap compared to 6 months ago, but they might fall further in the current market rout.

GO, if you read this and want to share your pick, please do. I'm fairly sure (from previous experience) that you've already picked the best one and that nobody beside me who reads this is even interested.

As I get more of a good footing on understanding these companies, I will share some names. Probably, I'll set up a different thread for that, like the Potfolio thread. I only mention the investment angle because I'm really starting to smell big opportunity here. I've always advised against the crypto coins, and that isn't changing, fwiw. That might change as governments get involved. This will not be an investment thread. That part is only one reason blockchain is of interest. Here, I will post relevant articles that hopefully will explain blockchain apps and how they will change all our lives.

The frequency of relevant articles is increasing, and we'll see the coverage of this tech in the media  explode over the next few months and years. There are a lot of utoob videos interviewing the leaders, and I'll post the good ones I manage to find.


Here is an explanation of how Blockchain works. It's fairly easy to see how it can be used as a platform to run currencies, but that is only a very small part of what blockchain can do.

<a href="http://www.youtube.com/v/_160oMzblY8&fs=1" target="_blank" class="new_win">http://www.youtube.com/v/_160oMzblY8&fs=1</a>
Blockchain is DOOMED to fail, because the power requirements go up exponentially with the number of transactions.  The faster it is adopted, the quicker it fails.  This does not mean, however, that it will fail before replacing all other currencies or een before the rest of civilization collapses.  But at some point any blockchain technology if sufficiently used will consume all the power in the world.

12
Geopolitics / Re: Ted K's Prescription For Why and How To End BAU
« on: October 05, 2018, 08:47:01 AM »
As for point two societies tend to favour the ones that can utilise the most energy as more energy can lead to more production which is often used to further societies core objectives such as food provision, trade and self-defense. The places that can do this most effectively, even if only in the short-term, tend to dominate the other regions. Technology and political/economic ideologies are merely enablers in this process and the reason you can argue technology does seem to favour dominance is because it enables more energy and greater energetic efficiency in achieving societies goals. It is similar to saying how capitalism ultimately won against communism because capitalism allocates resources and energy more effectively so more products can be made. So really it boils down to energy consumption and which society can use it most effectively that wins out. Technology enables efficiency and more efficient societies tend to exert their dominance over time. This is how it seems that technology appears to create world dominance but it is underlying principles of energy production and efficiency that are the main drivers of this trend.
The part I emphasized is why Permaculture is the future, if there is any.  The biggest gains we can make in using energy efficiently is in reducing consumption.

13

Well, climate change does get my Senior Yearbook vote for Most Likely To Cause A 90-100% Die-Off Of Homo Saps.

Unless one of the other Horseman gets us with his scythe before then.

Long term, I agree.  However, the economic crash will lead to war which will hit harder and sooner than rising sea levels.
100% die-off, there can only be one.
90% die-off, there can easily be several in succession.

14
Marathon Man Newz / Re: 600 Yale Women In Support of 2nd Kavanaugh Accuser
« on: September 26, 2018, 01:27:08 PM »
Our failed experiments in social welfare (and other related factors) have led (at least in the US) to a perverted society where women are forced to assume the role of family breadwinner and mom AND dad, while men have been turned into drones and lost their purpose for living.
What you fail to grasp is that they were wildly successful in achieving their purpose, which was to greatly increase dependency on the government.

15
The Kitchen Sink / Re: Preparing for Collapse, A Few Rants
« on: September 26, 2018, 12:58:15 PM »
Get one thing very clear. While Irv might be correct in his view that ultimately wind and solar are not going to save us, for those who can afford to put resources into those things NOW, in the short run, there will be a huge pay-off over the medium term, coming from having a little power to run lights and devices like refrigeration, that are SO worth it.
I think John Micheal Greer said it best, although I'm paraphrasing here, that the ones advocating loudest that wind and solar are not going to allow us to maintain a BAU lifestyle are the one who actually go off the grid and live completely on renewable resources.  They know how drastically their lives have had to change -- BUT -- it is not nearly so drastically as those who just find themselves without power one day.
Quote
And he's fairly wrong about his ideas on sustainable agriculture too. Organic gardening is far more sustainable and sensible that fossil fuel agriculture....it's a good thing to be wrong about, and he'll find out if he ever has a garden bigger than a postage stamp.
I would put it that all truly sustainable agriculture comes under the rubric of organic (whether certification is achieved or not), but not all organic agriculture is truly sustainable.  The big difference sustainable agriculture will have in a power-down world is 8 to 16 hour work days, i.e. dawn to dusk, depending on the season.

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