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Messages - BuddyJ

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1
Energy / Re: Fracker Debt Bubble
« on: Today at 04:51:11 PM »
On its last legs indeed, and via the usual mechanism. The polluting bastards just can't figure out when to stop until oversupply clobbers prices and half of them go bankrupt. You would think they would learn or something.

2
The Kitchen Sink / Re: Collapse of Global Industrial Civilization is Nigh
« on: January 16, 2020, 03:30:45 AM »
Collapse is certain but whether it is "nigh" or not is unknowable (assuming nigh means within a couple of years). And will it really be a collapse or a long decline? No-one knows.

Well..sure. But thinking about it that way doesn't make it very fun to talk about. It is almost a given that people want to discuss and plan and prepare for doom within their lifetime, maybe because in that timeframe there is actual urgency?  Look how difficult a time the climate change folks are having selling action plans when they don't have much in the way of near term disasters to use as a motivator. Rising sea levels...but not enough to drive folks off the Atlantic barrier islands. More and bigger hurricanes...and MAYBE you'll see one in your lifetime, and for folks who have learned to deal with hurricanes, what does it matter if instead of a Cat 2 they get a Cat 3? Same with tornadoes. They just have a rough go of it without a decent near term consequence.

Economic doom is far more interesting because it can happen literally within days.

3
The Kitchen Sink / Re: Collapse of Global Industrial Civilization is Nigh
« on: January 15, 2020, 03:18:41 PM »
As some of you know, I have to find a new job.  I'm looking and was mystified  Why is it not to be so easy in a 3.5% unemployed economy.

True, I am an old fart, but I do have skills.  Yet the way things are going it is like I just got kicked out a prison gate with $100 of walking around money.
The unemployment numbers have been total bullshit for years.

It is possible, but I'm not so quick to pull the trigger on this one. I know my office has had difficulty in collecting the right folks, locally when the kids came of age they basically filled out 3 applications, and accepted what looked like the most interesting of the 3 offers that followed. I agree with the original premise though that folks just don't hire anyone, they are looking for specific skills and whatnot. And some are hard to find.

Quote from: moniker
My feeling is that this is a form of large group gaslighting and another weapon used against us on the road back to total serfdom or worse.

I think perspective might be based on where you live. Big urban area? You're probably okay. Rural area? Fuggetaboutit.

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The Kitchen Sink / Re: Collapse of Global Industrial Civilization is Nigh
« on: January 15, 2020, 01:16:47 PM »
As some of you know, I have to find a new job.

Well that just sucks.

Quote from: K-Dog
I'm looking and was mystified  Why is it not to be so easy in a 3.5% unemployed economy.

It is easy..if you aren't choosey. I've always wanted to sell Toyotas as my backup career plan. I figure I might be able to wangle that even with previous car selling experience.

Quote from: K-Dog
True, I am an old fart, but I do have skills.

Presto!!!! Might I venture that you aren't looking for ANY employment, but one suited to your liking?

I've got skills to! And some of them are worth exactly nothing nowadays. To be honest, I would just as soon not find out how many of them are worth nothing, it would probably be quite depressing.

Good luck with you job hunt though, from one old fart to another.

5
The Kitchen Sink / Re: Collapse of Global Industrial Civilization is Nigh
« on: January 13, 2020, 07:09:11 PM »

Quote
Nowadays, once the ammo runs out, oh well....

I never thought it would come down to bullets and I still don't think it will. But if it does I have some.

Bullets are good.

Quote from: Eddie
I just got a new stock for my old Mauser. A Christmas present to myself. It's a sweet gun......the kind I like. One somebody before me loved and let go.

Winchester Model 71 and 1895.

Family heirlooms. Classic American working mans guns for me.

Quote from: Eddie
Shilen barreled to .308. Timney trigger. I added a nice Leupold VXII and now the Hogue synthetic stock with full aluminum bedding rail. it's a tack driver. My deer rifle.

Open sights, single strap sling, the same way grandpappy did it. Works on grizzle bears on down.

Quote from: Eddie
Quote
"Good" the way I used it is the opposite of "bad". "Bad" being those who heartily embrace the stuff that..perhaps...they should have stopped and thought about prior to packaging, advertising, and shipping out to billions around the world just...because.

I have my own ideas about good and bad, but they aren't the same as yours, exactly. And good and bad are flip sides of the same coin, anyway. You can't really have one without the other.

Of course! You can't have a God without the Devil. I figure that us internet using, car driving, plane flying folks are one end of the spectrum, and the Amish are the other. None of us is them I bet.

Quote from: Eddie
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Yup. But how as a parent do you inflict deprivation and suffering and such on your kid without going to jail nowadays?

Ever watch the Royal Tenenbaums?   I raised my kids like Royal. Not much filtering. My kids high school friends compared us to the family in the film. lol.

Never seen it. Wished I could have raised my kids the way I was raised, couldn't do it.

6
The Kitchen Sink / Re: Collapse of Global Industrial Civilization is Nigh
« on: January 13, 2020, 04:31:52 PM »
Quote
Ah, it isn't blame, just a recognition as to who screwed the pooch. LTG told us what was going to happen back around 1970, as the author of the OP noted, we've known this has been coming for a LONG time.

Not just LTG. Rachel Carson, Bucky Fuller....lots of people saw this coming.

Malthus!! For all of the prior claims though, it is interesting that we can still pretend it is in the future. I'm still irritated that the Great Dieoff predicted for the 80's when I was young enough and hardy enough to think I could Rambo through it all.

Nowadays, once the ammo runs out, oh well....

Quote from: Eddie
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Dunno..but Greta seems to think we just need to listen to the scientists! Seems a bit simplistic of a solution to me, but she is quite popular as of late.

Greta is the voice of an angry generation of kids who can't do math, evidently. 

You have to admit though, she social-media-ed her way into a near global tour of the world, skipped school for a year, probably gets a stipend for that Time cover. She gets my vote for most social media savvy kid of the new generation.

Quote from: Eddie
Quote from: BuddyJ
Regardless of our personal individual favorites, there is just something about post WWII America and the explosion of consumerism and the "modern" world that came along with it that stretches in influence beyond one scientific advance or another, and what happened next because of it in places like India and China.

It seemed normal to me at the time, until Reagan.

Seemed normal to me, until the internet was born.

Quote from: Eddie
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I think there are as many of any generation doing good things as there are those ignoring everything of importance and deciding if they can buy that new monster truck if they stretch the payments to 84 months.

I don't think that's correct. But "good" is pretty much a moral judgment anyway, as best as I can tell.

"Good" the way I used it is the opposite of "bad". "Bad" being those who heartily embrace the stuff that..perhaps...they should have stopped and thought about prior to packaging, advertising, and shipping out to billions around the world just...because.

Quote from: Eddie
Quote
Good for them, not counting on it. Making it under one's own steam was once accepted as a defining personal characteristic of good character. I've got 2 friends since high school who waited around to inherit, because it was all they could do. Now they count the duckets they have left, and worry they will run out before their lifespan does because they have no ability to add more to that pile themselves.

I'm forever grateful for having had to struggle. Still am.

Yup. But how as a parent do you inflict deprivation and suffering and such on your kid without going to jail nowadays?

7
The Kitchen Sink / Re: Collapse of Global Industrial Civilization is Nigh
« on: January 12, 2020, 05:46:23 PM »
I recommend staying away from seaside real estate, give the kids as much of a financial headstart as possible to stay ahead of their peers, and smoke'im while you got'im!

The Blame Game is popular, but it doesn't make much sense to me. When the bacteria go crazy and overpopulate the Petri dish, is it the fault of the older bacteria that the colony dies?  Or the younger bacteria?

Ah, it isn't blame, just a recognition as to who screwed the pooch. LTG told us what was going to happen back around 1970, as the author of the OP noted, we've known this has been coming for a LONG time.

Quote from: Eddie
The things that used to keep our species from dying out, like the goal-setting strategy K-Dog mentioned (and let's not leave out the overwhelming biological imperative to reproduce in large numbers) used to be good things, but now they're working against us. How are we supposed to change 200,000 years of genetic programming in a couple of generations?

Dunno..but Greta seems to think we just need to listen to the scientists! Seems a bit simplistic of a solution to me, but she is quite popular as of late.

Quote from: Eddie
If you want to blame somebody, I vote we blame Fritz Haber. Without cheap mass-produced ammonium nitrate the population would have self-regulated already, and we wouldn't be in this mess. But we gave him the Nobel Prize instead.

Norman Borlaug. The BASTID!!!

Regardless of our personal individual favorites, there is just something about post WWII America and the explosion of consumerism and the "modern" world that came along with it that stretches in influence beyond one scientific advance or another, and what happened next because of it in places like India and China.

Quote from: Eddie
Not really. Don't blame him.....I was just trying to make an example showing how silly it is to lay blame, or even to have hard feelings toward people like me, who see the handwriting  on the wall  but still stubbornly resist the temptation to go down fighting to save the world. That makes me no worse, nor better, than anybody else.

I think there are as many of any generation doing good things as there are those ignoring everything of importance and deciding if they can buy that new monster truck if they stretch the payments to 84 months.

Quote from: Eddie
I agree we need to help the kids as much as we can. But my youngest.will be 30 this year. My helping days are mostly done, unless I get lucky on my investments and leave them some serious money. That'd be nice, but fortunately they aren't counting on it...

Good for them, not counting on it. Making it under one's own steam was once accepted as a defining personal characteristic of good character. I've got 2 friends since high school who waited around to inherit, because it was all they could do. Now they count the duckets they have left, and worry they will run out before their lifespan does because they have no ability to add more to that pile themselves.

8
This year I am going to get my own Distillation apparatus and star making Moonshine from Alaska Potatoes.   :icon_sunny:

RE

How do you keep the tobacco supply going? Can that be grown under lamps or something in the home?

9
The Kitchen Sink / Re: Collapse of Global Industrial Civilization is Nigh
« on: January 12, 2020, 01:25:18 PM »
Collapse is now certain. It has been certain for a long time.

Yup. The good news for the older folks who put most of this mess into motion is that they won't be the ones suffering the consequences of it. They'll die-off while things are still tenable for most, or at least the wealthier nations, and it'll be Greta's generation that feels the hammer blows of climate change.

I recommend staying away from seaside real estate, give the kids as much of a financial headstart as possible to stay ahead of their peers, and smoke'im while you got'im!

10
Harvard doomers! Sounds like it worth being on my reading list as well.

11

I gotta get to 3 Bears today one way or the other.  If she doesn't make it and/or my car won't start, I will call a cab.  I am OUT of Booze ad Smokes! 

RE

Sounds like Doom for you...HAS ARRIVED!!!

I feel the same way about diet Orange Crush and gummy bears myself.

12
Economics / Re: 🎓 Subprime Student Loans
« on: January 10, 2020, 05:12:40 PM »
Student loans just suck. But for some of us, they were the only way we could get that last $$$ to get the degree. For some of us who aren't young, this was back when a high school diploma was an accomplishment, and a college degree even more so.

Nowadays, I don't know how some of the kids do it for that first Bachelor's without a parents help.

13
Saudi America, the gift that just keeps crushing the oil companies.

What do we call it when it is Saudi Natural Gas? Qatar America?

A Rose by any other name is still a Rose.  The same holds true for a pile of Shit.

RE

So calling it Qatar America makes it a pile of shit because Qatar is? Well, we can't call it Paraguay America because they don't have much natural gas, and the entire point is finding a meaningful euphemism for what the US has done with the its natural gas production. Qatar struck me as good just because it was the only place I could think of that has a bunch.

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https://www.cnn.com/2019/12/11/business/chevron-oil-gas-writedown/index.html

New York (CNN Business)America's abundance of crude oil and natural gas is forcing Chevron to slash the value of its energy portfolio.

Saudi America, the gift that just keeps crushing the oil companies.

What do we call it when it is Saudi Natural Gas? Qatar America?

15
Environment / Re: Crazy Weather
« on: December 13, 2019, 06:16:00 PM »

The most dangerous person is the idiot who does not know he is an idiot.

JOW

Boy isn't that a truism.


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