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Messages - JoeP

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16
Art & Photography / Re: The Diner Lens
« on: January 09, 2016, 03:20:14 PM »
Looks like the dude has a satellite dish mounted on his head -

DishHead?
DishHead?


17
Agelbert Newz / Re: Pep talk on FFVs froma Toyota dealer
« on: January 09, 2016, 01:02:03 PM »
Thanks AG!  I'm just glad you're not super pissed off at me for not buying an EV  :laugh:   Our car has the Toyota Hybrid Synergy Drive System. I honestly don't know much about E85 and I'd only be interested in this conversion if I knew it wouldn't void the warranty and I could easily find a local auto shop to do the work - I haven't done any car work myself for 20 years or so.

18
Hi JoeP. Great looking classy car, Congratulations. Toyota is  a quality product.

Looks like a great choice to me. Let us know if it's as trouble free as a Prius.


Thanks GO and Eddie.  Eddie, I'll keep you posted on whether the Avalon is as trouble free as our Prius.  I know you've called your Prius a "tank" before and my sentiments are the same.  We've had ours 8/9 years now and not had to pay any maintenence other than normal scheduled stuff (oil change, replace tires, wipers, etc.).

19
Hi JoeP. Great looking classy car, Congratulations. Toyota is  a quality product.

Just one question, Would have thought the mileage for a hybrid to be much better than that, more like 60mpg or higher. Is that the mileage when it is on gas alone?? Reason I ask the car i bought my wife, a CVT transmission Car, not a hybrid, gets better mileage than 40, but it is a four cylinder.

No, the mileage is overall mileage.  It's a fairly heavy/sizeable car, so it's mileage is only going be so good.  The non-hybrid Avalon gets 21/31 mpg.
 


20
Hi folks, we finally took the jump and bought a new car - the 2016 Toyota Avalon Hybrid Limited.  We made this purchase the weekend before Christmas.  First, I'd like to thank everyone (especially AG) that provided input for me on new cars.  AG, I hope you're not too disappointed that we didn't choose an EV...but at least this car gets pretty good fossil fuel mileage - 40/39 mpg.  Due to the satisfaction we've had with our Prius over the years, we decided to limit our options strictly to Toyota vehicles. And we wanted a sedan. Due to my spine condition, a major factor in our decision was comfort.  As noted in this article, the suspension of the 2016 model has been retuned to deliver a softer, more comfort-oriented ride.  So in a nutshell, we purchased the most comfortable Toyota sedan that delivered an acceptable mileage per gallon (for us).  BTW, we paid cash - so the banks will not be making any money on financing.  For some reason, zero percent financing was not available for Hybrids. Here's a couple of pics that show the color (Crimson Mica) of the car we bought:






21
The Kitchen Sink / Re: 2016: The Year of the Collapse?
« on: December 30, 2015, 03:27:24 PM »
the deflationary black hole will destroy everything, and then everybody will die a week, a few months, or, if their lucky, a few years after society collapses.


22
Energy / Re: Energy Industry Scientists: Professional Liars for Hire
« on: December 18, 2015, 02:55:17 PM »

Just kiss RE's ass, hate and demonize those that question his ideas, and above all do not notice that he is one of the greatest self aggrandizing, self puffery promoters the world has ever seen.



 
 

23
Economics / Re: Billions of Barrels of US Oil Set to Disappear. Poof.
« on: December 13, 2015, 03:01:05 PM »
One thing is for sure, I put my money time and effort on the side of the peak oil collapsist game plans ( permaculture, pastoral farming survivalist ect) during the last economic recession and I will not repeat that mistake again.

Thanks Roamer.  Considering you are an "insider" in this field as well as being someone that I trust - your assessment carries a lot of weight with me.
 

24

I have never had car payments because I buy used cars with cash.  A mortgage is as necessary evil but paying extra to bring the principle down so you can pay it off early is the way to go.  Ms Dog and I did that and now it is gone.

Best. Advice. Ever.

I have to agree with K-Dog and Surly on this - I have used credit to buy cars, but not in the past twelve years...and these were new cars. 

I'd prefer to buy used but I think my wife must believe used cars have cooties or something.

I'll take this battle defeat with my chin up - I pretty much control the larger investments.  Reminds me of that saying about losing the battle and winning the war.
 
 



25
Diner TV / DD Juke Box V2.0 - Rod Stewart - "Ooh La La"
« on: December 05, 2015, 03:00:10 PM »
Rod Stewart - "Ooh La La"   
 
<a href="http://www.youtube.com/v/eEniy4CmSZQ?feature=player_detailpage" target="_blank" class="new_win">http://www.youtube.com/v/eEniy4CmSZQ?feature=player_detailpage</a>[/center]
 

26
Economics / Re: Will The Grinch will steal Christmas this year?
« on: November 25, 2015, 04:57:33 PM »
Do you think The Grinch will steal Christmas this year?  I suppose economics is the DRIVER to obtain the answer to this question?

No it's not the Driver in this case, it's an analytical tool.  Really JP, your sarcasm is plain annoying at times because it misses the point so often.

Given where the China Containerized Freight Index is at, one has to expect pretty low retail sales because they simply aren't shipping over as many toys this year for sale at Low, Low Prices Every Day at Walmart.

RE

Well, I apologize profusely for missing the point yet again Dear Leader. Sorry for the gigantic semantics fuck up. One might think a tool could be used to DRIVE something, but being as phenomenally retarded as I am, this mistake just had to happen I suppose.  I know you have already answered the question, but to note the correction...please, let me try again:

Do you think The Grinch will steal Christmas this year?  I suppose economics is the ANALYTICAL TOOL one should use to obtain the answer to this question?


27
Economics / Will The Grinch will steal Christmas this year?
« on: November 25, 2015, 03:35:03 PM »
Do you think The Grinch will steal Christmas this year?  I suppose economics is the DRIVER to obtain the answer to this question?   :laugh:

Connecting the Dots: Kiss Christmas and Retail Stocks Goodbye

November 25, 2015
 
In my article from November 17, I touched on the growing number of retailers that report shrinking traffic and disappointing sales:

Our consumer-driven economy is not getting any help from suddenly sober shopaholics. In the most recent report, the Commerce Department reported that retail sales rose by a measly 0.1% in September. And it didn’t matter where you wear Gucci loafers or Red Wing work boots.

Since then, the retail landscape has gotten even muddier.

The Commerce Department reported that retail sales increased by a miserly +0.1% in October, below the +0.3% Wall Street was expecting. Additionally, sales for the month of September were revised downward from +0.1% to 0.0%.

So this is what the last three months look like:

 August 0.0%
 September 0.0%
 October 0.1%



You should pay careful attention to retail sales because there is a strong correlation between plunging retail sales and plunging stock prices!

Walmart, Macy’s, and Nordstrom are the three high-profile retailers to disappoint Wall Street, but they have lots of company.

•Shoe retailer DSW, Inc. lowered its full-year earnings forecast from $1.80 – $1.90 per share to $1.40 – $1.50 per share. The problem? Slow customer traffic.

•The Gap reported that its October same-store sales dropped by 15% at Banana Republic and by 4% at Gap stores. Additionally, the company warned that it would miss Q3 expectations.

•Urban Outfitters reported Q3 sales of $825.3 million, well below the Wall Street pipe dream of $868.9 million. Urban Outfitters’ shares closed down 7.4% to a four-year low after spitting up that revenue hairball.


The biggest confirmation of the retailing woes came from the Port of Long Beach, the second-busiest US port.

The Port of Long Beach handled 307,995 containers in October, down from 310,482 and 0.8% less from the same month last year. More troublesome is the 14% plunge in imported containers since August.

That tells me retailers are cutting back their pre-Christmas orders in anticipation of disappointing holiday sales and due to already bulging inventories.

Speaking of bulging inventories, I want to point out two retailers with ballooning inventories that I think are profit time bombs just waiting to kill investors.

•Lululemon Athletica (LULU): Yoga-pants maker Lululemon has been suffering from an inventory bulge. Inventory hit $280 million, a 55% year-over-year increase.

•Under Armour (UA): Inventory ballooned to $867 million at the end of Q3, a 36% increase.

I’m not suggesting that you rush out, sell all your retail stocks, or short Lululemon and Under Armour tomorrow morning. As always, timing is everything. However, it is crystal clear to me that the Grinch is definitely going to steal Christmas… and that retail stocks are one of the worst places to invest your money.

Find out what other stocks are in peril—and how to make money from the demise of the losers.

Tony Sagami

30-year market expert Tony Sagami leads the Yield Shark and Rational Bear advisories at Mauldin Economics. To learn more about Yield Shark and how it helps you maximize dividend income, click here. To learn more about Rational Bear and how you can use it to benefit from falling stocks and sectors, click here.


28
Diner Newz & Multimedia / Re: Boundary Problems
« on: November 25, 2015, 02:48:50 PM »
It's not about Race.  It's about Economics and the War between the Haves and the Have Nots.

Irish Catholics & Irish Protestants aren't racially different from each other, and neither are Sunnis and Shiites, and neither are Russian speaking vs Ukrainian speaking Ukrainians.

Here in the FSoA, Blacks have been the traditional Have Nots of this society, beginning of course in the days of slavery, but all civilizations since the beginning of Ag have had Haves and Have Nots, and whether they are racially distinguishable is irrelevant.

As long as the society is in enough surplus that even the Have Nots have enough to eat, decent shelter and work of some kind to keep them bizzy, they don't revolt even if they are treated like 2nd Class Citizens.  You run into problems with the Have Nots when even that meager level of support disappears, and that is what is happening now.  It's happening all over MENA, it's happening in Ukraine and it's happening here in #Ferguson, # Baltimore and #Chicago too.

Race is not the driver.  Economics is.

RE

I have to agree with you on this one RE - simply because I've witnessed Blacks that are in the "Have" category treat other Blacks (that fall in the "Have Not" category) in the same manner they would treat Whites in the "Have Not" category...and vice-versa.  Economics is the DRIVER.
 

29
Art & Photography / Re: DD Favorite Photograph Album
« on: November 22, 2015, 03:03:55 PM »
GO, FANTASTIC work with those photos.  This one was my favorite. It seems very meaningful to me because the roads we know today will be very different in the years to come...for one reason or another.


                             

     A 'Road Closed' sign is placed next to a portion of Vasquez Canyon Road, near Santa Clarita, Calif. on Nov. 20. The road was pushed up by a reported landslide. Mike Nelson / EPA


30
The Diner Pantry / Re: Food Replicators
« on: November 22, 2015, 12:47:56 PM »
This morning, I am having croissants and coffee, in solidarity with my French brothers.

They had Frog's Legs On Sale at 3 Bears for $4.79/lb.  I'm going to have some for lunch on a toasted French Bread.

RE

I really like Frog's Legs.  I had them for the first time at a lunch buffet at a country club in Martinsville Va. when I was about 14 years old.  I was the guest of one of my Dad's business associates.  His name was Smokey and he was a really big, jovial dude.  About 6' 7" 300 lbs.  He told to to get some and I'm glad I did.  I figured he knew a thing or two about food.  I also like gator quite a bit.  A joint in Myrtle beach has the best "Gator Bites" you could imagine.
 

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