AuthorTopic: Official Arctic Meltdown Thread  (Read 26105 times)

Offline Palloy2

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Re: Official Arctic Meltdown Thread
« Reply #15 on: January 20, 2017, 07:07:00 AM »
A 5,000 km2 iceberg - pathetic.  The Antarctic ice sheet varies between 17 million km2 in summer and 32 million km2 in winter, so every year (actually half year) the whole sheet calves off 15 million km2 of icebergs, and you want me to worry about one bit being a big bit.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antarctica#Ice_mass_and_global_sea_level
This ice sheet is constantly gaining ice from snowfall and losing ice through outflow to the sea. Overall, the net change is slightly positive at approximately 82 gigatonnes (Gt) per year (with significant regional variation), reducing global sea-level rise by 0.23 mm per year.[127]
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Offline azozeo

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Re: Official Arctic Meltdown Thread
« Reply #16 on: January 25, 2017, 03:17:40 AM »
2017-01-23 - Abnormal Antarctic heat, surface melt, giant cracks in ice shelves ó more troubling signs of a world tipping toward climate chaos:
http://robertscribbler.com/2017/01/23/abnormal-antarctic-heat-surface-melt-giant-cracks-in-ice-shelves-more-troubling-signs-of-a-world-tipping-toward-climate-chaos/
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Offline azozeo

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Official Arctic Meltdown Thread - New Feedback Loop Created
« Reply #17 on: January 27, 2017, 04:29:29 PM »
<a href="http://www.youtube.com/v/w_EzF4k9_QY&fs=1" target="_blank" class="new_win">http://www.youtube.com/v/w_EzF4k9_QY&fs=1</a>
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Offline John of Wallan

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Re: Official Arctic Meltdown Thread
« Reply #18 on: February 02, 2017, 12:26:16 PM »
http://arctic-news.blogspot.com.au/

Bad shit brewing in the Arctic.
Here is the link.

JOW

Offline Eddie

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Re: Official Arctic Meltdown Thread
« Reply #19 on: February 02, 2017, 12:49:50 PM »
Nothing too surprising, other than the 2026 timeline, which, let's face it, is really, really soon. Guy McPherson soon.

Maybe Trump is ignoring climate change because the analysts are telling him it's better to let the die-off sneak up on as many people as possible, to avoid social conflict. (I don't really believe that, but it makes good conspiracy theory).
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Offline Palloy2

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Re: Official Arctic Meltdown Thread
« Reply #20 on: February 02, 2017, 02:21:48 PM »
Quote
Eddie: Nothing too surprising, ...

Agreed, in fact all of that theory has been known for at least a decade.  Not qualifying as a theory, but a typical Carana scary forecast, is the emission rates of Methane from clathrates, for which there is very little actual data.

Some good examples of selecting the worst data and making it seem like average data.

Quote
Maybe Trump is ignoring climate change because the analysts are telling him it's better to let the die-off sneak up on as many people as possible, to avoid social conflict. (I don't really believe that, but it makes good conspiracy theory).

I really believe that - why would the leader of the Empire want social unrest?  Peaceful protest is OK, because that can be safely ignored.  Non-peaceful protest is to be met immediately with tear gas, pepper spray, percussion grenades, etc.  And it doesn't matter if the para-military is caught on camera beating and stomping on protesters on Inauguration Day, because that is streets away from the President.  Or that the President and First Lady walks for 50 yards down Pennsylvania Avenue between triple ranks of security guards in front of half-empty grandstands, because they will simply say everything went really, really well, with more people than ever.

Aside from social conflict, the Emperor also can't afford to have a meltdown in the FF industry stock markets, so the Treasury instructs the Fed to print more funny money, loan it out to commercial banks at 0% interest, who leverage it via Fractional Reserve Banking, and lend it to the FF industry to drill more holes without any prospect of them making a profit.  As the money gets spent, it all adds to GDP, (in fact it is the only growth that US GDP has seen since 2008), so that's OK too.

When that plan won't work any longer, Plan B is to trigger a war with China, hence the current raising of tensions to just short of boiling point.  China wants to keep the South China Sea open for trade, so the trick is to blame them for wanting to close it to shipping, despite the fact it is an ocean 1,000 miles wide.  China has to re-supply its outposts with long-distance heavy transport aircraft, so the trick is to say the runways are jet fighter capable, despite the fact that jet fighters don't need 3,000 metre runways.  China says it doesn't want to militarise its reefs, so the trick is to sail US warships into their territorial waters and force them to militarise, then accuse them of militarising aggressively.  China's currency has been stable against its trade-weighted basket of currencies, so the trick is to accuse them of being a currency manipulator.

Meanwhile the planet warms to +0.82įC.  Shock horror.
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Offline azozeo

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Re: Official Arctic Meltdown Thread
« Reply #21 on: February 07, 2017, 02:16:52 PM »
2017-02-05 - Greenland ice sheet melting 600 percent faster than predicted by current models:
http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2017/02/greenland-ice-sheet-melting-600-percent-faster-predicted-current-models.html
http://therealnews.com/t2/story:18252:Greenland-Ice-Sheet-Melting-600-Percent-Faster-Than-Predicted-by-Current-Models
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Offline azozeo

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Re: Official Arctic Meltdown Thread
« Reply #22 on: February 07, 2017, 02:17:44 PM »
2017-02-05 - Arctic sea ice VOLUME lower than ever recorded for this time of year:
http://neven1.typepad.com/blog/2017/02/piomas-february-2017.html
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Offline azozeo

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Massive Hurricane hits Arctic - Temps rise 60+ degrees
« Reply #23 on: February 08, 2017, 04:34:42 AM »
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2017/02/06/massive-hurricane-force-atlantic-storm-to-push-abnormally-mild-air-towards-north-pole/?utm_term=.a06de8e13638

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Offline RE

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Temperatures in the Arctic are skyrocketing ó for the third time this winter
« Reply #24 on: February 13, 2017, 06:03:38 AM »
Still cold in Alaska though.

RE

http://www.post-gazette.com/news/environment/2017/02/13/Temperatures-in-the-Arctic-are-skyrocketing-for-the-third-time-this-winter/stories/201702130075

Temperatures in the Arctic are skyrocketing ó for the third time this winter
February 13, 2017 12:00 AM


ARCTIC-TEMPS
Handout courtesy of University of Maine

By Chelsea Harvey / The Washington Post

While much of the Northeast was forced to batten down the hatches last week against strong winds, heavy snow and other icy conditions, the usually frigid Arctic experienced the opposite ó a period of unseasonably mild weather and high temperatures, for at least the third time this winter.

A powerful low-pressure storm system in the northern Atlantic has helped carry warm air up to the frozen north last week, sending temperatures in the Arctic soaring. Data from the Danish Meteorological Institute suggests that, as of Thursday, temperatures in the area above 80 degrees north latitude were already more than 20 degrees warmer than the average temperature for this time of year. As a graphic from Climate Reanalyzer shows, the most unusually warm region is right over the North Pole.

Itís at least the third such extreme winter-warming event for the Arctic this season ó temperatures skyrocketed on two occasions in November and December as well. Similar incidents also occurred in December of 2015 and 2014.

Scientists believe that a number of different factors are feeding into these warming events, including the steady march of climate change and interactions between the air and Arctic sea ice, which global warming is melting a little more each year. And a good low-pressure system, like the one that barreled through last week, can help to jump-start these kinds of sudden warming events by carrying a large amount of warm air up to the North Pole all at once.

The presence of the storm itself isnít exactly unusual, according to atmospheric physics expert Kent Moore of the University of Toronto. Each year, there are some storms that roll through the northern Atlantic. Whatís uncommon is just how far north some of them have been making it lately.

ďThereís these extratropical cyclones that appear to be tracking farther north than they usually do, and these low-pressure systems are bringing the heat up into the polar region,Ē he said. Itís unclear why this happens, he added. But when it does, temperatures can vault up above zero degrees, or in extreme cases, sometimes even above freezing.

In a recent paper published in December, Mr. Moore notes that these types of anomalous warming events have been recorded since the 1950s ó but they usually only occur once or twice a decade. Scientists believe that factors related to climate change may now be making it easier for weather systems like last weekís storm to carry warm air into the Arctic.

Changes in Arctic sea ice extent are one major issue. As a result of global warming, temperatures in the Arctic are rising at about twice the global average rate, and one of the consequences is a reduction in Arctic sea ice. These changes are most obvious in the warm summer months, when sea ice is at a minimum anyway ó but lately, scientists have been observing record lows for the frozen winter months as well, a time of year when the ice is actually expanding. But where it is missing, those parts of the ocean become warmer.

ďAs that sea ice moves northward, thereís a huge reservoir of heat over the North Atlantic,Ē Mr. Moore said. ďAs we lose the sea ice, it allows essentially this reservoir of warmth to move closer to the pole.Ē

When this happens, storm systems may be able to carry heat farther north than usual. In fact, earlier last week, scientists at the National Snow and Ice Data Center announced that sea ice remained at record low daily extents through the month of January. Sea ice extent for the month averaged 5.17 million square miles, the lowest January extent on record.

Some scientists also believe that rapid warming in the Arctic has helped bring about changes in certain atmospheric patterns ó causing the jet streamís flow to become more ďwavy,Ē for instance ó in ways that can affect weather systems in the North Atlantic.

Mr. Moore noted that weather-induced warming events in the Arctic tend to be short-lived, meaning last weekís event ó like similar others in the past ó will probably not persist for more than a few days. But he added that an increase in the frequency of temperature extremes at the North Pole is just another indicator of climate changeís disproportionate effect on the Arctic.

ďThereís more and more evidence that the Arctic, especially, is warming quite dramatically and that we should expect to see more of these events,Ē he said. ďI think itís just more evidence that the climate is, in fact, changing.Ē
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Offline azozeo

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Re: Official Arctic Meltdown Thread
« Reply #25 on: February 16, 2017, 05:54:10 PM »
2017-02-14 - Sea ice extent shrinks to lowest level ever recorded in Antarctica:
http://www.sunherald.com/news/nation-world/world/article132718374.html
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Offline azozeo

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Re: Official Arctic Meltdown Thread
« Reply #26 on: February 17, 2017, 12:28:37 PM »
2017-02-15 - More heat heading to the Arctic:
http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2017/02/more-heat-on-the-way.html

2017-02-15 - Pine Island Glacier sheds another iceberg in Antarctica:
http://www.rt.com/viral/377485-aftershock-pine-glacier-iceberg/
http://www.sott.net/article/342758-Pine-Glacier-sheds-another-block-of-ice-a-glacial-aftershock
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Offline azozeo

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Re: Official Arctic Meltdown Thread
« Reply #27 on: February 20, 2017, 01:29:58 PM »
2017-02-18 - Canadian glacier melt has increased 900 percent since 2005:
http://www.desdemonadespair.net/2017/02/canada-glaciers-now-major-contributor.html
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/aa5b04/meta

Quote: "From 2005 to 2015, surface melt off ice caps and glaciers of the Queen Elizabeth Islands grew by an astonishing 900 percent, from an average of three gigatons to 30 gigatons per year, according to results published today in the journal Environmental Research Letters."
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Offline azozeo

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Re: Official Arctic Meltdown Thread-Larsen C crack update
« Reply #28 on: February 24, 2017, 02:49:39 PM »
2017-02-22 - Scientists continue monitoring spreading crack on the Larsen C Ice Shelf (Antarctica):
http://www.desdemonadespair.net/2017/02/video-flyover-of-larsen-c-ice-shelf.html
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Offline azozeo

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Re: Official Arctic Meltdown Thread
« Reply #29 on: March 03, 2017, 05:35:05 PM »
2017-03-01 - Antarctic sea ice hits record low:
http://moyhu.blogspot.co.uk/2017/03/record-low-sea-ice-minimum-in.html
http://www.fasterthanexpected.com/2017/03/01/antarctic-sea-ice-obliterates-previous-minimum-record-in-remarkable-reverse/
http://www.theage.com.au/environment/climate-change/antarctic-sea-ice-obliterates-previous-minimum-record-in-remarkable-reverse-20170227-gumt5r.html

Quote: "I've been tracking the Antarctic Sea Ice. It has been very low since about October, and a new record looked likely. Today I saw in our local paper that the minimum has been announced. And indeed, it was lowest by a considerable margin."

Note: Both poles are melting rapidly now, not to mention the melting glaciers all over the world, the rapid ice melt occurring in Greenland, the melting permafrost in Canada and Alaska, and the melting and occasionally exploding permafrost in Siberia...

2017-03-01 - Heat record of 63.5F set in Antarctica in March 2015:
http://www.yahoo.com/news/antarctica-hits-record-high-temperature-balmy-17-5-133209804.html
http://www.sott.net/article/344032-WTO-report-Heat-record-set-in-Antarctica-in-March-2015-with-balmy-63-5-F

Quote: "An Argentine research base near the northern tip of the Antarctic peninsula has set a heat record at a balmy 63.5į Fahrenheit (17.5 degrees Celsius), the U.N. weather agency said on Wednesday. The Experanza base set the high on March 24, 2015, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) said after reviewing data around Antarctica to set benchmarks to help track future global warming and natural variations."
I know exactly what you mean. Let me tell you why youíre here. Youíre here because you know something. What you know you canít explain, but you feel it. Youíve felt it your entire life, that thereís something wrong with the world.
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